Murcia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	93.3	93.8	187.2	-0.5	50%
Season at home (4)	97.5	90.8	188.2	+6.8	75%
Season away (2)	85.0	100.0	185.0	-15.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	87.9	86.8	174.7	+1.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	88.4	181.2	+4.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	84.7	105.3	190.0	-20.7	0%
vs Similar (7)	89.4	93.9	183.3	-4.4	43%
vs Weaker (20)	90.5	80.5	171.1	+10.0	85%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadrid

Date

Competition

Manresa

#18

120-83

120

+37

122avg 91

H11/10

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#19

98-89

95avg 91

A13/10

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

111-92

111

+19

109avg 91

H15/10

Euroleague

Bilbao

119-84

119

+35

120avg 91

H18/10

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#17

113-99

113

+14

108avg 91

A22/10

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#17

122-86

122

+36

131avg 91

A25/10

ACB

Baskonia

#20

104-86

104

+18

102avg 91

A27/10

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

95-76

+19

90avg 91

H29/10

Euroleague

San Pablo Burgos

#13

90-79

+11

no box

H01/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

112-115 OT

112

115

-3

no box

H04/11

Euroleague

34-22

28-16

24-18

34-27

21-25

32-15

31-27

14-22

27-25

34-23

16-23

34-21

36-13

26-22

27-22

30-27

23-30

28-22

30-21

32-26

31-21

23-19

27-23

41-23

30-19

26-27

26-23

22-17

22-24

25-18

23-13

25-21

14-17

25-14

25-22

26-26

18-24

30-27

25-23

28-27

197.3Avg total

108.4Scored

88.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	109.0	87.7	196.7	+21.3	100%
Season at home (4)	104.5	83.2	187.8	+21.2	100%
Season away (2)	118.0	96.5	214.5	+21.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	108.4	88.9	197.3	+19.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	104.6	88.4	193.0	+16.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	96.7	91.8	188.5	+4.9	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	99.2	90.0	189.2	+9.2	60%

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MurciaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	20.5	39.8	-1.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.7	36.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	15.3	23.7	39.0	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.3	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	22.3	46.2	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	21.1	45.5	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	23.5	46.9	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	22.0	47.6	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	23.4	23.9	47.3	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.1	21.5	45.6	+2.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	20.8	43.1	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.1	21.3	43.4	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.7	28.7	49.3	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.9	24.0	46.9	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.1	18.9	41.0	+3.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.8	22.4	47.3	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	22.5	47.1	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.1	22.3	47.5	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.7	20.3	48.0	+7.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	21.0	46.8	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.8	23.6	46.4	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.9	21.9	47.7	+4.0	60%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barcelona

36-52

-16

H06/06

ACB

Basquet Girona

#12

33-36

-3

A27/09

ACB

Barcelona

46-46

H04/10

ACB

Varese

#32

39-22

+17

H07/10

Champions League

Tenerife

33-44

-11

H11/10

ACB

Bamberg

#53

34-32

A14/10

Champions League

Valencia

36-58

-22

A18/10

ACB

Leyma Coruna

#15

37-40

-3

H24/10

ACB

Peristeri

32-33

-1

H27/10

Champions League

Forca Lleida

#17

60-40

+20

H31/10

ACB

78.9Avg total

38.6Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	41.0	83.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.5	40.4	82.9	+2.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.5	41.8	83.2	-0.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	40.3	78.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	40.6	80.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.0	52.3	88.3	-16.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.3	43.9	86.1	-1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (20)	42.9	38.3	81.2	+4.6	70%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manresa

#18

62-38

+24

H11/10

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#19

53-40

+13

A13/10

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#15

61-48

+13

H15/10

Euroleague

Bilbao

62-35

+27

H18/10

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#17

51-52

-1

A22/10

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#17

54-40

+14

A25/10

ACB

Baskonia

#20

56-46

+10

A27/10

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

47-42

H29/10

Euroleague

San Pablo Burgos

#13

39-31

H01/11

ACB

Panathinaikos

48-51

-3

H04/11

Euroleague

95.6Avg total

53.3Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.7	44.7	93.5	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.0	43.6	92.6	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.5	45.9	94.3	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.3	42.3	95.6	+11.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	42.0	90.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	46.2	47.5	93.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	50.0	43.4	93.3	+6.6	75%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.2	45.4	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.4	20.6	43.1	+1.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.2	24.3	48.5	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	23.3	47.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	24.2	49.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	23.7	28.3	52.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.9	24.9	48.7	-1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.9	20.4	43.2	+2.5	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	21.1	45.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	21.9	45.7	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	20.3	44.4	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	21.5	46.9	+3.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.8	46.0	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	23.6	18.9	42.5	+4.7	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.1	22.2	46.3	+1.9	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	22.3	46.5	+1.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.8	21.7	46.5	+3.1	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.3	23.2	46.5	+0.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	23.2	48.1	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	23.6	51.6	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	25.0	24.7	49.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (20)	24.8	21.9	46.7	+2.9	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	23.7	48.0	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.9	24.5	50.3	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	23.0	45.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.6	23.7	52.3	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	22.8	51.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	24.1	23.1	47.2	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.3	24.1	48.4	+0.2	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.3	44.6	91.9	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	47.2	42.4	89.6	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	47.5	47.5	94.9	+0.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.3	46.5	95.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.0	47.8	100.8	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	48.7	53.0	101.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	45.9	47.6	93.4	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (20)	47.6	42.2	89.9	+5.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.2	44.8	93.0	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.7	46.4	96.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.7	43.3	90.0	+3.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	54.0	45.2	99.2	+8.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.6	43.6	97.2	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	47.7	42.0	89.7	+5.7	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	48.5	46.2	94.7	+2.2	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.9 points a game

