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Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 22 May 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Postponed
Position#3
Record67-30
FormLWLLW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record70-24
FormWWWWL
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game108.4
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
108-95
108
95
+13
no box
H27/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
89-94
89
94
-5
70avg 105
H30/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
95-116
95
116
-21
77avg 105
A03/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
101-96
101
96
+5
95avg 105
A05/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
125-89
125
89
+36
118avg 105
H08/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
101-112
101
112
-11
90avg 105
A10/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
92-90
92
90
+2
78avg 105
H12/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
100-108
100
108
-8
83avg 105
A16/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
103-125
103
125
-22
88avg 105
A18/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
118-112 OT
118
112
+6
108avg 105
H19/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-31
22-21
31-29
16-14
17-26
21-25
25-18
26-25
29-32
24-32
28-25
14-27
24-21
23-24
28-30
26-21
27-26
37-17
28-27
33-19
21-29
22-29
24-29
34-25
18-13
26-27
23-24
25-26
34-23
25-28
24-25
17-32
21-35
18-29
39-31
25-30
30-21
28-30
19-24
19-21
206.9Avg total
103.2Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (97)112.9107.0219.9+5.869%
Season at home (49)113.9105.6219.4+8.378%
Season away (48)111.8108.5220.4+3.360%
Last 10 (10)103.2103.7206.9-0.550%
Last 5 (5)102.8109.4212.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)105.3105.6210.9-0.250%
vs Weaker (18)112.8101.8214.6+10.972%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
119-103
119
103
+16
117avg 113
A21/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
127-104
127
104
+23
131avg 113
A23/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
90-112
90
112
-22
no box
H28/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
123-102
123
102
+21
116avg 113
H01/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
123-116
123
116
+7
115avg 113
A04/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
113-101
113
101
+12
no box
A06/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
116-91
116
91
+25
113avg 113
H09/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
108-100
108
100
+8
101avg 113
H16/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
125-103
125
103
+22
120avg 113
H18/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
112-118 OT
112
118
-6
98avg 113
A19/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
35-30
33-24
19-25
26-28
30-34
39-23
32-19
17-26
33-26
21-36
19-24
25-30
34-25
39-18
25-29
25-30
30-26
40-31
28-29
22-30
25-19
33-23
33-29
22-19
30-20
28-23
36-29
23-34
28-25
25-24
32-17
35-21
29-18
31-39
30-25
21-30
30-28
24-19
21-19
220.6Avg total
115.6Scored
105.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (94)117.9108.4226.4+9.574%
Season at home (48)119.1106.5225.6+12.681%
Season away (46)116.7110.5227.1+6.267%
Last 10 (10)115.6105.0220.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)114.8102.6217.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)115.0107.0222.0+8.067%
vs Weaker (27)119.7109.1228.8+10.674%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.0+3.0
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H27/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H30/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A03/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A05/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H08/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A10/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H12/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A16/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A18/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H19/05
NBA
102.5Avg total
50.6Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.950.8106.7+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.949.6106.5+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)55.051.9106.9+3.167%-
Last 10 (10)50.651.9102.5-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.652.8101.4-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)52.251.8104.1+0.467%-
vs Weaker (18)58.450.1108.4+8.372%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A21/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A23/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H28/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H01/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A04/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A06/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H09/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H16/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H18/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A19/05
NBA
107.5Avg total
55.2Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.654.7112.2+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.953.3112.2+5.661%-
Last 30 away (12)55.656.8112.3-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)55.252.3107.5+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)53.048.8101.8+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)55.352.0107.3+3.333%-
vs Weaker (27)57.855.0112.8+2.956%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.425.4
49.4%
51.7%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.711.0
31.7%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.019.4
80.8%
76.6%19.4
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.426.8
53.2%
51.7%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.213.3
33.1%
35.4%39.9
🏀 Free throws29.822.1
74.2%
76.6%22.1
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WLLWLWWLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#1
-0.3
Net rating
+10.2
102.5
Offensive rating
109.0
102.7
Defensive rating
98.8
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.6%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
11.6%
Turnover %
12.4%
17.2%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.7%
3-point %
33.1%
55.2%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 109.0Defence102.7 · 98.8Shooting48.7% · 51.6%3-point %31.7% · 33.1%Ball care11.6% · 12.4%Off. rebounds17.2% · 22.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toronto Raptors wins
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19HMilwaukee Bucks118-112 OT
18/05/19AMilwaukee Bucks103-125
16/05/19AMilwaukee Bucks100-108
12/05/19HPhiladelphia 76ers92-90
10/05/19APhiladelphia 76ers101-112
08/05/19HPhiladelphia 76ers125-89
05/05/19APhiladelphia 76ers101-96
03/05/19APhiladelphia 76ers95-116
30/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers89-94
27/04/19HPhiladelphia 76ers108-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19AToronto Raptors112-118 OT
18/05/19HToronto Raptors125-103
16/05/19HToronto Raptors108-100
09/05/19HBoston Celtics116-91
06/05/19ABoston Celtics113-101
04/05/19ABoston Celtics123-116
01/05/19HBoston Celtics123-102
28/04/19HBoston Celtics90-112
23/04/19ADetroit Pistons127-104
21/04/19ADetroit Pistons119-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW69%
HomeWLWWW78%
AwayLWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games974948
Win %69%78%60%
Points / game112.9113.9111.8
Allowed / game107.0105.6108.5
Point differential+5.8+8.3+3.3
Avg total219.9219.4220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (28)57% (14)57% (14)
Overtime %8%6%10%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeLWWWW81%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games944846
Win %74%81%67%
Points / game117.9119.1116.7
Allowed / game108.4106.5110.5
Point differential+9.5+12.6+6.2
Avg total226.4225.6227.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%65%48%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)33% (6)36% (11)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks94702474%117.9108.4+9.5
2 Golden State Warriors98692970%117.6111.1+6.5
3 Toronto Raptors97673069%112.9107.0+5.8
4 Denver Nuggets96613564%110.4106.8+3.6
5 Houston Rockets93593463%113.3108.7+4.6
6 Portland Trail Blazers98613762%113.8110.6+3.3
7 Philadelphia 76ers94583662%114.4111.6+2.7
8 Boston Celtics91543759%111.4107.5+3.9
9 Utah Jazz87513659%110.9106.5+4.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder87503757%113.9111.1+2.9
11 San Antonio Spurs89513857%111.0109.6+1.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers88503857%115.1115.0+0.1
13 Indiana Pacers86483856%107.3104.4+2.8
14 Orlando Magic87434449%106.4106.6-0.2
15 Brooklyn Nets87434449%112.2112.9-0.7
16 Detroit Pistons86414548%106.6108.0-1.3
17 Miami Heat82394348%105.7105.9-0.2
18 Charlotte Hornets82394348%110.7111.8-1.1
19 Sacramento Kings82394348%114.2115.3-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers82374545%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves82364644%112.5114.0-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks82334940%108.9110.1-1.3
23 New Orleans Pelicans82334940%115.4116.8-1.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies82334940%103.5106.1-2.6
25 Washington Wizards82325039%114.0116.9-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks82295335%113.3119.4-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls82226027%104.9113.4-8.4
28 Phoenix Suns82196323%107.5116.8-9.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%104.5114.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks82176521%104.6113.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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