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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2009
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 108-97
27-21 32-27 24-24 25-25
Position#5
Record24-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game104.2
Allowed / game100.5
vs
Position#14
Record18-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game95.5
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat
14 Mar 2027
DEN v MIA
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
DEN122
MIA112
08 Nov 2024
DEN135
MIA122
29 Feb 2024
DEN103
MIA97
12 Jun 2023
DEN94
MIA89
04 Jun 2023
DEN108
MIA111
01 Jun 2023
DEN104
MIA93
30 Dec 2022
DEN124
MIA119
08 Nov 2021
DEN113
MIA96
14 Apr 2021
DEN123
MIA106
01 Aug 2020
DEN105
MIA125
05 Nov 2019
DEN109
MIA89
11 Feb 2019
DEN103
MIA87
03 Nov 2017
DEN95
MIA94
30 Nov 2016
DEN98
MIA106
15 Jan 2016
DEN95
MIA98
10 Dec 2014
DEN102
MIA82
30 Dec 2013
DEN94
MIA97
15 Nov 2012
DEN93
MIA98
13 Jan 2012
DEN117
MIA104
13 Jan 2011
DEN130
MIA102
03 Dec 2009
DEN114
MIA96
07 Jan 2009
DEN108
MIA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
101-108
101
108
-7
A21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
105-101
105
101
+4
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
117-110
117
110
+7
A28/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
91-109
91
109
-18
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
114-107
114
107
+7
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
122-120
122
120
+2
A03/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
105-100
105
100
+5
H04/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
135-115
135
115
+20
H06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
30-29
24-27
19-23
29-27
24-20
25-28
19-14
25-25
17-22
24-20
26-34
21-21
28-31
19-27
37-22
27-27
39-29
27-33
24-21
24-29
29-25
18-24
20-31
29-31
24-19
32-27
29-30
32-26
21-38
36-32
33-24
28-23
30-17
25-31
22-29
40-28
34-42
23-22
38-23
213.9Avg total
107.9Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)104.2100.5204.7+3.767%
Season at home (17)107.1100.5207.6+6.576%
Season away (19)101.6100.5202.2+1.158%
Last 10 (10)107.9106.0213.9+1.970%
Last 5 (5)113.4110.2223.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)93.5107.5201.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)95.097.7192.7-2.745%
vs Weaker (17)112.1101.1213.2+11.194%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H20/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A21/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
104-95
104
95
+9
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H06/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
18-29
29-21
18-21
26-26
20-20
29-17
14-24
27-29
35-27
18-21
26-26
21-24
26-17
20-15
29-32
18-21
22-24
24-19
26-13
22-22
20-22
25-14
19-35
26-19
24-15
24-33
30-28
21-24
23-21
21-22
11-19
14-27
24-19
23-17
24-22
15-21
24-18
21-26
24-26
182.9Avg total
91.5Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)95.695.5191.1+0.255%
Season at home (18)96.092.1188.1+3.967%
Season away (15)95.299.6194.8-4.440%
Last 10 (10)91.591.4182.9+0.160%
Last 5 (5)90.292.2182.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.595.2181.7-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (17)95.894.4190.1+1.459%
vs Weaker (7)100.697.0197.6+3.671%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
Denver NuggetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#12
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A21/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A28/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#22
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A03/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H04/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H06/01
NBA
109.7Avg total
55.9Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.251.8106.1+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.451.9106.2+2.564%-
Last 30 away (16)54.151.8105.9+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)55.953.8109.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)58.255.6113.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.061.0118.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)50.650.8101.5-0.255%-
vs Weaker (17)56.251.4107.6+4.871%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A21/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H26/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A29/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A03/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#21
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/01
NBA
89.6Avg total
44.4Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.246.994.1+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.945.891.7+0.135%-
Last 30 away (13)49.048.297.2+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.289.6-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.684.2+1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.846.391.2-1.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)46.446.692.9-0.241%-
vs Weaker (7)51.448.099.4+3.471%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denver Nuggets wins
0
Miami Heat wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/09HIndiana Pacers135-115
04/01/09HNew Orleans Pelicans105-100
03/01/09AOklahoma City Thunder122-120
01/01/09AToronto Raptors114-107
30/12/08AAtlanta Hawks91-109
28/12/08ANew York Knicks117-110
27/12/08HPhiladelphia 76ers105-101
24/12/08APortland Trail Blazers92-101
23/12/08HPortland Trail Blazers97-89
21/12/08APhoenix Suns101-108
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/09HSan Antonio Spurs84-91
04/01/09HBrooklyn Nets101-96 OT
03/01/09AOrlando Magic76-86
31/12/08HCleveland Cavaliers104-95
29/12/08ACleveland Cavaliers86-93
26/12/08HChicago Bulls90-77
24/12/08HGolden State Warriors96-88
21/12/08ABrooklyn Nets106-103
20/12/08HLos Angeles Lakers89-87
16/12/08HMilwaukee Bucks83-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW76%
AwayLWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %67%76%58%
Points / game104.2107.1101.6
Allowed / game100.5100.5100.5
Point differential+3.7+6.5+1.1
Avg total204.7207.6202.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%41%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%5%
Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game95.696.095.2
Allowed / game95.592.199.6
Point differential+0.2+3.9-4.4
Avg total191.1188.1194.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3428682%101.589.1+12.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers3327682%107.297.8+9.3
3 Boston Celtics3729878%100.691.4+9.2
4 Orlando Magic3628878%100.493.3+7.1
5 New Orleans Pelicans31211068%95.991.8+4.1
6 San Antonio Spurs34231168%96.993.5+3.4
7 Denver Nuggets36241267%104.2100.5+3.7
8 Detroit Pistons32211166%94.893.8+1.0
9 Atlanta Hawks34221265%98.395.3+3.0
10 Dallas Mavericks34211362%99.697.0+2.6
11 Phoenix Suns31191261%103.1101.9+1.2
12 Houston Rockets37221559%96.794.2+2.6
13 Portland Trail Blazers34201459%97.995.1+2.9
14 Utah Jazz35201557%101.098.2+2.8
15 Miami Heat33181555%95.695.5+0.2
16 Brooklyn Nets36181850%99.4101.3-1.9
17 Milwaukee Bucks37172046%97.096.5+0.5
18 Philadelphia 76ers35152043%95.496.7-1.3
19 Chicago Bulls35152043%99.5103.0-3.5
20 Toronto Raptors36152142%97.199.8-2.7
21 New York Knicks33132039%103.9107.2-3.3
22 Charlotte Hornets36132336%91.594.6-3.1
23 Indiana Pacers34122235%103.3105.8-2.5
24 Memphis Grizzlies36112531%94.199.2-5.1
25 Minnesota Timberwolves35102529%97.5101.7-4.3
26 Golden State Warriors36102628%105.5111.5-5.9
27 Los Angeles Clippers3482624%93.799.9-6.2
28 Sacramento Kings3682822%96.1105.2-9.1
29 Washington Wizards3472721%93.7100.3-6.6
30 Oklahoma City Thunder3653114%94.5103.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27322425108
Miami Heat2127242597
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