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Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#20
Record5-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#16
W
111-102
111
102
+9
108avg 104
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
99-129
99
129
-30
86avg 104
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
121-114
121
114
+7
120avg 104
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
97-108
97
108
-11
91avg 104
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
94-103
94
103
-9
84avg 104
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
104-117
104
117
-13
102avg 104
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
119-126 OT
119
126
-7
104avg 104
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
107-100
107
100
+7
98avg 104
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
123-108
123
108
+15
116avg 104
A12/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
107-99
107
99
+8
104avg 104
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
27-24
23-23
40-27
25-32
28-37
23-34
23-26
31-27
33-28
31-33
26-26
23-24
27-31
24-22
23-31
33-28
26-32
9-19
26-24
26-33
25-30
22-33
31-21
19-31
22-26
37-20
32-33
34-27
23-25
27-24
23-24
29-34
37-25
19-28
38-21
23-15
29-22
32-35
23-27
218.8Avg total
108.2Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)108.3112.8221.1-4.442%
Season at home (5)103.2111.4214.6-8.220%
Season away (7)112.0113.7225.7-1.757%
Last 10 (10)108.2110.6218.8-2.450%
Last 5 (5)112.0110.0222.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)105.0110.2215.2-5.238%
vs Similar (8)106.4114.9221.2-8.538%
vs Weaker (6)119.0107.5226.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 110
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 110
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 110
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 110
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 110
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 110
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 110
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 110
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 110
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 110
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
232.2Avg total
117.7Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.6112.8227.5+1.864%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (7)109.7106.4216.1+3.371%
Last 10 (10)117.7114.5232.2+3.270%
Last 5 (5)116.2109.4225.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.0113.2228.2+1.850%
vs Similar (14)113.9114.5228.4-0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)127.5118.0245.5+9.592%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#16
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A08/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A12/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H14/11
NBA
110.0Avg total
54.1Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.856.0112.8+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)59.053.7112.7+5.362%-
Last 30 away (17)55.157.8112.8-2.741%-
Last 10 (10)54.155.9110.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)53.453.6107.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)54.955.7110.6-0.844%-
vs Similar (8)57.958.8116.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (6)60.353.2113.5+7.283%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A15/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.6Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.958.2118.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.762.4124.1-0.738%-
Last 30 away (14)57.853.5111.3+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.853.0110.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)57.553.8111.2+3.875%-
vs Similar (14)58.656.8115.4+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)62.261.4123.6+0.850%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.6
52.6%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.313.2
32.8%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws23.217.1
73.7%
77.3%17.1
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WWWLLLLWLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLWWLW
#20
League position
#10
-8.1
Net rating
-1.6
104.5
Offensive rating
110.1
112.6
Defensive rating
111.6
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
16.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.8%
3-point %
32.2%
67.4%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 110.1Defence112.6 · 111.6Shooting50.9% · 53.6%3-point %32.8% · 32.2%Ball care15.7% · 11.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 16.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Orlando Magic wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks107-99
12/11/26AUtah Jazz123-108
11/11/26ASacramento Kings107-100
08/11/26AGolden State Warriors119-126 OT
06/11/26APhoenix Suns104-117
03/11/26HWashington Wizards94-103
01/11/26HBoston Celtics97-108
30/10/26AToronto Raptors121-114
28/10/26AToronto Raptors99-129
25/10/26ANew York Knicks111-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans116-108
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW42%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%20%57%
Points / game108.3103.2112.0
Allowed / game112.8111.4113.7
Point differential-4.4-8.2-1.7
Avg total221.1214.6225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%14%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game114.6123.2109.7
Allowed / game112.8124.0106.4
Point differential+1.8-0.8+3.3
Avg total227.5247.2216.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %9%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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