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Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 130-111
31-18 35-26 29-35 35-32
Position#25
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game99.5
Allowed / game102.8
vs
Position#8
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game119.3
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
128-108
128
108
+20
127avg 102
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
120-100
120
100
+20
112avg 102
A04/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
82avg 102
A05/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-121
102
121
-19
84avg 102
A07/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
121-105
121
105
+16
116avg 102
H09/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
105-109
105
109
-4
93avg 102
H12/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
97-94
97
94
+3
89avg 102
H25/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
100avg 102
A28/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
107-114
107
114
-7
99avg 102
H28/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
91-99
91
99
-8
76avg 102
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
32-27
34-37
27-19
25-29
36-20
33-26
26-25
28-31
16-25
28-23
21-18
16-34
24-34
33-27
29-26
35-26
32-29
28-24
26-26
28-23
30-24
23-25
24-37
25-25
28-26
20-23
24-20
18-24
17-18
33-23
25-28
36-27
23-29
20-35
28-23
25-21
25-26
24-33
17-19
211.8Avg total
106.7Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)99.5102.8202.2-3.225%
Season at home (3)98.3102.3200.7-4.033%
Season away (1)103.0104.0207.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)106.7105.1211.8+1.640%
Last 5 (5)100.6104.0204.6-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)100.4106.0206.4-5.620%
vs Similar (19)111.4109.8221.3+1.653%
vs Weaker (6)115.7105.3221.0+10.383%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
114-137
114
137
-23
106avg 109
H08/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
105-121
105
121
-16
100avg 109
A09/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
117-130
117
130
-13
108avg 109
H16/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
138-122
138
122
+16
136avg 109
H20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
99-121
99
121
-22
87avg 109
A22/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
104avg 109
A24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
126-128 OT
126
128
-2
114avg 109
H27/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
118-117
118
117
+1
109avg 109
H26/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
110-127
110
127
-17
99avg 109
H29/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
122-114
122
114
+8
114avg 109
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-36
41-35
15-37
27-29
26-35
29-32
24-28
26-26
24-33
31-35
33-34
29-28
35-28
46-27
37-30
20-37
21-29
32-37
26-28
20-27
33-28
24-22
32-28
25-41
33-36
36-27
33-23
16-32
30-23
33-31
25-31
30-32
25-31
22-37
33-33
30-26
28-28
34-24
35-21
25-41
239.9Avg total
116.3Scored
123.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)116.7119.3236.0-2.767%
Season at home (3)116.7119.3236.0-2.767%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)116.3123.6239.9-7.330%
Last 5 (5)118.0121.0239.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)116.5119.4235.9-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)131.2120.8252.0+10.480%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -7.1-7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -7.1-7.1
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
67-52
67
52
+15
A02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A04/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A05/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A07/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H09/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H12/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H25/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H28/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H30/10
NBA
105.7Avg total
53.4Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.954.8110.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.152.8111.9+6.281%-
Last 30 away (14)52.257.1109.3-4.921%-
Last 10 (10)53.452.3105.7+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)51.048.699.6+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)46.254.6100.8-8.440%-
vs Similar (19)57.756.0113.7+1.753%-
vs Weaker (6)58.251.2109.3+7.067%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H08/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A09/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H16/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A22/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H27/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H26/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H29/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H31/10
NBA
122.8Avg total
61.4Scored
61.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.658.5120.1+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.658.6121.2+3.975%-
Last 30 away (14)60.658.3118.9+2.364%-
Last 10 (10)61.461.4122.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)59.657.4117.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)59.558.3117.8+1.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)65.958.8124.7+7.190%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 106.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.130.8
52.1%
54.4%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.4
32.4%
36.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.713.9
70.6%
78.2%13.9
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.227.4
55.7%
54.4%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.015.0
37.5%
36.3%45.0
🏀 Free throws22.516.5
73.3%
78.2%16.5
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLLWLWLLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWLLLWLLL
#25
League position
#8
+1.6
Net rating
-7.0
107.2
Offensive rating
111.3
105.6
Defensive rating
118.3
50.9%
Effective FG%
55.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
60.2%
11.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.4%
3-point %
37.5%
62.4%
Assist %
60.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 111.3Defence105.6 · 118.3Shooting50.9% · 55.9%3-point %32.4% · 37.5%Ball care11.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds24.7% · 22.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Toronto Raptors wins
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/23HPortland Trail Blazers91-99
28/10/23HPhiladelphia 76ers107-114
28/10/23AChicago Bulls103-104 OT
25/10/23HMinnesota Timberwolves97-94
12/04/23HChicago Bulls105-109
09/04/23HMilwaukee Bucks121-105
07/04/23ABoston Celtics102-121
05/04/23ABoston Celtics93-97
04/04/23ACharlotte Hornets120-100
02/04/23ACharlotte Hornets128-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23HMiami Heat122-114
29/10/23HAtlanta Hawks110-127
26/10/23HPhiladelphia 76ers118-117
27/04/23HMiami Heat126-128 OT
24/04/23AMiami Heat114-119
22/04/23AMiami Heat99-121
20/04/23HMiami Heat138-122
16/04/23HMiami Heat117-130
09/04/23AToronto Raptors105-121
08/04/23HMemphis Grizzlies114-137

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game99.598.3103.0
Allowed / game102.8102.3104.0
Point differential-3.2-4.0-1.0
Avg total202.2200.7207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%100%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game116.7116.7-
Allowed / game119.3119.3-
Point differential-2.7-2.7-
Avg total236.0236.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver Nuggets440100%116.2102.0+14.2
2 Boston Celtics330100%117.7107.3+10.3
3 Dallas Mavericks330100%125.3116.3+9.0
4 Los Angeles Clippers43175%120.5104.0+16.5
5 Golden State Warriors43175%115.5104.8+10.8
6 Oklahoma City Thunder43175%112.8112.2+0.5
7 Philadelphia 76ers32167%119.0107.7+11.3
8 Indiana Pacers32167%124.3115.0+9.3
9 Sacramento Kings32167%125.3121.0+4.3
10 Milwaukee Bucks32167%116.7119.3-2.7
11 New Orleans Pelicans32167%103.0107.0-4.0
12 Phoenix Suns42250%110.8105.8+5.0
13 Atlanta Hawks42250%121.0116.2+4.8
14 Orlando Magic42250%105.8101.8+4.0
15 Detroit Pistons42250%110.8107.0+3.8
16 New York Knicks42250%106.5103.8+2.8
17 Los Angeles Lakers42250%110.0112.2-2.2
18 Chicago Bulls42250%105.5112.5-7.0
19 San Antonio Spurs42250%110.8121.2-10.5
20 Brooklyn Nets31233%122.0120.0+2.0
21 Minnesota Timberwolves31233%104.3104.7-0.3
22 Charlotte Hornets31233%112.0118.0-6.0
23 Washington Wizards31233%113.3125.0-11.7
24 Toronto Raptors41325%99.5102.8-3.2
25 Miami Heat41325%104.5112.2-7.8
26 Cleveland Cavaliers41325%105.8113.8-8.0
27 Portland Trail Blazers41325%101.2110.5-9.2
28 Utah Jazz41325%110.0121.0-11.0
29 Memphis Grizzlies4040%106.0114.2-8.2
30 Houston Rockets3030%101.0116.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors31352935130
Milwaukee Bucks18263532111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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