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Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 May 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 127-120
40-41 29-32 29-26 29-21
Position#1
Record51-18
FormWLWWW
Points / game116.6
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Position#6
Record46-23
FormWWWLW
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game109.2
USANBA· Vivint Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
12 Dec 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
UTA117
DEN130
02 Mar 2026
UTA125
DEN128
30 Dec 2024
UTA121
DEN132
27 Nov 2024
UTA103
DEN122
09 Apr 2024
UTA95
DEN111
10 Jan 2024
UTA124
DEN111
08 Apr 2023
UTA118
DEN114
19 Oct 2022
UTA123
DEN102
02 Feb 2022
UTA108
DEN104
26 Oct 2021
UTA122
DEN110
07 May 2021
UTA127
DEN120
30 Aug 2020
UTA107
DEN119
23 Aug 2020
UTA129
DEN127
21 Aug 2020
UTA124
DEN87
14 Apr 2020
UTA v DEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
UTA95
DEN98
09 Apr 2019
UTA118
DEN108
23 Jan 2019
UTA114
DEN108
28 Nov 2017
UTA106
DEN77
18 Oct 2017
UTA106
DEN96
03 Dec 2016
UTA105
DEN98
23 Nov 2016
UTA108
DEN83
03 Feb 2016
UTA85
DEN81
18 Dec 2015
UTA97
DEN88
01 Apr 2015
UTA98
DEN84
01 Dec 2014
UTA101
DEN103
13 Jan 2014
UTA118
DEN103
11 Nov 2013
UTA81
DEN100
03 Apr 2013
UTA96
DEN113
26 Nov 2012
UTA105
DEN103
23 Mar 2012
UTA121
DEN102
13 Apr 2011
UTA107
DEN103
03 Mar 2011
UTA101
DEN103
30 Apr 2010
UTA112
DEN104
25 Apr 2010
UTA117
DEN106
23 Apr 2010
UTA105
DEN93
06 Feb 2010
UTA116
DEN106
02 Jan 2010
UTA95
DEN105
06 Mar 2009
UTA97
DEN91
29 Oct 2008
UTA98
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
115-127 OT
115
127
-12
101avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
111-97
111
97
+14
117avg 108
A20/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
112-89
112
89
+23
114avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
96-101
96
101
-5
90avg 108
H25/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
104-105
104
105
-1
92avg 108
A27/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
154-105
154
105
+49
164avg 108
A29/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
100-121
100
121
-21
91avg 108
A01/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
106-102
106
102
+4
104avg 108
H02/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
110-99
110
99
+11
104avg 108
H04/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
126-94
126
94
+32
126avg 108
H06/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-34
27-31
20-29
28-16
29-23
23-19
33-23
26-32
34-27
27-16
30-20
21-26
40-26
18-26
16-30
22-19
33-17
14-32
23-34
34-22
30-27
46-17
40-30
38-31
23-39
29-29
20-28
28-25
29-33
27-29
29-27
21-13
31-22
29-21
29-29
21-27
38-26
28-16
34-21
26-31
217.4Avg total
113.4Scored
104.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)116.6106.8223.3+9.874%
Season at home (35)117.4103.1220.5+14.389%
Season away (34)115.7110.5226.2+5.159%
Last 10 (10)113.4104.0217.4+9.460%
Last 5 (5)119.2104.2223.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)110.3108.7219.0+1.733%
vs Weaker (27)117.0105.8222.8+11.174%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
139-137 OT
139
137
+2
136avg 108
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
106-105
106
105
+1
99avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
97-118
97
118
-21
84avg 108
A24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
129-116
129
116
+13
132avg 108
H25/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
120-96
120
96
+24
112avg 108
H27/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
114-112
114
112
+2
107avg 108
H29/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-111
121
111
+10
110avg 108
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
110-104
110
104
+6
109avg 108
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
89-93
89
93
-4
80avg 108
A04/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
113-97
113
97
+16
105avg 108
H06/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-35
29-25
31-35
29-21
35-36
25-21
22-27
24-21
24-30
26-24
24-32
23-32
36-26
36-24
30-32
27-34
21-18
37-35
27-22
35-21
35-25
25-26
27-27
27-34
30-33
29-24
28-28
34-26
27-28
25-19
31-26
27-31
24-20
18-25
23-25
24-23
34-12
30-31
25-26
24-28
222.7Avg total
113.8Scored
108.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)115.3109.2224.5+6.067%
Season at home (37)117.6109.4227.0+8.273%
Season away (32)112.6109.0221.6+3.659%
Last 10 (10)113.8108.9222.7+4.980%
Last 5 (5)109.4103.4212.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)107.5105.7213.2+1.864%
vs Weaker (16)119.9111.2231.1+8.788%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A20/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A22/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H25/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A27/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
76-44
76
44
+32
A29/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A01/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H02/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H04/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
66-42
66
42
+24
H06/05
NBA
110.0Avg total
