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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 126-97
34-28 36-26 30-21 26-22
Position#2
Record27-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game116.8
Allowed / game113.7
vs
Position#9
Record21-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game111.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Phoenix Suns
05 Jan 2027
DEN v PHX
upcoming
16 Nov 2026
DEN v PHX
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
DEN133
PHX111
07 Mar 2025
DEN149
PHX141
23 Dec 2024
DEN117
PHX90
27 Mar 2024
DEN97
PHX104
05 Mar 2024
DEN107
PHX117
09 May 2023
DEN118
PHX102
01 May 2023
DEN97
PHX87
29 Apr 2023
DEN125
PHX107
11 Jan 2023
DEN126
PHX97
25 Dec 2022
DEN128
PHX125
24 Mar 2022
DEN130
PHX140
13 Jun 2021
DEN118
PHX125
11 Jun 2021
DEN102
PHX116
01 Jan 2021
DEN103
PHX106
24 Nov 2019
DEN116
PHX104
25 Oct 2019
DEN108
PHX107
25 Jan 2019
DEN132
PHX95
20 Oct 2018
DEN119
PHX91
19 Jan 2018
DEN100
PHX108
03 Jan 2018
DEN134
PHX111
26 Jan 2017
DEN127
PHX120
16 Nov 2016
DEN120
PHX104
10 Mar 2016
DEN116
PHX98
20 Nov 2015
DEN107
PHX114
25 Feb 2015
DEN96
PHX110
28 Nov 2014
DEN122
PHX97
18 Feb 2014
DEN107
PHX112
20 Dec 2013
DEN99
PHX103
17 Apr 2013
DEN118
PHX98
06 Apr 2012
DEN105
PHX99
14 Feb 2012
DEN109
PHX92
20 Dec 2011
DEN127
PHX110
11 Jan 2011
DEN132
PHX98
28 Nov 2010
DEN138
PHX133
03 Feb 2010
DEN97
PHX109
12 Dec 2009
DEN105
PHX99
15 Jan 2009
DEN119
PHX113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
120-107
120
107
+13
119avg 114
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
121avg 114
H26/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
113-106
113
106
+7
112avg 114
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
126-127
126
127
-1
124avg 114
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
124-119
124
119
+5
129avg 114
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
123-111
123
111
+12
124avg 114
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
111-124
111
124
-13
104avg 114
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
122-91
122
91
+31
125avg 114
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
121-108
121
108
+13
124avg 114
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
122-109
122
109
+13
118avg 114
H10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
26-37
35-16
27-27
28-24
23-33
30-27
32-29
20-32
27-24
32-27
34-23
40-24
35-38
30-32
21-33
23-19
37-38
25-33
39-29
37-28
25-26
36-31
25-26
23-23
30-36
32-31
26-34
32-15
34-17
36-27
20-32
26-28
36-30
32-24
27-26
29-23
33-25
32-31
28-30
233.7Avg total
121.0Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)116.8113.7230.5+3.268%
Season at home (20)119.5108.8228.3+10.785%
Season away (20)114.2118.5232.6-4.350%
Last 10 (10)121.0112.7233.7+8.380%
Last 5 (5)119.8108.6228.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)117.2114.6231.8+2.662%
vs Weaker (17)116.9112.8229.6+4.171%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
100-125
100
125
-25
84avg 108
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
125-128 OT
125
128
-3
119avg 108
A26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
125-108
125
108
+17
122avg 108
A28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
102-127
102
127
-25
87avg 108
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
104-113
104
113
-9
106avg 108
A31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 108
A02/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
88-90
88
90
-2
84avg 108
A05/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
96-104
96
104
-8
88avg 108
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
98-112
98
112
-14
87avg 108
H09/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
125-113
125
113
+12
124avg 108
A11/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-39
18-20
31-38
31-28
24-28
33-23
27-30
29-32
23-22
42-27
32-31
28-28
21-36
34-28
29-29
18-34
24-33
27-20
28-33
25-27
11-23
20-31
27-25
25-23
14-15
29-18
21-26
24-31
23-30
23-21
27-27
23-26
26-35
28-22
25-23
19-32
31-26
28-19
39-34
27-34
216.8Avg total
104.6Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)113.0111.0224.1+2.050%
Season at home (21)114.2109.1223.3+5.067%
Season away (21)111.9113.0224.8-1.133%
Last 10 (10)104.6112.2216.8-7.620%
Last 5 (5)98.0104.2202.2-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.0125.0223.0-27.00%
vs Similar ◀ (25)113.6113.7227.3-0.144%
vs Weaker (4)114.8107.5222.2+7.250%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -4.6-4.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -4.6-4.6
Denver NuggetsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H24/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H26/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-32
66
32
+34
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H10/01
NBA
114.3Avg total
59.6Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.157.5117.6+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.154.6115.6+6.569%-
