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Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 115-112
26-25 29-33 29-29 31-25
Position#22
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game110.7
vs
Position#20
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game108.7
Allowed / game107.5
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Miami Heat
19 Mar 2027
PHX v MIA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PHX102
MIA111
06 Nov 2024
PHX115
MIA112
05 Jan 2024
PHX113
MIA97
06 Jan 2023
PHX96
MIA104
08 Jan 2022
PHX100
MIA123
13 Apr 2021
PHX106
MIA86
07 Nov 2019
PHX108
MIA124
07 Dec 2018
PHX98
MIA115
08 Nov 2017
PHX115
MIA126
03 Jan 2017
PHX99
MIA90
08 Jan 2016
PHX95
MIA103
09 Dec 2014
PHX97
MIA103
11 Feb 2014
PHX97
MIA103
17 Nov 2012
PHX88
MIA97
23 Dec 2010
PHX83
MIA95
08 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIA109
28 Nov 2008
PHX92
MIA107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
93-105
93
105
-12
85avg 111
A23/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
109-126
109
126
-17
99avg 111
H27/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
108avg 111
H29/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
116-113 OT
116
113
+3
112avg 111
A24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
116-123
116
123
-7
116avg 111
A26/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
114-102
114
102
+12
110avg 111
H27/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
109-105
109
105
+4
101avg 111
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
125-119
125
119
+6
122avg 111
A01/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
103-97
103
97
+6
101avg 111
H03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
118-116
118
116
+2
114avg 111
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
30-26
20-28
22-27
32-34
21-25
20-36
36-31
26-25
35-31
31-34
24-32
23-22
24-17
25-35
31-29
38-23
23-29
24-35
31-36
28-26
35-29
28-25
23-22
25-34
25-14
26-35
33-22
20-37
32-33
39-23
34-26
22-18
21-29
44-18
16-32
28-26
37-37
29-30
24-23
224.7Avg total
111.9Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)114.4110.7225.1+3.786%
Season at home (4)111.0105.0216.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)119.0118.3237.3+0.767%
Last 10 (10)111.9112.8224.7-0.960%
Last 5 (5)113.8107.8221.6+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)112.6120.8233.4-8.240%
vs Similar ◀ (21)111.2109.7220.9+1.562%
vs Weaker (4)117.0105.2222.2+11.875%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
84-118
84
118
-34
66avg 104
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
66-105
66
105
-39
no box
A06/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#4
W
102-86
102
86
+16
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
98avg 104
A10/07
California Classic
Orlando Magic
#15
L
97-116
97
116
-19
87avg 104
H23/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-106
114
106
+8
111avg 104
A26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
106-98
106
98
+8
96avg 104
H28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
107-116
107
116
-9
100avg 104
H30/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
118-98
118
98
+20
107avg 104
A03/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
110-111
110
111
-1
96avg 104
H05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-41
23-27
20-30
18-20
12-19
22-31
11-30
21-25
27-20
29-24
20-22
26-20
21-21
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-32
22-26
18-39
25-19
23-23
33-25
27-24
31-34
28-30
36-23
14-26
28-19
32-26
26-26
22-35
27-29
31-21
25-27
33-22
29-28
25-22
36-26
17-37
32-26
201.4Avg total
98.4Scored
103.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)108.7107.5216.2+1.250%
Season at home (4)105.0110.2215.2-5.225%
Season away (2)116.0102.0218.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)98.4103.0201.4-4.650%
Last 5 (5)111.0105.8216.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)92.0105.8197.8-13.825%
vs Similar ◀ (15)106.3105.6211.9+0.747%
vs Weaker (7)116.696.4213.0+20.1100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.0+2.0
Phoenix SunsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A23/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H27/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H29/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A26/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H27/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
52-70
52
70
-18
A01/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H05/11
NBA
108.5Avg total
54.6Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.555.8112.3+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.554.4109.9+1.262%-
Last 30 away (17)57.256.9114.1+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)54.653.9108.5+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)54.656.6111.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.661.2114.8-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)56.855.7112.4+1.157%-
