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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Jan 2013
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 100-98 (OT)
22-26 23-19 19-23 23-19 13-11
Position#16
Record22-27
FormLLLLL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game96.3
vs
Position#1
Record32-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game96.1
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
13 Jul 2024
BOS114
MIA119
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
08 Jul 2023
BOS88
MIA99
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
14 Jul 2018
BOS74
MIA72
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
14 Jul 2015
BOS101
MIA69
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
05 Jul 2014
BOS85
MIA77
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#7
W
102-96
102
96
+6
A08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H10/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
103-91
103
91
+12
H12/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
100-89
100
89
+11
H15/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H17/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
H19/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
L
88-103
88
103
-15
A21/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
111-123 OT
111
123
-12
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
31-35
23-16
26-24
23-24
30-17
14-23
20-15
24-21
29-24
25-21
25-25
28-18
28-27
20-25
24-19
25-20
18-24
20-24
15-22
19-23
20-22
23-23
26-20
18-27
30-25
23-29
17-22
27-31
26-23
20-16
17-25
24-20
24-30
18-22
20-17
29-10
28-28
16-31
25-29
189.9Avg total
94.4Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)95.096.3191.3-1.345%
Season at home (26)96.193.5189.6+2.654%
Season away (23)93.799.5193.3-5.835%
Last 10 (10)94.495.5189.9-1.140%
Last 5 (5)94.8102.0196.8-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.298.5186.8-10.225%
vs Similar (21)93.595.1188.6-1.738%
vs Weaker (5)99.292.8192.0+6.480%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H05/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
99-71
99
71
+28
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A09/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
90-92
90
92
-2
A11/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
128-99
128
99
+29
A13/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
L
97-104
97
104
-7
A15/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
92-75
92
75
+17
A17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
A18/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
123-116 OT
123
116
+7
H24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
110-88
110
88
+22
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
26-23
18-26
23-21
27-19
25-25
17-16
30-11
19-20
23-22
15-25
20-20
21-18
31-21
16-24
22-29
28-17
38-27
37-28
25-27
25-30
19-29
21-25
32-20
28-21
24-17
28-12
12-25
26-22
18-23
29-20
26-25
22-28
28-29
38-27
21-25
30-31
30-20
24-17
26-20
192.2Avg total
100.4Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)101.396.1197.5+5.267%
Season at home (26)104.895.9200.7+8.877%
Season away (22)97.296.4193.6+0.855%
Last 10 (10)100.491.8192.2+8.660%
Last 5 (5)104.294.6198.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)100.0103.0203.0-3.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)102.695.0197.6+7.670%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H10/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H12/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H15/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H19/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A21/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A23/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A26/01
NBA
97.3Avg total
50.3Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.546.995.4+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.843.391.1+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)49.350.599.7-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)50.347.097.3+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)49.047.896.8+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)49.254.5103.8-5.20%-
vs Similar (21)46.945.592.4+1.452%-
vs Weaker (5)54.846.8101.6+8.080%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H05/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A11/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
66-44
66
44
+22
A13/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A15/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#17
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A18/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H24/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H26/01
NBA
97.8Avg total
51.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.449.0100.4+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.749.5101.2+2.259%-
Last 30 away (13)51.048.299.2+2.838%-
Last 10 (10)51.046.897.8+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)50.050.0100.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)51.348.399.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)51.449.0100.4+2.448%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boston Celtics wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/13AAtlanta Hawks111-123 OT
25/01/13HNew York Knicks86-89
23/01/13ACleveland Cavaliers90-95
21/01/13ADetroit Pistons88-103
19/01/13HChicago Bulls99-100 OT
17/01/13HNew Orleans Pelicans78-90
15/01/13HCharlotte Hornets100-89
12/01/13HHouston Rockets103-91
10/01/13HPhoenix Suns87-79
08/01/13ANew York Knicks102-96
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/13HDetroit Pistons110-88
24/01/13HToronto Raptors123-116 OT
18/01/13ALos Angeles Lakers99-90
17/01/13AGolden State Warriors92-75
15/01/13AUtah Jazz97-104
13/01/13ASacramento Kings128-99
11/01/13APortland Trail Blazers90-92
09/01/13AIndiana Pacers77-87
06/01/13HWashington Wizards99-71
05/01/13HChicago Bulls89-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWLLL54%
AwayWWLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492623
Win %45%54%35%
Points / game95.096.193.7
Allowed / game96.393.599.5
Point differential-1.3+2.6-5.8
Avg total191.3189.6193.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%35%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won31% (13)29% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %16%19%13%
Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW77%
AwayLWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482622
Win %67%77%55%
Points / game101.3104.897.2
Allowed / game96.195.996.4
Point differential+5.2+8.8+0.8
Avg total197.5200.7193.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%46%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %8%12%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder51381375%105.096.9+8.1
2 San Antonio Spurs53391474%104.096.6+7.4
3 Los Angeles Clippers53371670%100.293.4+6.8
4 Miami Heat48321667%101.396.1+5.2
5 Memphis Grizzlies49311863%94.390.7+3.6
6 Chicago Bulls50311962%92.990.5+2.4
7 Golden State Warriors50311962%99.798.4+1.4
8 New York Knicks47291862%99.896.7+3.1
9 Indiana Pacers51302159%91.490.2+1.2
10 Brooklyn Nets50292158%96.195.6+0.5
11 Denver Nuggets52302258%102.2100.3+1.9
12 Atlanta Hawks50282256%96.895.6+1.2
13 Utah Jazz52292356%98.797.5+1.2
14 Houston Rockets53292455%104.4102.5+1.8
15 Milwaukee Bucks50262452%97.197.8-0.6
16 Portland Trail Blazers50252550%97.498.8-1.4
17 Philadelphia 76ers50242648%94.696.3-1.7
18 Boston Celtics49222745%95.096.3-1.3
19 Minnesota Timberwolves47212645%94.094.8-0.8
20 Dallas Mavericks49212843%99.7101.9-2.2
21 Toronto Raptors50212942%98.499.1-0.7
22 Sacramento Kings52213140%97.2102.3-5.2
23 Detroit Pistons51203139%94.195.5-1.5
24 Phoenix Suns51193237%95.898.9-3.1
25 Los Angeles Lakers51183335%99.8101.1-1.4
26 New Orleans Pelicans51183335%91.996.0-4.2
27 Orlando Magic50163432%95.699.7-4.1
28 Cleveland Cavaliers51153629%95.2100.5-5.3
29 Washington Wizards50143628%92.096.7-4.6
30 Charlotte Hornets51123924%94.1102.2-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Boston Celtics2223192313100
Miami Heat261923191198
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