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Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 102-86
36-19 17-20 24-31 25-16
Position#7
Record28-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game104.8
vs
Position#14
Record21-24
FormLLLWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game104.5
USANBA· Air Canada Centre
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
122-129
122
129
-7
116avg 93
H08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
114-106
114
106
+8
104avg 93
H11/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
132-113
132
113
+19
122avg 93
H14/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
116-101
116
101
+15
106avg 93
H15/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
119-109
119
109
+10
107avg 93
A18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
89-94
89
94
-5
73avg 93
A19/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
78-113
78
113
-35
52avg 93
A21/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
103-115
103
115
-12
87avg 93
H22/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
106-108
106
108
-2
90avg 93
H25/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
99-101
99
101
-2
81avg 93
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-27
26-34
36-34
23-34
23-18
23-37
34-29
34-22
30-27
24-26
36-36
42-24
27-26
42-28
27-8
20-39
26-29
32-32
34-24
27-24
21-25
23-21
21-22
24-26
18-26
30-29
15-33
15-25
31-28
29-29
25-25
18-33
25-29
29-32
25-18
27-29
34-32
23-24
20-31
22-14
216.7Avg total
107.8Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)109.7104.8214.5+4.961%
Season at home (23)113.2103.8217.0+9.365%
Season away (23)106.3105.8212.1+0.457%
Last 10 (10)107.8108.9216.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)95.0106.2201.2-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)111.0121.0232.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)106.1107.4213.5-1.346%
vs Weaker (16)114.0101.7215.7+12.375%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
L
101-107
101
107
-6
92avg 95
H08/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
109-107
109
107
+2
108avg 95
A11/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
116-108
116
108
+8
117avg 95
H14/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
98-111
98
111
-13
92avg 95
A15/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
104-113
104
113
-9
91avg 95
H16/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
92-111
92
111
-19
84avg 95
A19/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
96-112
96
112
-16
83avg 95
A21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
97-109
97
109
-12
84avg 95
A22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
127-114
127
114
+13
128avg 95
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-114
109
114
-5
97avg 95
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
26-25
21-33
23-25
23-23
30-36
30-30
26-18
42-30
23-18
26-26
25-34
36-36
17-24
30-28
15-23
24-24
30-22
24-35
26-32
27-22
12-30
26-27
27-32
23-25
32-34
19-29
22-24
22-25
21-28
28-29
26-27
33-33
35-31
25-27
34-23
39-33
19-39
24-16
27-26
215.5Avg total
104.9Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)105.0104.5209.6+0.547%
Season at home (24)109.5105.6215.1+4.054%
Season away (21)99.9103.3203.2-3.438%
Last 10 (10)104.9110.6215.5-5.730%
Last 5 (5)104.2112.0216.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)107.4108.1215.6-0.743%
vs Similar ◀ (18)106.6104.3210.8+2.350%
vs Weaker (5)106.4107.0213.4-0.640%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H08/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H11/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H14/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H15/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A21/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H22/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H25/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A26/01
NBA
111.2Avg total
55.3Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.454.1109.6+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.154.9114.0+4.156%-
Last 30 away (14)51.353.2104.5-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)55.355.9111.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)52.655.0107.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.072.0127.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)53.955.2109.1-1.238%-
vs Weaker (16)56.752.2108.9+4.569%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H08/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A11/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H14/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A15/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H16/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A19/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H26/01
NBA
110.7Avg total
54.5Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.153.2108.2+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.551.9110.5+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)51.654.4106.0-2.827%-
Last 10 (10)54.556.2110.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)52.660.0112.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)53.354.3107.6-1.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.152.6108.7+3.550%-
vs Weaker (5)53.853.6107.4+0.260%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 107.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.831.4
50.8%
50.2%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.619.2
81.4%
77.0%19.2
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.631.5
50.3%
50.2%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.0
37.7%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.9
79.2%
77.0%17.9
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLLLLWWWWL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLLLWWL
#7
League position
#14
-1.1
Net rating
-5.9
108.6
Offensive rating
108.0
109.7
Defensive rating
113.9
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
11.4%
Turnover %
15.0%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.6%
3-point %
37.7%
42.0%
Assist %
64.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 108.0Defence109.7 · 113.9Shooting50.7% · 51.9%3-point %33.6% · 37.7%Ball care11.4% · 15.0%Off. rebounds23.9% · 26.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/17AMemphis Grizzlies99-101
25/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs106-108
22/01/17HPhoenix Suns103-115
21/01/17ACharlotte Hornets78-113
19/01/17APhiladelphia 76ers89-94
18/01/17ABrooklyn Nets119-109
15/01/17HNew York Knicks116-101
14/01/17HBrooklyn Nets132-113
11/01/17HBoston Celtics114-106
08/01/17HHouston Rockets122-129
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/17HPhiladelphia 76ers109-114
24/01/17HHouston Rockets127-114
22/01/17AMiami Heat97-109
21/01/17AOrlando Magic96-112
19/01/17AHouston Rockets92-111
16/01/17HPhiladelphia 76ers104-113
15/01/17AAtlanta Hawks98-111
14/01/17HMiami Heat116-108
11/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs109-107
08/01/17HWashington Wizards101-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL61%
HomeWWWLL65%
AwayLWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %61%65%57%
Points / game109.7113.2106.3
Allowed / game104.8103.8105.8
Point differential+4.9+9.3+0.4
Avg total214.5217.0212.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%48%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)17% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeLWLWL54%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %47%54%38%
Points / game105.0109.599.9
Allowed / game104.5105.6103.3
Point differential+0.5+4.0-3.4
Avg total209.6215.1203.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)38% (8)60% (5)
Overtime %4%4%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4639785%117.5104.8+12.7
2 San Antonio Spurs4536980%107.798.8+8.9
3 Houston Rockets49341569%114.3108.1+6.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers44301468%109.7105.1+4.5
5 Los Angeles Clippers47301764%108.0103.0+5.0
6 Utah Jazz48301862%99.495.4+4.0
7 Toronto Raptors46281861%109.7104.8+4.9
8 Boston Celtics45271860%107.6105.8+1.8
9 Oklahoma City Thunder47281960%106.3105.2+1.2
10 Atlanta Hawks46271959%103.3103.0+0.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies47272057%99.799.4+0.3
12 Washington Wizards45252056%106.6105.7+0.8
13 Indiana Pacers46242252%105.6106.8-1.1
14 Charlotte Hornets46232350%105.2103.4+1.8
15 Chicago Bulls47232449%101.5101.5-0.1
16 Milwaukee Bucks45212447%105.0104.5+0.5
17 Detroit Pistons46212546%100.6101.3-0.8
18 Denver Nuggets45202544%110.1111.1-1.0
19 New York Knicks47202743%105.4108.1-2.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers47202743%107.4110.2-2.7
21 Sacramento Kings46182839%103.0105.8-2.8
22 New Orleans Pelicans46182839%103.3106.2-2.9
23 Philadelphia 76ers44172739%99.9105.0-5.1
24 Orlando Magic47182938%99.7104.9-5.1
25 Minnesota Timberwolves46172937%103.5104.6-1.1
26 Dallas Mavericks46163035%96.7100.1-3.4
27 Miami Heat46163035%99.2102.5-3.4
28 Phoenix Suns46153133%106.5111.8-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers50163432%103.6110.0-6.4
30 Brooklyn Nets4593620%105.8114.7-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors36172425102
Milwaukee Bucks1920311686
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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