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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 119-116
33-29 31-32 27-24 28-31
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game111.5
Allowed / game111.5
vs
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game118.8
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
98-90
98
90
+8
90avg 108
A20/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
105-108
105
108
-3
91avg 108
H23/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
108-109
108
109
-1
98avg 108
H25/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
107-116
107
116
-9
97avg 108
A27/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
105-100
105
100
+5
101avg 108
A29/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
103-124
103
124
-21
87avg 108
H31/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
103-110
103
110
-7
90avg 108
A23/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
117-115
117
115
+2
110avg 108
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
112-101
112
101
+11
108avg 108
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
114-120
114
120
-6
116avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
19-29
28-14
32-23
33-27
29-32
21-23
22-26
32-26
28-22
26-31
22-30
28-33
24-27
35-27
20-29
27-20
22-29
29-24
27-27
19-35
21-34
33-28
30-27
23-22
19-33
32-27
29-28
29-32
26-27
34-29
28-27
32-18
24-26
33-28
23-29
34-26
25-35
23-32
32-27
216.5Avg total
107.2Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)111.5111.5223.0+0.050%
Season at home (2)113.0110.5223.5+2.550%
Season away (2)110.0112.5222.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)107.2109.3216.5-2.140%
Last 5 (5)109.8114.0223.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)106.4104.7211.1+1.748%
vs Weaker (9)117.3108.9226.2+8.478%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
68avg 108
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
117-90
117
90
+27
115avg 108
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 108
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
112-97
112
97
+15
112avg 108
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
70-115
70
115
-45
53avg 108
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-98
90
98
-8
79avg 108
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
87-102
87
102
-15
80avg 108
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
104-109
104
109
-5
88avg 108
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
127-125 OT
127
125
+2
122avg 108
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
144-139 OT
144
139
+5
140avg 108
A29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
15-33
25-21
20-24
28-20
28-21
37-25
24-24
29-24
35-25
26-30
25-28
28-26
22-18
38-30
24-23
14-31
26-28
21-27
9-29
24-19
29-19
14-28
23-32
24-31
27-27
17-27
19-17
19-27
23-21
29-22
33-39
29-30
25-32
29-26
31-26
27-40
36-32
33-27
29-26
213.4Avg total
104.6Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)115.5118.8234.2-3.250%
Season at home (2)95.5105.5201.0-10.00%
Season away (2)135.5132.0267.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)104.6108.8213.4-4.250%
Last 5 (5)110.4114.6225.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.0102.0189.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)103.7104.3208.1-0.647%
vs Weaker (14)118.9110.9229.8+8.186%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A20/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H23/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H25/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A27/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A29/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
40-69
40
69
-29
H31/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A23/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H29/10
NBA
107.0Avg total
51.3Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.453.6107.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.554.8109.3-0.350%-
Last 30 away (14)52.152.3104.4-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)51.355.7107.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)50.457.6108.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)51.053.0104.0-2.038%-
vs Weaker (9)59.055.1114.1+3.956%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
35-61
35
61
-26
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A11/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A13/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H15/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A17/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H25/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A28/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A29/10
NBA
104.0Avg total
50.8Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.653.6108.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.352.9105.2-0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)57.654.5112.2+3.154%-
Last 10 (10)50.853.2104.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)52.655.6108.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.058.0109.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)51.551.5103.1+0.053%-
vs Weaker (14)58.155.6113.7+2.650%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 107.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.524.2
52.0%
54.3%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.6
37.1%
35.9%40.8
🏀 Free throws23.918.0
75.3%
77.8%18.0
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.528.1
49.7%
54.3%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.3
34.8%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.617.5
81.0%
77.8%17.5
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLLWLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLLLLWWWL
#7
League position
#9
-2.2
Net rating
-4.3
111.6
Offensive rating
108.1
113.8
Defensive rating
112.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.6%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.2%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.1%
3-point %
34.8%
62.4%
Assist %
64.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 108.1Defence113.8 · 112.4Shooting53.6% · 50.6%3-point %37.1% · 34.8%Ball care13.0% · 12.2%Off. rebounds23.9% · 24.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/24HDallas Mavericks114-120
27/10/24HToronto Raptors112-101
25/10/24ASacramento Kings117-115
23/10/24ALos Angeles Lakers103-110
31/05/24HDallas Mavericks103-124
29/05/24ADallas Mavericks105-100
27/05/24ADallas Mavericks107-116
25/05/24HDallas Mavericks108-109
23/05/24HDallas Mavericks105-108
20/05/24ADenver Nuggets98-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/24ABrooklyn Nets144-139 OT
28/10/24AToronto Raptors127-125 OT
26/10/24HLos Angeles Clippers104-109
25/10/24HOklahoma City Thunder87-102
20/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves90-98
17/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves70-115
15/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves112-97
13/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves115-107
11/05/24AMinnesota Timberwolves117-90
07/05/24HMinnesota Timberwolves80-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game111.5113.0110.0
Allowed / game111.5110.5112.5
Point differential+0.0+2.5-2.5
Avg total223.0223.5222.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game115.595.5135.5
Allowed / game118.8105.5132.0
Point differential-3.2-10.0+3.5
Avg total234.2201.0267.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder440100%112.294.8+17.5
2 Cleveland Cavaliers660100%124.7107.7+17.0
3 Boston Celtics65183%125.5113.5+12.0
4 Golden State Warriors54180%119.899.4+20.4
5 Phoenix Suns54180%116.0112.4+3.6
6 Los Angeles Lakers64267%118.3119.0-0.7
7 New York Knicks53260%116.0109.0+7.0
8 Sacramento Kings53260%117.8111.4+6.4
9 Houston Rockets53260%110.6106.0+4.6
10 Dallas Mavericks53260%110.8109.4+1.4
11 Orlando Magic63350%111.7109.8+1.8
12 Brooklyn Nets63350%118.3116.7+1.7
13 Memphis Grizzlies63350%118.2117.8+0.3
14 Minnesota Timberwolves42250%111.5111.5+0.0
15 Miami Heat42250%106.0109.0-3.0
16 Denver Nuggets42250%115.5118.8-3.2
17 Chicago Bulls63350%113.2116.8-3.7
18 New Orleans Pelicans63350%108.5114.2-5.7
19 Washington Wizards42250%118.0124.0-6.0
20 Los Angeles Clippers52340%111.6111.0+0.6
21 San Antonio Spurs52340%103.6105.0-1.4
22 Charlotte Hornets52340%116.6120.2-3.6
23 Portland Trail Blazers52340%107.2112.8-5.6
24 Indiana Pacers62433%115.8121.0-5.2
25 Atlanta Hawks62433%117.2123.5-6.3
26 Philadelphia 76ers41325%107.2114.5-7.2
27 Milwaukee Bucks51420%111.0119.6-8.6
28 Toronto Raptors61517%117.5125.2-7.7
29 Detroit Pistons61517%104.8113.5-8.7
30 Utah Jazz5050%99.2116.4-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves33312728119
Denver Nuggets29322431116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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