Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	90.0	79.1	169.1	+10.9	83%
Season at home (6)	87.2	77.7	164.8	+9.5	83%
Season away (6)	92.8	80.5	173.3	+12.3	83%
Last 10 (10)	91.5	77.3	168.8	+14.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	76.0	165.6	+13.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	92.0	80.0	172.0	+12.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	85.2	81.3	166.5	+3.9	80%
vs Weaker (18)	89.8	76.1	165.9	+13.7	78%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadrid

Date

Competition

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

75-74

69avg 81

A25/11

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

#19

81-75

82avg 81

A04/12

Euroleague

Tenerife

71-70

66avg 81

A07/12

ACB

Baskonia

#18

94-87

91avg 81

H11/12

Euroleague

Basquet Girona

#12

112-76

112

+36

110avg 81

H14/12

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#13

82-89

-7

68avg 81

A16/12

Euroleague

Paris

#16

95-90

90avg 81

H18/12

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#14

88-81

79avg 81

A20/12

ACB

Monaco

#10

95-100

100

-5

87avg 81

A26/12

Euroleague

Unicaja

91-82

84avg 81

H28/12

ACB

22-18

17-18

21-22

15-16

17-17

20-24

23-18

21-16

18-16

15-9

16-23

22-22

24-23

18-16

29-21

23-27

28-22

31-27

27-16

26-11

21-23

18-27

21-16

22-23

24-21

25-29

21-24

25-16

28-19

18-24

20-24

22-14

20-21

23-26

27-23

25-30

27-30

19-24

25-12

20-16

170.8Avg total

88.4Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	90.7	80.7	171.3	+10.0	92%
Season at home (6)	90.5	75.7	166.2	+14.8	100%
Season away (6)	90.8	85.7	176.5	+5.2	83%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	82.4	170.8	+6.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.2	88.4	178.6	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	87.0	86.1	173.1	+0.9	50%
vs Weaker (22)	88.0	81.8	169.9	+6.2	77%

This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MurciaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.3	20.3	40.6	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.8	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	20.1	43.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	20.1	43.4	+3.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.1	20.1	44.2	+3.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.0	43.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.8	46.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	24.2	20.0	44.3	+4.2	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.6	41.2	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	13.0	35.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.5	43.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	26.0	46.6	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	45%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Bosna

43-33

+10

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Breogan

#11

38-48

-10

H16/11

ACB

Lublin

#30

39-46

-7

H19/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Forca Lleida

#14

54-30

+24

A22/11

ACB

San Pablo Burgos

#13

58-46

+12

A06/12

ACB

Szombathely

#16

44-38

H10/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Joventut Badalona

32-38

-6

H14/12

ACB

Trefl Sopot

#26

51-44

A17/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Valencia

41-34

H21/12

ACB

Granada

#18

41-43

-2

A27/12

ACB

84.1Avg total

44.1Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	39.1	81.6	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	39.1	82.3	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	39.1	80.9	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	40.0	84.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.4	81.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	34.0	75.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.3	37.9	80.2	+4.4	70%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.4	39.9	82.3	+2.6	61%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

39-36

A25/11

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

#19

37-41

-4

A04/12

Euroleague

Tenerife

33-25

A07/12

ACB

Baskonia

#18

42-39

H11/12

Euroleague

Basquet Girona

#12

59-49

+10

H14/12

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#13

39-50

-11

A16/12

Euroleague

Paris

#16

49-50

-1

H18/12

Euroleague

Forca Lleida

#14

46-43

A20/12

ACB

Monaco

#10

43-47

-4

A26/12

Euroleague

Unicaja

46-54

-8

H28/12

ACB

86.7Avg total

43.3Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	42.6	87.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	41.6	87.3	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.4	43.4	87.8	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	43.4	86.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	48.8	93.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	44.4	42.6	87.0	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	45.2	42.5	87.8	+2.7	59%	-

This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	19.5	43.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	18.6	42.7	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.2	19.2	42.3	+4.0	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	19.4	41.9	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	22.2	43.4	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	19.9	42.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.6	21.2	41.9	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.5	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.1	42.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	19.4	43.3	+4.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	18.7	42.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	17.4	42.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	25.0	54.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.2	17.1	41.3	+7.2	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	18.3	40.1	+3.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	38.3	84.0	+7.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.0	38.3	84.3	+7.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.3	38.4	83.7	+6.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	37.3	84.7	+10.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	36.6	84.4	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	51.0	46.0	97.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.3	41.0	82.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	47.4	36.2	83.6	+11.2	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.4	83.2	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	37.6	82.0	+6.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	42.8	84.2	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	39.0	84.1	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	39.6	85.2	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.6	43.5	86.1	-0.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	42.8	39.3	82.1	+3.5	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 90.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game

42%

39%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	19.8	52.5%	50.0%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.7	11.5	37.5%	42.2%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	23.1	16.6	71.9%	74.7%	16.6

