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Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 99-104
30-25 19-26 25-28 25-25
Position#3
Record21-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game108.0
vs
Position#1
Record16-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game120.0
Allowed / game110.2
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 105
A21/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
124-108
124
108
+16
no box
A22/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
125-107
125
107
+18
124avg 105
H24/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-115
125
115
+10
120avg 105
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
122-114
122
114
+8
120avg 105
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-128 OT
131
128
+3
122avg 105
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
106-95
106
95
+11
96avg 105
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
103-106
103
106
-3
98avg 105
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
113-102
113
102
+11
103avg 105
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
93avg 105
A08/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
18-20
26-38
20-16
29-24
26-20
31-29
38-35
38-26
32-36
31-25
24-20
36-29
27-25
38-35
24-26
31-32
28-39
34-26
29-17
38-25
29-33
29-30
23-31
21-21
26-19
30-27
29-28
24-27
23-32
31-27
25-20
23-29
30-20
25-28
35-25
20-24
33-29
26-27
19-18
221.9Avg total
114.7Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)116.0108.0224.0+8.078%
Season at home (14)118.0109.8227.8+8.279%
Season away (13)113.8106.0219.8+7.877%
Last 10 (10)114.7107.2221.9+7.580%
Last 5 (5)111.6107.4219.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)117.2113.4230.6+3.962%
vs Weaker (22)113.6107.7221.3+6.073%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
123-104
123
104
+19
121avg 104
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
95avg 104
H20/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
143-100
143
100
+43
no box
H22/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
114-116
114
116
-2
108avg 104
H24/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
135-129
135
129
+6
133avg 104
H25/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
107-110
107
110
-3
99avg 104
A27/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
116-113
116
113
+3
114avg 104
H29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
134-136 OT
134
136
-2
129avg 104
A01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
115-92
115
92
+23
111avg 104
H06/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
95-105
95
105
-10
82avg 104
H08/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-40
18-23
46-17
32-24
25-29
21-27
32-21
26-21
31-20
41-30
37-29
34-21
30-34
31-30
29-27
24-25
37-36
30-32
28-34
40-27
35-32
17-33
28-28
27-17
30-40
33-22
29-27
24-24
35-28
31-33
31-32
27-31
30-21
26-24
28-19
31-28
22-27
29-30
25-26
19-22
228.9Avg total
118.6Scored
110.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)120.0110.2230.2+9.867%
Season at home (15)120.3106.9227.2+13.380%
Season away (9)119.6115.7235.2+3.944%
Last 10 (10)118.6110.3228.9+8.360%
Last 5 (5)113.4111.2224.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)106.6103.2209.8+3.356%
vs Weaker (21)120.3110.5230.8+9.967%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A21/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A22/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H24/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H25/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A28/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A08/12
NBA
108.8Avg total
56.1Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.753.5111.3+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.154.9116.0+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)54.352.2106.5+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)56.152.7108.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)53.451.8105.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)56.655.2111.9+1.450%-
vs Weaker (22)58.152.9111.0+5.273%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-63
45
63
-18
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H20/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H22/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H24/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H25/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A27/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H06/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H08/12
NBA
117.0Avg total
57.9Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.053.5111.5+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.252.5111.7+6.767%-
Last 30 away (12)56.155.0111.1+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)57.959.1117.0-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)57.658.0115.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)51.647.699.1+4.056%-
vs Weaker (21)60.756.0116.8+4.762%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 114.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.630.7
57.3%
51.7%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.8
34.8%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws21.517.7
82.3%
76.6%17.7
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 118.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.629.9
60.3%
51.7%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.113.6
33.1%
35.4%40.8
🏀 Free throws24.418.0
73.8%
76.6%18.0
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWLWWWWWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLWLWLWWW
#3
League position
#1
+7.2
Net rating
+8.0
112.3
Offensive rating
111.3
105.1
Defensive rating
103.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
55.5%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.8%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.8%
3-point %
33.1%
60.2%
Assist %
61.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 111.3Defence105.1 · 103.3Shooting55.3% · 55.5%3-point %34.8% · 33.1%Ball care13.7% · 13.8%Off. rebounds21.9% · 22.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Toronto Raptors wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/18ABrooklyn Nets105-106 OT
06/12/18HPhiladelphia 76ers113-102
04/12/18HDenver Nuggets103-106
02/12/18ACleveland Cavaliers106-95
30/11/18HGolden State Warriors131-128 OT
28/11/18AMemphis Grizzlies122-114
25/11/18HMiami Heat125-115
24/11/18HWashington Wizards125-107
22/11/18AAtlanta Hawks124-108
21/11/18AOrlando Magic93-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/18HGolden State Warriors95-105
06/12/18HDetroit Pistons115-92
01/12/18ANew York Knicks134-136 OT
29/11/18HChicago Bulls116-113
27/11/18ACharlotte Hornets107-110
25/11/18HSan Antonio Spurs135-129
24/11/18HPhoenix Suns114-116
22/11/18HPortland Trail Blazers143-100
20/11/18HDenver Nuggets104-98
17/11/18HChicago Bulls123-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL78%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayWWWWL77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %78%79%77%
Points / game116.0118.0113.8
Allowed / game108.0109.8106.0
Point differential+8.0+8.2+7.8
Avg total224.0227.8219.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%7%15%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL67%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %67%80%44%
Points / game120.0120.3119.6
Allowed / game110.2106.9115.7
Point differential+9.8+13.3+3.9
Avg total230.2227.2235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%60%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %8%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors2721678%116.0108.0+8.0
2 Milwaukee Bucks2416867%120.0110.2+9.8
3 Oklahoma City Thunder2416867%111.1104.4+6.8
4 Golden State Warriors2718967%116.4110.6+5.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers2718967%113.8111.8+2.0
6 Denver Nuggets2617965%110.2103.8+6.3
7 Los Angeles Clippers2516964%115.6112.6+3.1
8 Indiana Pacers26161062%106.0101.5+4.6
9 Los Angeles Lakers26161062%113.3111.1+2.2
10 Boston Celtics25151060%110.3102.9+7.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies25151060%103.5102.7+0.8
12 Portland Trail Blazers26151158%112.3110.4+1.9
13 Dallas Mavericks24131154%110.5109.3+1.1
14 Detroit Pistons24131154%109.4110.0-0.7
15 Sacramento Kings25131252%114.5116.0-1.4
16 New Orleans Pelicans28141450%118.0115.6+2.4
17 Utah Jazz26131350%107.4107.2+0.2
18 Minnesota Timberwolves26131350%109.8109.6+0.2
19 Charlotte Hornets25121348%114.0111.0+3.0
20 Orlando Magic26121446%105.7108.2-2.5
21 San Antonio Spurs26121446%110.3114.0-3.7
22 Miami Heat25111444%108.2108.5-0.2
23 Houston Rockets25111444%108.3109.7-1.4
24 Washington Wizards26111542%112.0116.7-4.7
25 Brooklyn Nets28101836%108.7110.6-1.9
26 New York Knicks2781930%108.4114.8-6.4
27 Cleveland Cavaliers2662023%103.5111.5-8.0
28 Atlanta Hawks2662023%107.9118.2-10.3
29 Chicago Bulls2762122%102.3113.0-10.7
30 Phoenix Suns2642215%102.2113.8-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors3019252599
Milwaukee Bucks25262825104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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