PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 128-100
39-29 34-25 32-26 23-20
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game119.4
Allowed / game120.6
vs
Position#21
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game122.7
Allowed / game117.9
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
126-96
126
96
+30
125avg 104
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
102-124
102
124
-22
82avg 104
A12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
118-125
118
125
-7
110avg 104
A13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
138-118
138
118
+20
143avg 104
A22/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
116-122
116
122
-6
107avg 104
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
129-139
129
139
-10
121avg 104
A26/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
103-121
103
121
-18
90avg 104
A28/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
121-139
121
139
-18
108avg 104
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
112-101
112
101
+11
112avg 104
A31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-104
117
104
+13
118avg 104
H02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
28-22
35-23
38-28
25-35
13-31
29-30
35-28
37-32
37-22
21-39
23-32
36-34
29-25
45-28
28-31
19-27
35-25
32-34
30-36
32-32
34-32
25-39
38-36
29-41
21-28
28-26
25-26
30-39
33-31
28-36
30-33
30-22
18-21
33-34
31-24
26-23
27-24
31-24
33-33
237.1Avg total
118.2Scored
118.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)119.4120.6240.0-1.143%
Season at home (3)118.0121.7239.7-3.733%
Season away (4)120.5119.8240.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)118.2118.9237.1-0.740%
Last 5 (5)116.4120.8237.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.3118.3225.7-11.00%
vs Similar (17)112.1115.4227.5-3.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)118.8111.1229.9+7.770%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
117-101
117
101
+16
114avg 108
H26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
103-129
103
129
-26
88avg 108
H28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
118-119 OT
118
119
-1
112avg 108
A29/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
133-120
133
120
+13
128avg 108
H23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
122-116
122
116
+6
116avg 108
A24/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
113-118
113
118
-5
106avg 108
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
121-111
121
111
+10
120avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
120-110
120
110
+10
104avg 108
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
133-135
133
135
-2
130avg 108
H01/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
117-115
117
115
+2
107avg 108
A04/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
21-31
39-18
31-26
24-30
28-33
32-38
19-28
30-13
17-28
28-34
28-28
40-23
32-30
29-37
32-30
27-19
25-35
34-32
36-30
31-29
25-36
28-21
29-32
27-26
32-45
35-20
27-20
34-25
26-33
27-26
33-26
47-36
24-34
31-38
31-27
31-22
25-31
28-24
33-38
237.1Avg total
119.7Scored
117.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)122.7117.9240.6+4.971%
Season at home (4)126.8119.0245.8+7.875%
Season away (3)117.3116.3233.7+1.067%
Last 10 (10)119.7117.4237.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)120.8117.8238.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)116.2115.2231.4+1.060%
vs Similar (19)116.9117.0233.9-0.153%
vs Weaker (6)124.2113.7237.8+10.583%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -8.1-8.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -8.1-8.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
38-66
38
66
-28
A12/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A13/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A22/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A26/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A28/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A31/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H02/11
NBA
113.3Avg total
56.4Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.755.8111.6-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.655.4111.0+0.258%-
Last 30 away (18)55.856.1111.9-0.356%-
Last 10 (10)56.456.9113.3-0.570%-
Last 5 (5)56.058.6114.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)55.367.0122.3-11.70%-
vs Similar (17)55.455.1110.5+0.459%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)56.453.8110.2+2.670%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A24/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A26/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H01/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A04/11
NBA
115.7Avg total
57.2Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.759.3117.0-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.060.8120.8-0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)55.357.9113.2-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)57.258.5115.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)60.463.4123.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)53.660.2113.8-6.620%-
vs Similar (19)57.460.5117.9-3.142%-
vs Weaker (6)61.855.0116.8+6.8100%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 118.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.231.4
55.9%
54.8%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.413.1
37.0%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws21.716.1
74.2%
78.1%16.1
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 119.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.627.5
56.6%
54.8%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.416.2
41.1%
35.8%48.6
🏀 Free throws22.716.1
70.9%
78.1%16.1
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WWLLLLWLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLWWLLW
#11
League position
#21
-0.5
Net rating
+2.2
114.7
Offensive rating
116.2
115.2
Defensive rating
114.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
58.9%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.1%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.0%
3-point %
41.1%
67.9%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 116.2Defence115.2 · 114.0Shooting55.7% · 58.9%3-point %37.0% · 41.1%Ball care13.1% · 13.1%Off. rebounds23.9% · 21.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toronto Raptors wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HMemphis Grizzlies117-104
31/10/25ACleveland Cavaliers112-101
29/10/25HHouston Rockets121-139
28/10/25ASan Antonio Spurs103-121
26/10/25ADallas Mavericks129-139
24/10/25HMilwaukee Bucks116-122
22/10/25AAtlanta Hawks138-118
13/04/25ASan Antonio Spurs118-125
12/04/25ADallas Mavericks102-124
09/04/25HCharlotte Hornets126-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25AIndiana Pacers117-115
01/11/25HSacramento Kings133-135
31/10/25HGolden State Warriors120-110
29/10/25HNew York Knicks121-111
26/10/25ACleveland Cavaliers113-118
24/10/25AToronto Raptors122-116
23/10/25HWashington Wizards133-120
29/04/25AIndiana Pacers118-119 OT
28/04/25HIndiana Pacers103-129
26/04/25HIndiana Pacers117-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game119.4118.0120.5
Allowed / game120.6121.7119.8
Point differential-1.1-3.7+0.8
Avg total240.0239.7240.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game122.7126.8117.3
Allowed / game117.9119.0116.3
Point differential+4.9+7.8+1.0
Avg total240.6245.8233.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder770100%122.1109.7+12.4
2 San Antonio Spurs65183%118.2108.2+10.0
3 Philadelphia 76ers65183%125.7118.2+7.5
4 Chicago Bulls65183%121.7116.3+5.3
5 Los Angeles Lakers86275%119.8116.6+3.1
6 Milwaukee Bucks75271%122.7117.9+4.9
7 Detroit Pistons75271%115.9112.4+3.4
8 Houston Rockets64267%124.8112.2+12.7
9 Denver Nuggets64267%125.0113.8+11.2
10 Miami Heat74357%123.9117.0+6.9
11 New York Knicks74357%116.3113.6+2.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers74357%120.3117.6+2.7
13 Golden State Warriors74357%117.6115.7+1.9
14 Minnesota Timberwolves74357%116.9115.6+1.3
15 Cleveland Cavaliers74357%114.1113.9+0.3
16 Los Angeles Clippers63350%112.5113.3-0.8
17 Charlotte Hornets73443%121.6121.0+0.6
18 Orlando Magic73443%116.9116.3+0.6
19 Toronto Raptors73443%119.4120.6-1.1
20 Phoenix Suns73443%118.3120.6-2.3
21 Atlanta Hawks73443%115.1118.1-3.0
22 Utah Jazz73443%115.6118.6-3.0
23 Boston Celtics83538%110.5109.6+0.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies83538%115.5120.4-4.9
25 Sacramento Kings72529%116.3121.0-4.7
26 Dallas Mavericks72529%107.3115.6-8.3
27 Indiana Pacers71614%112.9120.6-7.7
28 Washington Wizards71614%112.6127.0-14.4
29 Brooklyn Nets7070%111.9127.6-15.7
30 New Orleans Pelicans6060%107.7125.8-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors39343223128
Milwaukee Bucks29252620100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.