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Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:10
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game80.3
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 80
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 80
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 80
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 80
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 80
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 80
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
A15/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
11-22
23-21
20-23
28-14
21-18
17-20
30-26
22-18
29-23
14-25
25-21
14-18
177.3Avg total
87.3Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.984.9169.8+0.050%
Season at home (5)89.881.4171.2+8.480%
Season away (5)80.088.4168.4-8.420%
Last 10 (10)87.390.0177.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)82.488.4170.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.993.0174.9-11.10%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.382.2166.5+2.164%
vs Weaker (11)89.984.2174.1+5.764%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 71
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 71
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 71
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 71
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 71
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
W
99-79
99
79
+20
91avg 71
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
61-99
61
99
-38
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
14-24
14-21
17-22
21-13
20-21
22-25
23-14
20-21
19-22
16-25
9-32
17-20
22-21
23-21
19-15
17-16
156.8Avg total
77.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.780.3160.0-0.660%
Season at home (5)83.678.4162.0+5.280%
Season away (5)75.882.2158.0-6.440%
Last 10 (10)77.279.6156.8-2.460%
Last 5 (5)78.482.4160.8-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.087.2165.2-9.231%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.878.3157.1+0.442%
vs Weaker (5)74.471.8146.2+2.680%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A15/11
LKL
90.5Avg total
45.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.987.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.241.686.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)43.844.588.4-0.762%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.190.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.087.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.848.190.9-5.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)46.339.085.3+7.391%-
vs Weaker (11)44.443.087.4+1.455%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/11
LKL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.080.3-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.280.3-4.120%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.780.3-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.686.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.844.283.9-4.415%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.043.180.1-6.117%-
vs Weaker (5)37.833.671.4+4.280%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.8%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
70.8%14.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWLLLWLWW
Lietkabelis
WLWLWLLWWW
#5
League position
#4
-1.7
Net rating
-2.7
98.4
Offensive rating
95.5
100.1
Defensive rating
98.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.8%
3-point %
35.0%
64.0%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 95.5Defence100.1 · 98.3Shooting51.8% · 51.9%3-point %32.8% · 35.0%Ball care15.6% · 15.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Neptunas wins
4
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AZalgiris Kaunas82-87
10/11/26HSlask Wroclaw90-82
07/11/26HTaurage82-80
03/11/26ATofas79-94
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATaurage81-73
11/11/26ABahcesehir Kol.61-99
07/11/26HRytas85-81
04/11/26HManresa66-80
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game84.989.880.0
Allowed / game84.981.488.4
Point differential+0.0+8.4-8.4
Avg total169.8171.2168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game79.783.675.8
Allowed / game80.378.482.2
Point differential-0.6+5.2-6.4
Avg total160.0162.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas10100100%92.676.7+15.9
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas105550%84.984.9+0.0
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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