vs Weaker (4)58.549.8108.2+8.8100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
46-68
46
68
-22
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A06/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#4
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A07/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A10/07
California Classic
Orlando Magic
#15
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H23/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H30/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A03/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H05/11
NBA
103.0Avg total
52.1Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.951.9105.8+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.250.8106.0+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)52.453.1105.5-0.657%-
Last 10 (10)52.150.9103.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)59.049.8108.8+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.556.4102.9-9.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)54.951.6106.5+3.367%-
vs Weaker (7)60.147.3107.4+12.986%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 111.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.325.1
54.2%
54.3%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.913.2
37.8%
35.9%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.122.1
81.5%
77.8%22.1
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 98.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.824.9
48.1%
54.3%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.3
32.9%
35.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
77.8%14.9
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWWWWLWLLL
Miami Heat
LWLWWLWWLL
#22
League position
#20
-0.9
Net rating
-6.2
112.3
Offensive rating
103.4
113.2
Defensive rating
109.6
55.3%
Effective FG%
48.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
11.4%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.8%
3-point %
32.9%
65.8%
Assist %
62.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 103.4Defence113.2 · 109.6Shooting55.3% · 48.6%3-point %37.8% · 32.9%Ball care13.8% · 11.4%Off. rebounds19.6% · 22.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Phoenix Suns wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HPhiladelphia 76ers118-116
03/11/24HPortland Trail Blazers103-97
01/11/24ALos Angeles Clippers125-119
29/10/24HLos Angeles Lakers109-105
27/10/24HDallas Mavericks114-102
26/10/24ALos Angeles Lakers116-123
24/10/24ALos Angeles Clippers116-113 OT
29/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves116-122
27/04/24HMinnesota Timberwolves109-126
23/04/24AMinnesota Timberwolves93-105
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HSacramento Kings110-111
03/11/24AWashington Wizards118-98
30/10/24HNew York Knicks107-116
28/10/24HDetroit Pistons106-98
26/10/24ACharlotte Hornets114-106
23/10/24HOrlando Magic97-116
10/07/24ALos Angeles Lakers80-76
07/07/24ASacramento Kings102-86
06/07/24AGolden State Warriors66-105
01/05/24ABoston Celtics84-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game114.4111.0119.0
Allowed / game110.7105.0118.3
Point differential+3.7+6.0+0.7
Avg total225.1216.0237.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%25%100%
Points / game108.7105.0116.0
Allowed / game107.5110.2102.0
Point differential+1.2-5.2+14.0
Avg total216.2215.2218.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder770100%113.395.9+17.4
2 Cleveland Cavaliers990100%123.2110.6+12.7
3 Golden State Warriors87188%121.1105.2+15.9
4 Phoenix Suns76186%114.4110.7+3.7
5 Boston Celtics97278%122.3110.6+11.8
6 Houston Rockets85362%113.8106.8+7.0
7 Dallas Mavericks85362%113.5108.1+5.4
8 Sacramento Kings74357%118.3114.0+4.3
9 Minnesota Timberwolves74357%111.7109.7+2.0
10 Denver Nuggets74357%118.3116.6+1.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies95456%118.7114.9+3.8
12 Miami Heat63350%108.7107.5+1.2
13 Brooklyn Nets84450%113.5113.8-0.2
14 Indiana Pacers84450%118.4120.5-2.1
15 Los Angeles Lakers84450%115.9120.0-4.1
16 Atlanta Hawks94544%115.9121.2-5.3
17 New York Knicks73443%113.3110.7+2.6
18 Los Angeles Clippers73443%109.0109.1-0.1
19 San Antonio Spurs83538%104.4108.5-4.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers83538%108.1113.0-4.9
21 Charlotte Hornets83538%110.9116.9-6.0
22 Chicago Bulls83538%113.0119.4-6.4
23 Detroit Pistons93633%106.3109.3-3.0
24 Orlando Magic93633%105.8109.7-3.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans93633%109.3117.8-8.4
26 Washington Wizards62433%113.7123.2-9.5
27 Toronto Raptors82625%119.4125.0-5.6
28 Philadelphia 76ers61517%108.7116.7-8.0
29 Milwaukee Bucks71614%111.7118.3-6.6
30 Utah Jazz71614%104.9119.6-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns26292931115
Miami Heat25332925112
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