59.0Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.852.2110.0+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.351.5112.8+9.869%-
Last 30 away (14)53.952.9106.8+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)59.051.0110.0+8.060%-
Last 5 (5)62.051.8113.8+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)51.752.3104.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker (27)58.552.1110.7+6.463%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H25/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H27/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H29/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H30/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A02/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H06/05
NBA
109.0Avg total
57.3Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.053.0111.0+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (19)59.152.9111.9+6.274%-
Last 30 away (11)56.253.3109.5+2.955%-
Last 10 (10)57.351.7109.0+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)55.448.6104.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)56.651.9108.5+4.864%-
vs Weaker (16)59.254.1113.2+5.169%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.324.2
57.2%
52.8%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.017.4
39.5%
36.6%52.2
🏀 Free throws15.612.8
82.1%
77.7%12.8
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.729.8
55.5%
52.8%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.612.0
33.7%
36.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.018.2
82.7%
77.7%18.2
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
WWWLWLLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWLWW
#1
League position
#6
+9.4
Net rating
+4.8
113.3
Offensive rating
110.6
103.9
Defensive rating
105.8
58.3%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.1%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.5%
3-point %
33.7%
62.3%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 110.6Defence103.9 · 105.8Shooting58.3% · 53.5%3-point %39.5% · 33.7%Ball care15.1% · 13.1%Off. rebounds21.5% · 20.9%Free throws0.18 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utah Jazz wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/21HSan Antonio Spurs126-94
04/05/21HSan Antonio Spurs110-99
02/05/21HToronto Raptors106-102
01/05/21APhoenix Suns100-121
29/04/21ASacramento Kings154-105
27/04/21AMinnesota Timberwolves104-105
25/04/21HMinnesota Timberwolves96-101
22/04/21AHouston Rockets112-89
20/04/21ALos Angeles Lakers111-97
17/04/21ALos Angeles Lakers115-127 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/21HNew York Knicks113-97
04/05/21ALos Angeles Lakers89-93
02/05/21ALos Angeles Clippers110-104
30/04/21HToronto Raptors121-111
29/04/21HNew Orleans Pelicans114-112
27/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies120-96
25/04/21HHouston Rockets129-116
24/04/21AGolden State Warriors97-118
22/04/21APortland Trail Blazers106-105
20/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies139-137 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %74%89%59%
Points / game116.6117.4115.7
Allowed / game106.8103.1110.5
Point differential+9.8+14.3+5.1
Avg total223.3220.5226.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%74%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)40% (5)50% (8)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693732
Win %67%73%59%
Points / game115.3117.6112.6
Allowed / game109.2109.4109.0
Point differential+6.0+8.2+3.6
Avg total224.5227.0221.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%51%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)55% (11)56% (9)
Overtime %9%11%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz69511874%116.6106.8+9.8
2 Philadelphia 76ers69482170%113.7108.1+5.6
3 Phoenix Suns70472367%114.0109.2+4.8
4 Denver Nuggets69462367%115.3109.2+6.0
5 Brooklyn Nets69452465%118.4114.1+4.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers70452564%113.5108.2+5.3
7 Milwaukee Bucks70432761%119.4114.1+5.4
8 Los Angeles Lakers70412959%109.3106.3+3.0
9 Dallas Mavericks70412959%112.5109.9+2.6
10 New York Knicks70403057%106.9103.9+3.0
11 Portland Trail Blazers70383254%115.1114.9+0.2
12 Atlanta Hawks72393354%113.2111.9+1.3
13 Miami Heat69373254%107.2107.7-0.5
14 Memphis Grizzlies70363451%113.6112.5+1.1
15 Golden State Warriors70363451%112.9112.6+0.3
16 Boston Celtics69353451%112.2111.0+1.2
17 Charlotte Hornets71343748%109.8111.3-1.5
18 New Orleans Pelicans69323746%115.1114.4+0.7
19 Washington Wizards70323846%115.6117.9-2.3
20 San Antonio Spurs68313746%110.5112.3-1.9
21 Indiana Pacers69313845%114.5115.0-0.5
22 Sacramento Kings70313944%113.8117.9-4.1
23 Chicago Bulls71314044%110.8111.6-0.8
24 Toronto Raptors70294141%111.7111.3+0.4
25 Orlando Magic71234832%104.8112.9-8.1
26 Cleveland Cavaliers71234832%103.7111.8-8.2
27 Oklahoma City Thunder70224831%105.4115.1-9.7
28 Detroit Pistons71224931%106.4109.8-3.4
29 Minnesota Timberwolves70214930%111.7118.2-6.5
30 Houston Rockets71195227%108.5115.3-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz40292929127
Denver Nuggets41322621120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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