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Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 99-110
15-30 24-31 30-19 30-30
Position#28
Record16-30
FormLLLWL
Points / game105.4
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#6
Record27-18
FormLWWWL
Points / game116.1
Allowed / game109.9
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
92-129
92
129
-37
A26/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
109-124
109
124
-15
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
124-130
124
130
-6
H02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
112-115
112
115
-3
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
77-104
77
104
-27
A13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
97-102
97
102
-5
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
121-113
121
113
+8
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
96-112
96
112
-16
A21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
19-41
25-27
20-37
21-22
29-32
26-33
33-37
33-29
25-32
28-34
38-35
39-27
22-15
29-36
22-37
32-30
26-33
24-19
21-29
29-16
10-31
25-27
13-30
19-22
26-26
32-25
20-29
26-24
18-21
22-27
27-22
35-29
29-33
39-22
18-29
31-27
17-29
25-33
23-23
215.8Avg total
102.4Scored
113.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)105.4111.8217.2-6.435%
Season at home (24)107.5111.5218.9-4.042%
Season away (22)103.1112.2215.3-9.127%
Last 10 (10)102.4113.4215.8-11.010%
Last 5 (5)96.8105.0201.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)104.4111.8216.2-7.424%
vs Similar (1)97.096.0193.0+1.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
126-96
126
96
+30
A28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
118-112
118
112
+6
A02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
128-97
128
97
+31
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
113-103
113
103
+10
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
103-102
103
102
+1
A13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
103-116
103
116
-13
H14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
121-106
121
106
+15
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
129-104
129
104
+25
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
131-127 OT
131
127
+4
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-20
27-23
34-26
27-27
37-25
25-30
27-32
29-25
37-23
27-27
35-30
29-17
28-29
33-23
21-22
31-29
26-31
27-24
28-22
22-25
29-28
22-34
22-31
30-23
32-32
33-24
22-35
34-15
26-25
31-20
38-22
34-37
20-30
27-25
34-34
35-27
30-22
21-36
29-25
28-30
225.6Avg total
118.0Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)116.1109.9226.0+6.260%
Season at home (23)117.2109.9227.1+7.361%
Season away (22)115.0109.9225.0+5.159%
Last 10 (10)118.0107.6225.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)118.4113.2231.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)113.3112.6225.9+0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)117.8107.3225.1+10.569%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -7.3-7.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
47-65
47
65
-18
A26/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A13/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H20/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A21/03
NBA
105.7Avg total
51.4Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.454.7106.1-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.155.4110.6-0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)47.153.9101.0-6.714%-
Last 10 (10)51.454.3105.7-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)48.051.699.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)52.054.8106.8-2.931%-
vs Similar (1)35.051.086.0-16.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-43
65
43
+22
A28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H16/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H21/03
NBA
110.7Avg total
57.6Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.254.7113.9+4.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.854.6113.4+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)59.654.9114.4+4.750%-
Last 10 (10)57.653.1110.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)54.255.2109.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)60.557.6118.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)58.152.2110.2+5.956%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.723.7
47.7%
52.8%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.613.6
37.2%
36.6%40.8
🏀 Free throws17.814.2
79.8%
77.7%14.2
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.232.6
58.0%
52.8%65.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.413.4
40.1%
36.6%40.2
🏀 Free throws16.212.6
77.8%
77.7%12.6
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLLLLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWWWLWWWWW
#28
League position
#6
-11.2
Net rating
+10.5
104.0
Offensive rating
118.8
115.1
Defensive rating
108.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
58.8%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
12.9%
Turnover %
12.5%
18.6%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.18
37.2%
3-point %
40.1%
60.6%
Assist %
62.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 118.8Defence115.1 · 108.3Shooting51.1% · 58.8%3-point %37.2% · 40.1%Ball care12.9% · 12.5%Off. rebounds18.6% · 23.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Orlando Magic wins
9
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21ABoston Celtics96-112
20/03/21HBrooklyn Nets121-113
18/03/21ANew York Knicks93-94
14/03/21HMiami Heat97-102
13/03/21ASan Antonio Spurs77-104
12/03/21AMiami Heat103-111
04/03/21HAtlanta Hawks112-115
02/03/21HDallas Mavericks124-130
28/02/21HUtah Jazz109-124
26/02/21ABrooklyn Nets92-129
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21HNew Orleans Pelicans108-113
20/03/21HChicago Bulls131-127 OT
18/03/21HCharlotte Hornets129-104
16/03/21HIndiana Pacers121-106
14/03/21HDallas Mavericks103-116
13/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies103-102
05/03/21AIndiana Pacers113-103
03/03/21AMilwaukee Bucks128-97
02/03/21AChicago Bulls118-112
28/02/21AOklahoma City Thunder126-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeLLLLW42%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %35%42%27%
Points / game105.4107.5103.1
Allowed / game111.8111.5112.2
Point differential-6.4-4.0-9.1
Avg total217.2218.9215.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWWWL61%
AwayWWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %60%61%59%
Points / game116.1117.2115.0
Allowed / game109.9109.9109.9
Point differential+6.2+7.3+5.1
Avg total226.0227.1225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)38% (8)50% (6)
Overtime %11%13%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz45341176%116.9108.0+8.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers45321371%114.9109.4+5.5
3 Brooklyn Nets45311469%120.0114.6+5.4
4 Los Angeles Lakers47321568%111.5105.8+5.6
5 Milwaukee Bucks45281762%119.2113.1+6.1
6 Phoenix Suns45281762%113.2108.1+5.1
7 Denver Nuggets45271860%116.1109.9+6.2
8 Los Angeles Clippers47281960%113.7109.6+4.0
9 Portland Trail Blazers46262057%113.7115.9-2.1
10 Dallas Mavericks44242055%112.8111.4+1.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies44232152%112.0110.7+1.3
12 Golden State Warriors46242252%112.8112.7+0.0
13 San Antonio Spurs43222151%109.6110.8-1.3
14 Miami Heat45232251%106.3107.6-1.4
15 Atlanta Hawks47242351%112.6111.2+1.4
16 New York Knicks47242351%104.3103.5+0.8
17 Chicago Bulls46222448%113.1113.2-0.1
18 Charlotte Hornets46222448%111.8113.2-1.4
19 Boston Celtics45212447%111.2111.3-0.0
20 New Orleans Pelicans44202445%115.5114.6+0.9
21 Oklahoma City Thunder46202643%106.5112.0-5.4
22 Sacramento Kings47202743%114.3118.9-4.6
23 Indiana Pacers45192642%112.6113.2-0.6
24 Toronto Raptors46192741%111.8112.2-0.4
25 Cleveland Cavaliers47182938%103.7111.5-7.8
26 Washington Wizards44162836%113.9118.9-5.0
27 Orlando Magic46163035%105.4111.8-6.4
28 Houston Rockets46153133%107.7112.5-4.8
29 Detroit Pistons46143230%106.0109.1-3.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves46113524%109.6117.2-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic1524303099
Denver Nuggets30311930110
← all games of the day
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