46%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.4	50.8%	55.7%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.7	10.7	32.7%	36.4%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	24.5	19.0	77.6%	75.7%	19.0

They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 108.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀37%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.9 points a game

46%

34%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	20.3	57.0%	55.7%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.6	15.3	43.0%	36.4%	45.9
🏀 Free throws	26.6	21.9	82.3%	75.7%	21.9

They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	20.2	49.4%	55.7%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	8.8	40.4%	36.4%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	27.0	20.0	74.1%	75.7%	20.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	22.9	51.8%	55.7%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.4	32.8%	36.4%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	22.9	16.5	72.1%	75.7%	16.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	19.8	53.4%	55.7%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	10.8	34.8%	36.4%	32.3
🏀 Free throws	23.5	17.7	75.6%	75.7%	17.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.4	20.1	62.0%	55.7%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	11.4	37.5%	36.4%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	20.0	16.1	80.4%	75.7%	16.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	21.7	50.8%	55.7%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	7.9	36.0%	36.4%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	25.8	19.0	73.9%	75.7%	19.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	20.5	56.3%	55.7%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.6	35.6%	36.4%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.5	74.9%	75.7%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Murcia

WLWLWLWWLL

Real Madrid

LWWWWWWWWW

#10

League position

+1.2

Net rating

+22.2

97.1

Offensive rating

114.9

95.9

Defensive rating

92.7

50.0%

Effective FG%

60.7%

53.3%

Opp. effective FG%

50.9%

14.0%

Turnover %

13.2%

0.36

Free-throw rate

0.37

32.7%

3-point %

43.0%

53.3%

Assist %

64.9%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

90%

Profile

■ Murcia ■ Real Madrid

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Murcia wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
03/05/26	Real Madrid v Murcia	131-123 OT
30/12/25	Murcia v Real Madrid	80-91
09/03/25	Real Madrid v Murcia	80-75
03/11/24	Murcia v Real Madrid	64-85
12/06/24	Murcia v Real Madrid	73-84
10/06/24	Real Madrid v Murcia	79-63
08/06/24	Real Madrid v Murcia	84-76
15/02/24	Real Madrid v Murcia	84-79
14/01/24	Murcia v Real Madrid	73-61
15/10/23	Real Madrid v Murcia	106-92

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/26	H	Forca Lleida	125-98
27/10/26	H	Peristeri	72-80
24/10/26	H	Leyma Coruna	88-81
18/10/26	A	Valencia	93-116
14/10/26	A	Bamberg	86-67
11/10/26	H	Tenerife	77-90
07/10/26	H	Varese	85-58
04/10/26	H	Barcelona	100-94
27/09/26	A	Basquet Girona	77-84
06/06/26	H	Barcelona	76-100

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/26	H	Panathinaikos	112-115 OT
01/11/26	H	San Pablo Burgos	90-79
29/10/26	H	Fenerbahce	95-76
27/10/26	A	Baskonia	104-86
25/10/26	A	Forca Lleida	122-86
22/10/26	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	113-99
18/10/26	H	Bilbao	119-84
15/10/26	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	111-92
13/10/26	A	Olimpia Milano	98-89
11/10/26	H	Manresa	120-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia

ACB 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	50%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	50%	75%	0%
Points / game	93.3	97.5	85.0
Allowed / game	93.8	90.8	100.0
Point differential	-0.5	+6.8	-15.0
Avg total	187.2	188.2	185.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2026-27

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	109.0	104.5	118.0
Allowed / game	87.7	83.2	96.5
Point differential	+21.3	+21.2	+21.5
Avg total	196.7	187.8	214.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	75%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	17%	0%	50%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	100%	109.0	87.7	+21.3
2	Valencia	6	4	2	67%	99.0	87.2	+11.8
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	67%	94.5	82.8	+11.7
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	67%	87.8	79.8	+8.0
5	Breogan	6	4	2	67%	104.7	98.7	+6.0
6	Basket Zaragoza	6	4	2	67%	92.0	87.2	+4.8
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	67%	97.0	95.0	+2.0
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	67%	92.8	92.7	+0.2
9	Unicaja	6	3	3	50%	88.3	84.5	+3.8
10	Murcia	6	3	3	50%	93.3	93.8	-0.5
11	Obradoiro CAB	6	3	3	50%	88.8	96.0	-7.2
12	Basquet Girona	6	3	3	50%	90.5	99.0	-8.5
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	33%	88.0	87.5	+0.5
14	Joventut Badalona	6	2	4	33%	91.8	91.5	+0.3
15	Leyma Coruna	6	2	4	33%	90.0	99.8	-9.8
16	MoraBanc Andorra	6	1	5	17%	84.5	96.5	-12.0
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	17%	92.8	106.8	-14.0
18	Manresa	6	0	6	0%	84.3	102.8	-18.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

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Murcia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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