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Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 24 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 121-107
Projected total 228.9
Scheduled
Position#19
Record5-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game112.8
Vs
85%
15%
■ TOR 85%■ MIL 15%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#30
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game120.2
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Toronto Raptors host Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA. Pythia makes Toronto Raptors the favourite at 85% and projects 121-107, about 229 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Toronto Raptors are 5-7 this season (114.2 scored, 112.8 allowed a game), form LWLLL; Milwaukee Bucks are 1-12 this season (106.2 scored, 120.2 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors win
85.3%fair 1.17
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks win
14.7%fair 6.79
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:41 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
94-117
94
117
-23
52avg 106
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
129-99
129
99
+30
127avg 106
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
114-121
114
121
-7
99avg 106
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
125-131
125
131
-6
111avg 106
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
125-118
125
118
+7
115avg 106
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
109-128
109
128
-19
98avg 106
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
121-107
121
107
+14
111avg 106
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
102-118
102
118
-16
88avg 106
H10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
93-98
93
98
-5
84avg 106
H12/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
112-123
112
123
-11
103avg 106
A13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
26-23
15-35
32-27
32-25
37-28
34-23
26-23
27-31
28-33
33-31
26-26
23-36
31-30
28-38
43-27
22-33
30-30
26-28
47-27
35-33
32-31
15-39
27-25
24-29
27-31
38-27
32-20
26-25
27-34
28-30
21-29
38-29
23-25
19-21
13-23
33-24
27-36
27-36
25-27
228.4Avg total
112.4Scored
116.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)114.2112.8227.1+1.442%
Season at home (5)114.6105.6220.2+9.040%
Season away (7)114.0118.0232.0-4.043%
Last 10 (10)112.4116.0228.4-3.630%
Last 5 (5)107.4114.8222.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)103.7116.9220.6-13.10%
vs Similar (13)113.4111.5224.8+1.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)123.4106.5229.9+16.980%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
110-102
110
102
+8
103avg 99
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
100-132
100
132
-32
74avg 99
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-136
111
136
-25
88avg 99
H01/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
100-112
100
112
-12
84avg 99
A03/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-109
102
109
-7
92avg 99
A05/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
107-121
107
121
-14
94avg 99
H07/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
97-117
97
117
-20
79avg 99
H09/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
85-117
85
117
-32
62avg 99
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
112-123
112
123
-11
102avg 99
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
99-107
99
107
-8
79avg 99
A14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
25-24
21-48
30-37
35-27
18-29
29-19
29-32
24-32
14-28
27-34
38-25
23-22
29-24
31-27
27-38
20-32
27-25
18-33
29-33
23-26
21-26
13-32
38-27
13-32
28-30
22-31
23-33
39-29
15-23
22-29
35-32
27-23
219.9Avg total
102.3Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)106.2120.2226.4-14.18%
Season at home (7)108.9123.3232.1-14.414%
Season away (6)103.0116.7219.7-13.70%
Last 10 (10)102.3117.6219.9-15.310%
Last 5 (5)100.0117.0217.0-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)104.9122.1227.0-17.39%
vs Similar (7)117.7114.4232.1+3.357%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%5%8%11%0%1801%1851%1902%1954%2005%2057%2109%21510%22011%22511%23010%2358%2407%2455%2504%2552%2601%2651%2700%2750%280
1%1852%1955%2059%21511%22510%2357%2454%2551%2650%275
Pythia expects about 229 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 225-229 (11%).
Over/Under 221
Over 221
66.7%
Under 221
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 226
Over 226
55.9%
Under 226
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 231
Over 231
44.7%
Under 231
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Toronto Raptors total 110
Over 110
85.2%
Under 110
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toronto Raptors total 114
Over 114
75.5%
Under 114
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toronto Raptors total 118
Over 118
62.8%
Under 118
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milwaukee Bucks total 108
Over 108
47.0%
Under 108
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milwaukee Bucks total 112
Over 112
33.4%
Under 112
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milwaukee Bucks total 116
Over 116
22.1%
Under 116
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%4%7%9%0%-240%-211%-181%-152%-123%-94%-64%-34%+07%+38%+68%+99%+128%+158%+187%+216%+245%+274%+303%+332%+362%+391%+421%+450%+48
0%-241%-182%-124%-64%+08%+69%+128%+186%+244%+302%+361%+420%+48
Margin from Toronto Raptors's side (positive = Toronto Raptors win). Pythia's expected margin is +14.1; Toronto Raptors win by 1+ in 80% of simulations.
Spread Toronto Raptors -3
TOR -3
82.0%
MIL +3
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
TOR
No market prices yet.
MIL
No market prices yet.
Spread Toronto Raptors 0
TOR 0
85.3%
MIL 0
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
TOR
No market prices yet.
MIL
No market prices yet.
Spread Toronto Raptors +3
TOR +3
88.7%
MIL -3
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
TOR
No market prices yet.
MIL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -10.3-10.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -10.3-10.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A25/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H30/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H12/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A13/11
NBA
116.7Avg total
56.9Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.854.7111.5+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.651.8112.4+8.871%-
Last 30 away (16)53.557.2110.7-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)56.959.8116.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)58.459.4117.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.156.9107.0-6.714%-
vs Similar (13)57.953.8111.7+4.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)60.054.3114.3+5.760%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H01/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A03/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A05/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H07/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H09/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#16
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A11/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A14/11
NBA
102.5Avg total
44.5Scored
58.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.259.7111.0-8.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.860.2114.0-6.440%-
Last 30 away (15)48.759.3107.9-10.620%-
Last 10 (10)44.558.0102.5-13.510%-
Last 5 (5)45.256.0101.2-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)49.360.5109.8-11.322%-
vs Similar (7)57.757.1114.9+0.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 107.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.526.9
49.4%
54.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.5
32.6%
35.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws25.818.9
73.3%
77.3%18.9
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.824.6
56.2%
54.0%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.416.4
37.8%
35.1%49.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.7
70.3%
77.3%14.7
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLLWLWLLWL
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLLLLLLW
#19
League position
#30
-4.1
Net rating
-6.8
103.9
Offensive rating
105.9
107.9
Defensive rating
112.7
49.2%
Effective FG%
56.4%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
12.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
15.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.6%
3-point %
37.8%
68.2%
Assist %
66.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 105.9Defence107.9 · 112.7Shooting49.2% · 56.4%3-point %32.6% · 37.8%Ball care12.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds23.6% · 15.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toronto Raptors wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers112-123
12/11/26HBoston Celtics93-98
10/11/26HMemphis Grizzlies102-118
07/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks121-107
05/11/26ADenver Nuggets109-128
03/11/26ALos Angeles Clippers125-118
02/11/26ALos Angeles Lakers125-131
30/10/26HOrlando Magic114-121
28/10/26HOrlando Magic129-99
25/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves94-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOrlando Magic99-107
12/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-123
11/11/26ANew York Knicks85-117
09/11/26HBoston Celtics97-117
07/11/26HToronto Raptors107-121
05/11/26ABoston Celtics102-109
03/11/26AMinnesota Timberwolves100-112
01/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers111-136
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%40%43%
Points / game114.2114.6114.0
Allowed / game112.8105.6118.0
Point differential+1.4+9.0-4.0
Avg total227.1220.2232.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game106.2108.9103.0
Allowed / game120.2123.3116.7
Point differential-14.1-14.4-13.7
Avg total226.4232.1219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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