PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 127-126
23-31 25-31 36-31 43-33
Position#13
Record16-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game114.7
vs
Position#6
Record22-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game125.8
Allowed / game117.2
USANBA· Kia Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Denver Nuggets
20 Mar 2027
ORL v DEN
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
ORL127
DEN126
19 Jan 2025
ORL100
DEN113
22 Nov 2023
ORL124
DEN119
09 Feb 2023
ORL115
DEN104
01 Dec 2021
ORL108
DEN103
23 Mar 2021
ORL99
DEN110
02 Nov 2019
ORL87
DEN91
05 Dec 2018
ORL118
DEN124
08 Dec 2017
ORL89
DEN103
10 Dec 2016
ORL113
DEN121
15 Mar 2016
ORL116
DEN110
22 Mar 2015
ORL100
DEN119
12 Mar 2014
ORL112
DEN120
02 Nov 2012
ORL102
DEN89
01 Apr 2012
ORL101
DEN104
18 Mar 2011
ORL85
DEN82
28 Mar 2010
ORL103
DEN97
11 Feb 2009
ORL73
DEN82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
112-109
112
109
+3
90avg 98
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
125-120
125
120
+5
119avg 98
H02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
112-114
112
114
-2
101avg 98
H04/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
106-105
106
105
+1
92avg 98
H06/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
86avg 98
A07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
115-126
115
126
-11
108avg 98
A19/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
124avg 98
A21/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
97-120
97
120
-23
86avg 98
A23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
110-106
110
106
+4
102avg 98
A24/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
105-120
105
120
-15
90avg 98
H27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-33
28-25
30-26
23-25
29-26
24-27
32-32
40-35
29-31
20-27
30-28
33-28
30-28
27-32
30-19
19-26
31-35
24-19
18-28
27-24
32-25
22-43
31-31
30-27
36-38
29-22
32-22
21-36
30-26
27-32
26-31
14-31
25-21
38-29
26-30
21-26
28-38
20-19
29-39
28-24
226.3Avg total
111.0Scored
115.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)116.7114.7231.3+2.055%
Season at home (14)115.1111.9227.0+3.164%
Season away (15)118.1117.2235.3+0.947%
Last 10 (10)111.0115.3226.3-4.350%
Last 5 (5)111.0119.8230.8-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)114.4117.8232.2-3.433%
vs Similar (13)116.8114.0230.8+2.862%
vs Weaker (5)116.2109.8226.0+6.480%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
135-120
135
120
+15
129avg 116
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
134-133
134
133
+1
129avg 116
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
115-106
115
106
+9
110avg 116
A07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
136-105
136
105
+31
139avg 116
A12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
119avg 116
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
126-115
126
115
+11
124avg 116
H19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
101-115
101
115
-14
84avg 116
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
135-112
135
112
+23
139avg 116
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
130-131
130
131
-1
133avg 116
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
142-138 OT
142
138
+4
133avg 116
H26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
39-20
30-31
33-41
23-41
31-32
40-30
40-30
34-34
23-24
30-23
28-25
41-26
36-28
32-27
27-24
24-30
34-21
31-35
28-31
25-32
43-22
31-31
27-30
29-26
16-27
21-29
35-33
40-15
29-31
34-38
32-28
27-41
29-25
47-37
27-28
32-29
25-26
35-23
23-37
248.2Avg total
128.2Scored
120.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)125.8117.2243.0+8.673%
Season at home (15)126.1118.1244.3+8.067%
Season away (15)125.5116.3241.8+9.180%
Last 10 (10)128.2120.0248.2+8.280%
Last 5 (5)126.8122.2249.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)125.6118.6244.2+7.085%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)125.9116.2242.1+9.865%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
Orlando MagicDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A29/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H02/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H04/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H06/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A19/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A21/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A23/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A24/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H27/12
NBA
113.6Avg total
56.0Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.457.6117.0+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.456.4113.9+1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)61.258.6119.8+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)56.057.6113.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)57.458.6116.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)56.857.4114.2-0.750%-