They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game

42%

39%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.3	53.9%	50.0%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.9	36.4%	42.2%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	23.0	18.9	82.2%	74.7%	18.9

They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.1	19.5	45.2%	50.0%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	6.7	31.2%	42.2%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	22.3	17.0	76.2%	74.7%	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.5	50.4%	50.0%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	10.9	39.4%	42.2%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	16.3	12.1	74.2%	74.7%	12.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	21.0	55.3%	50.0%	41.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	10.0	34.0%	42.2%	30.1
🏀 Free throws	21.9	15.7	71.6%	74.7%	15.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	20.4	55.0%	50.0%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.7	33.5%	42.2%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	24.3	19.9	81.9%	74.7%	19.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	19.9	48.9%	50.0%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	6.9	31.0%	42.2%	20.8
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.6	74.6%	74.7%	16.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	19.5	51.9%	50.0%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.6	36.2%	42.2%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.4	76.8%	74.7%	14.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Murcia

WWWWWWWWLW

Real Madrid

WLWWLWWWWW

League position

+18.9

Net rating

+7.3

117.4

Offensive rating

117.7

98.5

Defensive rating

110.4

54.2%

Effective FG%

54.2%

45.7%

Opp. effective FG%

54.1%

15.2%

Turnover %

17.0%

35.4%

Off. rebound %

34.2%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.37

37.5%

3-point %

36.4%

59.1%

Assist %

56.5%

90%

Form (last 10/10)

80%

Profile

■ Murcia ■ Real Madrid

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Murcia wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
09/03/25	Real Madrid v Murcia	80-75
03/11/24	Murcia v Real Madrid	64-85
12/06/24	Murcia v Real Madrid	73-84
10/06/24	Real Madrid v Murcia	79-63
08/06/24	Real Madrid v Murcia	84-76
15/02/24	Real Madrid v Murcia	84-79
14/01/24	Murcia v Real Madrid	73-61
15/10/23	Real Madrid v Murcia	106-92
12/02/23	Murcia v Real Madrid	80-88
20/11/22	Real Madrid v Murcia	93-57

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/25	A	Granada	86-79
21/12/25	H	Valencia	92-80
17/12/25	A	Trefl Sopot	93-77
14/12/25	H	Joventut Badalona	80-77
10/12/25	H	Szombathely	97-67
06/12/25	A	San Pablo Burgos	110-88
22/11/25	A	Forca Lleida	107-71
19/11/25	H	Lublin	80-75
16/11/25	H	Breogan	83-96
11/11/25	H	KK Bosna	87-63

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/25	H	Unicaja	91-82
26/12/25	A	Monaco	95-100
20/12/25	A	Forca Lleida	88-81
18/12/25	H	Paris	95-90
16/12/25	A	Olimpia Milano	82-89
14/12/25	H	Basquet Girona	112-76
11/12/25	H	Baskonia	94-87
07/12/25	A	Tenerife	71-70
04/12/25	A	Anadolu Efes	81-75
25/11/25	A	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia

ACB 2025-26

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWLWW	83%
Away	LWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	83%	83%	83%
Points / game	90.0	87.2	92.8
Allowed / game	79.1	77.7	80.5
Point differential	+10.9	+9.5	+12.3
Avg total	169.1	164.8	173.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	92%	100%	83%
Points / game	90.7	90.5	90.8
Allowed / game	80.7	75.7	85.7
Point differential	+10.0	+14.8	+5.2
Avg total	171.3	166.2	176.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	83%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	12	11	1	92%	90.7	80.7	+10.0
2	Murcia	12	10	2	83%	90.0	79.1	+10.9
3	Valencia	11	9	2	82%	94.1	83.4	+10.7
4	Tenerife	13	9	4	69%	89.1	82.8	+6.3
5	Barcelona	12	8	4	67%	85.1	78.8	+6.2
6	Unicaja	13	8	5	62%	88.3	84.2	+4.2
7	Joventut Badalona	13	8	5	62%	85.0	81.8	+3.2
8	Baskonia	12	7	5	58%	91.3	90.1	+1.2
9	Bilbao	12	5	7	42%	82.8	83.9	-1.1
10	Gran Canaria	12	5	7	42%	79.8	82.1	-2.2
11	Manresa	12	5	7	42%	82.8	87.8	-4.9
12	Basquet Girona	12	5	7	42%	86.7	92.2	-5.6
13	Breogan	13	5	8	38%	89.2	92.8	-3.7
14	Basket Zaragoza	11	4	7	36%	88.5	90.2	-1.6
15	Forca Lleida	12	4	8	33%	83.0	90.3	-7.3
16	MoraBanc Andorra	12	4	8	33%	82.6	92.0	-9.4
17	San Pablo Burgos	13	2	11	15%	88.0	95.8	-7.8
18	Granada	13	1	12	8%	80.8	88.7	-7.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Murcia	18	14	23	25	80
Real Madrid	22	19	26	24	91

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Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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