PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Apr 2011
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-97
20-29 31-21 18-20 10-27
Position#28
Record22-59
FormLLLWL
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game105.5
vs
Position#4
Record57-24
FormWLWWW
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game94.8
USANBA
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat
15 Jan 2027
TOR v MIA
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
TOR128
MIA114
07 Apr 2026
TOR121
MIA95
21 Feb 2025
TOR111
MIA120
01 Dec 2024
TOR119
MIA116
17 Jan 2024
TOR121
MIA97
06 Dec 2023
TOR103
MIA112
28 Mar 2023
TOR106
MIA92
16 Nov 2022
TOR112
MIA104
03 Apr 2022
TOR109
MIA114
01 Feb 2022
TOR110
MIA106
22 Jan 2021
TOR101
MIA81
20 Jan 2021
TOR102
MIA111
18 Dec 2020
TOR105
MIA117
03 Dec 2019
TOR110
MIA121
07 Apr 2019
TOR117
MIA109
25 Nov 2018
TOR125
MIA115
13 Feb 2018
TOR115
MIA112
09 Jan 2018
TOR89
MIA90
07 Apr 2017
TOR96
MIA94
04 Nov 2016
TOR96
MIA87
15 May 2016
TOR116
MIA89
11 May 2016
TOR99
MIA91
05 May 2016
TOR96
MIA92
03 May 2016
TOR96
MIA102
12 Mar 2016
TOR112
MIA104
22 Jan 2016
TOR101
MIA81
13 Mar 2015
TOR102
MIA92
29 Nov 2013
TOR83
MIA90
05 Nov 2013
TOR95
MIA104
17 Mar 2013
TOR91
MIA108
03 Feb 2013
TOR85
MIA100
30 Mar 2012
TOR101
MIA113
13 Apr 2011
TOR79
MIA97
16 Feb 2011
TOR95
MIA103
27 Jan 2010
TOR111
MIA103
20 Nov 2009
TOR120
MIA113
06 Mar 2009
TOR102
MIA108
16 Nov 2008
TOR107
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#19
L
100-138
100
138
-38
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A27/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
98-104
98
104
-6
H30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
106-113
106
113
-7
A03/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
W
102-98
102
98
+4
H03/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
118-131
118
131
-13
A05/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
L
93-98
93
98
-5
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H10/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-45
22-39
16-32
26-22
21-18
23-25
29-23
17-28
28-22
21-30
27-24
22-28
19-25
24-28
32-30
31-30
23-19
23-30
27-30
29-19
26-39
28-39
28-21
36-32
17-28
23-32
24-17
32-27
18-28
24-26
30-19
21-25
31-22
30-20
21-20
17-30
33-25
18-21
20-23
15-24
205.3Avg total
98.8Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)99.3105.5204.8-6.127%
Season at home (40)100.8103.0203.7-2.240%
Season away (41)97.9107.9205.8-10.015%
Last 10 (10)98.8106.5205.3-7.720%
Last 5 (5)98.4103.6202.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)98.1105.1203.1-7.026%
vs Similar (11)102.0108.8210.8-6.827%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
111-99
111
99
+12
H25/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
125-119
125
119
+6
H27/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
90-102
90
102
-12
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
123-107
123
107
+16
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
111-92
111
92
+19
A02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
108-94
108
94
+14
A03/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H07/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
112-103
112
103
+9
H08/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
100-77
100
77
+23
H10/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
98-90
98
90
+8
A11/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
31-23
26-32
34-17
38-37
33-31
22-25
32-26
24-24
18-29
28-22
20-27
32-29
31-23
25-29
35-26
30-20
21-32
34-20
26-20
32-18
26-26
19-25
31-25
15-25
25-20
23-18
22-27
31-25
24-19
28-25
29-34
21-22
26-18
27-19
26-18
28-23
34-23
17-21
19-23
203.6Avg total
106.3Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)102.194.8196.9+7.370%
Season at home (41)103.194.0197.1+9.173%
Season away (40)101.195.6196.7+5.568%
Last 10 (10)106.397.3203.6+9.080%
Last 5 (5)100.690.8191.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)94.092.8186.8+1.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)107.298.4205.6+8.880%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
Toronto RaptorsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#19
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A26/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A03/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H03/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
54-78
54
78
-24
A05/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A08/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H10/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A12/04