vs Similar (13)62.058.5120.5+3.562%-
vs Weaker (5)59.255.8115.0+3.440%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
72-48
72
48
+24
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A06/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
77-54
77
54
+23
A12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H19/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H23/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H26/12
NBA
117.1Avg total
61.3Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.257.1119.3+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.655.4119.0+8.287%-
Last 30 away (15)60.758.9119.6+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)61.355.8117.1+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)59.054.8113.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)59.158.8117.9+0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)64.555.8120.4+8.788%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.130.2
51.1%
54.8%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.2
30.8%
35.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws26.320.0
76.0%
78.1%20.0
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 128.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.930.3
57.3%
54.8%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.816.0
44.7%
35.8%48.0
🏀 Free throws24.519.6
80.0%
78.1%19.6
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
LWLWLLWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWWWWW
#13
League position
#6
-4.2
Net rating
+7.9
107.4
Offensive rating
124.0
111.5
Defensive rating
116.0
49.3%
Effective FG%
61.2%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
12.0%
Turnover %
11.6%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.8%
3-point %
44.7%
60.4%
Assist %
64.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 124.0Defence111.5 · 116.0Shooting49.3% · 61.2%3-point %30.8% · 44.7%Ball care12.0% · 11.6%Off. rebounds26.4% · 19.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Orlando Magic wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HCharlotte Hornets105-120
24/12/25APortland Trail Blazers110-106
23/12/25AGolden State Warriors97-120
21/12/25AUtah Jazz128-127 OT
19/12/25ADenver Nuggets115-126
07/12/25ANew York Knicks100-106
06/12/25HMiami Heat106-105
04/12/25HSan Antonio Spurs112-114
02/12/25HChicago Bulls125-120
29/11/25ADetroit Pistons112-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25HMinnesota Timberwolves142-138 OT
24/12/25ADallas Mavericks130-131
23/12/25HUtah Jazz135-112
20/12/25HHouston Rockets101-115
19/12/25HOrlando Magic126-115
16/12/25HHouston Rockets128-125 OT
12/12/25ASacramento Kings136-105
07/12/25ACharlotte Hornets115-106
06/12/25AAtlanta Hawks134-133
04/12/25AIndiana Pacers135-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayLLWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%64%47%
Points / game116.7115.1118.1
Allowed / game114.7111.9117.2
Point differential+2.0+3.1+0.9
Avg total231.3227.0235.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%21%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)57% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game125.8126.1125.5
Allowed / game117.2118.1116.3
Point differential+8.6+8.0+9.1
Avg total243.0244.3241.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%47%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %10%13%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder2925486%121.1107.9+13.3
2 Detroit Pistons3124777%119.5112.9+6.6
3 San Antonio Spurs2821775%120.2113.1+7.1
4 Denver Nuggets3022873%125.8117.2+8.6
5 New York Knicks2819968%120.0113.5+6.5
6 Los Angeles Lakers2819968%116.9116.9-0.1
7 Minnesota Timberwolves31201165%119.1114.4+4.7
8 Houston Rockets28181064%120.5112.1+8.3
9 Boston Celtics30191163%116.8110.4+6.4
10 Phoenix Suns29171259%115.8112.8+2.9
11 Toronto Raptors31181358%113.9112.3+1.6
12 Orlando Magic29161355%116.7114.7+2.0
13 Philadelphia 76ers29161355%116.1115.2+0.9
14 Miami Heat30161453%119.8117.4+2.4
15 Cleveland Cavaliers32171553%120.2117.8+2.4
16 Golden State Warriors31161552%114.5112.4+2.2
17 Chicago Bulls30151550%119.4122.3-3.0
18 Memphis Grizzlies31151648%115.4115.8-0.5
19 Atlanta Hawks32151747%118.6119.8-1.2
20 Milwaukee Bucks31121939%112.7116.5-3.7
21 Portland Trail Blazers31121939%116.6120.5-3.8
22 Utah Jazz30111937%120.3127.5-7.2
23 Dallas Mavericks33122136%113.5117.5-4.0
24 Charlotte Hornets31112035%115.6118.4-2.8
25 Brooklyn Nets2891932%109.3113.9-4.6
26 Los Angeles Clippers3092130%111.5115.3-3.8
27 Sacramento Kings3182326%112.0122.0-9.9
28 New Orleans Pelicans3282425%115.3122.6-7.3
29 Washington Wizards2962321%113.5125.8-12.3
30 Indiana Pacers3162519%109.6118.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic23253643127
Denver Nuggets31313133126
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.