Last 30 away (14)59.160.8119.9-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)59.654.7114.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)61.050.2111.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)60.156.1116.2+4.069%-
vs Weaker (17)60.258.5118.7+1.647%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H24/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A28/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A02/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A05/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H09/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A11/01
NBA
101.5Avg total
49.9Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.154.4108.5-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.955.5109.4-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)54.253.5107.8+0.844%-
Last 10 (10)49.951.6101.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)46.648.094.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.069.0111.0-27.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)54.354.3108.6-0.040%-
vs Weaker (4)55.851.5107.2+4.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.030.9
57.2%
54.5%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.113.9
43.3%
35.8%41.7
🏀 Free throws22.017.5
79.5%
78.1%17.5
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.325.4
46.8%
54.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.712.4
40.4%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws20.816.6
79.8%
78.1%16.6
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWLWWW
Phoenix Suns
WLLLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#9
+8.3
Net rating
-7.7
120.5
Offensive rating
105.8
112.2
Defensive rating
113.4
60.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.5%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
43.3%
3-point %
40.4%
67.4%
Assist %
65.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence120.5 · 105.8Defence112.2 · 113.4Shooting60.1% · 51.8%3-point %43.3% · 40.4%Ball care13.9% · 15.5%Off. rebounds24.4% · 24.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/23HLos Angeles Lakers122-109
07/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers121-108
06/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers122-91
03/01/23AMinnesota Timberwolves111-124
02/01/23HBoston Celtics123-111
31/12/22HMiami Heat124-119
29/12/22ASacramento Kings126-127
28/12/22ASacramento Kings113-106
26/12/22HPhoenix Suns128-125 OT
24/12/22HPortland Trail Blazers120-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23AGolden State Warriors125-113
09/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers98-112
07/01/23HMiami Heat96-104
05/01/23ACleveland Cavaliers88-90
02/01/23ANew York Knicks83-102
31/12/22AToronto Raptors104-113
29/12/22AWashington Wizards102-127
28/12/22AMemphis Grizzlies125-108
26/12/22ADenver Nuggets125-128 OT
24/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies100-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %68%85%50%
Points / game116.8119.5114.2
Allowed / game113.7108.8118.5
Point differential+3.2+10.7-4.3
Avg total230.5228.3232.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)62% (8)83% (6)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWLLLL67%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game113.0114.2111.9
Allowed / game111.0109.1113.0
Point differential+2.0+5.0-1.1
Avg total224.1223.3224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)50% (6)14% (7)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics42301271%118.6112.6+6.0
2 Memphis Grizzlies41281368%116.8111.8+5.0
3 Brooklyn Nets40271368%114.6110.6+4.0
4 Denver Nuggets40271368%116.8113.7+3.2
5 Milwaukee Bucks41271466%112.4111.0+1.5
6 Philadelphia 76ers40251562%113.7109.4+4.3
7 Cleveland Cavaliers42261662%111.5106.8+4.8
8 New Orleans Pelicans42251760%117.4113.3+4.0
9 New York Knicks42231955%114.1111.3+2.8
10 Dallas Mavericks42231955%112.1111.0+1.1
11 Indiana Pacers42231955%115.6115.7-0.1
12 Sacramento Kings39211854%118.8117.1+1.7
13 Miami Heat42222052%108.8109.0-0.2
14 Los Angeles Clippers43222151%109.2110.0-0.8
15 Phoenix Suns42212150%113.0111.0+2.0
16 Golden State Warriors41202149%116.7117.7-1.0
17 Utah Jazz44212348%117.5116.8+0.7
18 Minnesota Timberwolves42202248%114.8115.5-0.7
19 Portland Trail Blazers40192148%112.0112.0+0.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers41192246%116.7117.8-1.2
21 Atlanta Hawks41192246%115.0116.3-1.3
22 Chicago Bulls42192345%114.2114.9-0.7
23 Toronto Raptors41182344%111.7111.4+0.3
24 Oklahoma City Thunder41182344%116.3116.6-0.2
25 Washington Wizards42182443%111.8113.1-1.4
26 Orlando Magic42162638%110.4114.2-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs42132931%112.5121.0-8.5
28 Detroit Pistons45123327%112.4119.6-7.3
29 Charlotte Hornets42113126%112.1118.5-6.4
30 Houston Rockets40103025%109.1115.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34363026126
Phoenix Suns2826212297
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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