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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 116-107
26-28 23-24 34-28 33-27
Position#3
Record55-24
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game109.5
vs
Position#4
Record55-24
FormWWLWW
Points / game113.2
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 110
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
114-111
114
111
+3
105avg 110
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
128-103
128
103
+25
135avg 110
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
97-104
97
104
-7
86avg 110
H28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
98-111
98
111
-13
91avg 110
H30/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
130-101
130
101
+29
138avg 110
H31/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
110-105
110
105
+5
103avg 110
H03/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
100-102
100
102
-2
98avg 110
A05/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
142-110
142
110
+32
150avg 110
H07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
111-95
111
95
+16
104avg 110
A10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
29-26
27-20
25-24
26-22
31-25
28-36
29-28
39-24
30-20
30-32
29-27
29-29
23-30
21-24
24-21
26-33
17-29
21-25
34-24
30-26
35-30
36-21
29-24
30-23
25-31
31-31
24-20
31-20
18-33
21-22
30-27
33-26
36-30
42-30
31-24
34-17
31-36
22-27
24-15
218.5Avg total
114.3Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)114.6109.5224.1+5.270%
Season at home (40)118.6108.8227.4+9.880%
Season away (39)110.6110.2220.8+0.459%
Last 10 (10)114.3104.2218.5+10.170%
Last 5 (5)118.6102.6221.2+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)115.0109.0224.0+6.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)106.9105.8212.7+1.147%
vs Weaker (14)122.6108.8231.4+13.8100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
100avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
114-110
114
110
+4
112avg 108
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
106-91
106
91
+15
103avg 108
H28/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
111-98
111
98
+13
109avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
101-109
101
109
-8
95avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
113-106
113
106
+7
114avg 108
H03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
133-85
133
85
+48
134avg 108
H04/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
87-97
87
97
-10
78avg 108
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
127-117
127
117
+10
122avg 108
A08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-121
130
121
+9
125avg 108
H10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
21-29
26-17
32-25
18-27
28-27
32-27
36-29
30-25
17-20
31-21
28-25
33-26
29-17
25-21
24-34
22-33
32-31
25-20
22-25
16-23
38-22
27-27
32-34
23-19
35-23
33-18
42-25
20-32
21-25
20-20
26-20
33-37
46-27
23-28
25-25
26-44
34-26
39-24
31-27
215.1Avg total
112.6Scored
102.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)113.2106.2219.4+7.070%
Season at home (39)112.2103.1215.3+9.174%
Season away (40)114.2109.2223.3+5.065%
Last 10 (10)112.6102.5215.1+10.180%
Last 5 (5)118.0105.2223.2+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)110.0103.7213.7+6.360%
vs Weaker (20)115.3105.3220.6+10.075%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H22/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H28/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H30/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H31/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H03/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A05/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H07/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A10/04
NBA
112.5Avg total
58.5Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.154.7113.8+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.054.8114.8+5.271%-
Last 30 away (13)57.854.6112.5+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)58.554.0112.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)60.654.4115.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.054.0116.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.856.2112.0-0.453%-
vs Weaker (14)62.453.2115.6+9.179%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H24/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H31/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H04/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H10/04
NBA
108.0Avg total
54.7Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.253.1108.3+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.252.0104.2+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)58.754.4113.1+4.450%-
Last 10 (10)54.753.3108.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)58.455.6114.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)53.454.2107.6-0.840%-
vs Weaker (20)56.152.5108.7+3.650%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.730.8
54.3%
54.4%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.7
39.2%
36.3%38.1
🏀 Free throws19.114.6
76.4%
78.2%14.6
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.527.5
54.5%
54.4%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.614.0
40.5%
36.3%42.0
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
78.2%15.6
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWWLLWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#4
+10.2
Net rating
+10.3
115.9
Offensive rating
114.3
105.7
Defensive rating
104.1
55.9%
Effective FG%
57.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
12.0%
Turnover %
12.7%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.2%
3-point %
40.5%
70.3%
Assist %
69.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 114.3Defence105.7 · 104.1Shooting55.9% · 57.0%3-point %39.2% · 40.5%Ball care12.0% · 12.7%Off. rebounds25.9% · 21.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24AUtah Jazz111-95
07/04/24HAtlanta Hawks142-110
05/04/24ALos Angeles Clippers100-102
03/04/24HSan Antonio Spurs110-105
31/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers130-101
30/03/24HMinnesota Timberwolves98-111
28/03/24HPhoenix Suns97-104
26/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies128-103
24/03/24APortland Trail Blazers114-111
22/03/24HNew York Knicks113-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24HWashington Wizards130-121
08/04/24ALos Angeles Lakers127-117
06/04/24APhoenix Suns87-97
04/04/24HToronto Raptors133-85
03/04/24HHouston Rockets113-106
31/03/24HChicago Bulls101-109
30/03/24ADenver Nuggets111-98
28/03/24HDetroit Pistons106-91
24/03/24HGolden State Warriors114-110
23/03/24HCleveland Cavaliers104-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayLWWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %70%80%59%
Points / game114.6118.6110.6
Allowed / game109.5108.8110.2
Point differential+5.2+9.8+0.4
Avg total224.1227.3220.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)50% (6)53% (15)
Overtime %1%2%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWLWWW74%
AwayWWWLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games793940
Win %70%74%65%
Points / game113.2112.2114.2
Allowed / game106.2103.1109.2
Point differential+7.0+9.1+5.0
Avg total219.4215.3223.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%41%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)46% (13)71% (7)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics78621679%120.6108.9+11.6
2 Minnesota Timberwolves79552470%113.2106.2+7.0
3 Denver Nuggets79552470%114.6109.5+5.2
4 Oklahoma City Thunder80552569%119.8113.1+6.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers79512865%115.9112.2+3.8
6 Dallas Mavericks80503062%118.6115.5+3.1
7 Milwaukee Bucks78483062%119.2116.1+3.1
8 New York Knicks78473160%112.5107.6+4.9
9 New Orleans Pelicans77463160%115.1110.0+5.1
10 Phoenix Suns78463259%116.3113.5+2.8
11 Cleveland Cavaliers80473359%112.5110.0+2.5
12 Sacramento Kings78453358%116.5114.9+1.6
13 Orlando Magic80463457%110.4108.5+1.9
14 Indiana Pacers78443456%122.9120.3+2.5
15 Philadelphia 76ers80453556%114.6111.8+2.7
16 Golden State Warriors79443556%118.0115.5+2.6
17 Los Angeles Lakers78433555%117.9118.1-0.2
18 Miami Heat80443655%109.9108.5+1.3
19 Houston Rockets79394049%114.2113.3+0.9
20 Chicago Bulls79374247%111.8113.6-1.8
21 Atlanta Hawks80364445%118.5120.2-1.7
22 Brooklyn Nets80324840%110.7113.4-2.6
23 Utah Jazz79295037%115.6120.7-5.0
24 Memphis Grizzlies80275334%105.6112.5-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors80255531%112.6118.7-6.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers79215827%106.8115.5-8.7
27 San Antonio Spurs80206025%111.8118.9-7.0
28 Charlotte Hornets80206025%106.5116.7-10.2
29 Washington Wizards80156519%113.5122.8-9.4
30 Detroit Pistons79136616%110.2119.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26233433116
Minnesota Timberwolves28242827107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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