NBA
104.9Avg total
48.8Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.654.5105.0-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.651.8103.4-0.231%-
Last 30 away (14)49.457.5106.9-8.136%-
Last 10 (10)48.856.1104.9-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)49.656.0105.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)49.953.6103.5-3.732%-
vs Similar (11)51.756.0107.7-4.336%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H25/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#14
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H27/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#27
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A30/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A03/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H07/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H08/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H10/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A11/04
NBA
103.4Avg total
54.0Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.148.7102.8+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.549.1103.6+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)53.648.2101.8+5.469%-
Last 10 (10)54.049.4103.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)52.443.896.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)51.045.596.5+5.580%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)55.750.3106.0+5.465%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toronto Raptors wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/11AMilwaukee Bucks86-93
10/04/11HBrooklyn Nets99-92
08/04/11APhiladelphia 76ers93-98
06/04/11HCleveland Cavaliers96-104
05/04/11ANew York Knicks118-131
03/04/11HOrlando Magic102-98
03/04/11AChicago Bulls106-113
30/03/11HMilwaukee Bucks98-104
27/03/11ALos Angeles Clippers90-94
26/03/11AGolden State Warriors100-138
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/11AAtlanta Hawks98-90
10/04/11HBoston Celtics100-77
08/04/11HCharlotte Hornets112-103
07/04/11HMilwaukee Bucks85-90
03/04/11ABrooklyn Nets108-94
02/04/11AMinnesota Timberwolves111-92
30/03/11AWashington Wizards123-107
29/03/11ACleveland Cavaliers90-102
27/03/11HHouston Rockets125-119
25/03/11HPhiladelphia 76ers111-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeWLWLW40%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814041
Win %27%40%15%
Points / game99.3100.897.9
Allowed / game105.5103.0107.9
Point differential-6.1-2.2-10.0
Avg total204.8203.7205.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%2%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (21)40% (10)27% (11)
Overtime %2%2%2%
Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWWWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %70%73%68%
Points / game102.1103.1101.1
Allowed / game94.894.095.6
Point differential+7.3+9.1+5.5
Avg total196.9197.1196.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%41%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (20)27% (11)33% (9)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls81612075%98.691.3+7.3
2 San Antonio Spurs81612075%103.797.9+5.8
3 Miami Heat81572470%102.194.8+7.3
4 Los Angeles Lakers81562569%101.395.2+6.1
5 Dallas Mavericks81562569%100.096.1+3.9
6 Boston Celtics81552668%96.391.0+5.3
7 Oklahoma City Thunder81552668%104.8100.9+3.9
8 Orlando Magic81513063%99.394.0+5.3
9 Denver Nuggets81503162%107.5102.6+4.9
10 Portland Trail Blazers81483359%96.494.6+1.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies81463557%99.997.4+2.5
12 New Orleans Pelicans81463557%95.093.7+1.3
13 Atlanta Hawks81443754%95.195.8-0.7
14 Houston Rockets81423952%105.7103.8+2.0
15 New York Knicks81423952%106.6105.7+0.9
16 Philadelphia 76ers81414051%99.097.4+1.6
17 Phoenix Suns81394248%105.0105.9-0.9
18 Utah Jazz81384347%99.3101.2-1.9
19 Indiana Pacers81374446%100.1101.0-0.9
20 Golden State Warriors81354643%103.3106.0-2.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks81344742%91.792.6-0.9
22 Charlotte Hornets81334841%93.397.4-4.2
23 Los Angeles Clippers81315038%98.5101.8-3.3
24 Detroit Pistons81295236%96.9100.6-3.7
25 Sacramento Kings81245730%99.3104.6-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets81245730%94.2100.5-6.3
27 Washington Wizards81235828%97.3104.7-7.4
28 Toronto Raptors81225927%99.3105.5-6.1
29 Cleveland Cavaliers81186322%95.4104.6-9.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves81176421%101.1107.5-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors2031181079
Miami Heat2921202797
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.