PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-96
21-30 28-28 29-25 28-13
Position#6
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game112.3
Allowed / game100.7
vs
Position#12
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game105.8
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· Vivint Smart Home Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
12 Dec 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
06 Oct 2026
UTA106
DEN117
01 Apr 2026
UTA117
DEN130
02 Mar 2026
UTA125
DEN128
30 Dec 2024
UTA121
DEN132
27 Nov 2024
UTA103
DEN122
09 Apr 2024
UTA95
DEN111
10 Jan 2024
UTA124
DEN111
12 Jul 2023
UTA96
DEN91
08 Apr 2023
UTA118
DEN114
19 Oct 2022
UTA123
DEN102
17 Jul 2022
UTA82
DEN72
02 Feb 2022
UTA108
DEN104
26 Oct 2021
UTA122
DEN110
07 May 2021
UTA127
DEN120
30 Aug 2020
UTA107
DEN119
23 Aug 2020
UTA129
DEN127
21 Aug 2020
UTA124
DEN87
14 Apr 2020
UTA v DEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
UTA95
DEN98
09 Apr 2019
UTA118
DEN108
23 Jan 2019
UTA114
DEN108
28 Nov 2017
UTA106
DEN77
18 Oct 2017
UTA106
DEN96
03 Dec 2016
UTA105
DEN98
23 Nov 2016
UTA108
DEN83
03 Feb 2016
UTA85
DEN81
18 Dec 2015
UTA97
DEN88
22 Oct 2015
UTA98
DEN78
01 Apr 2015
UTA98
DEN84
01 Dec 2014
UTA101
DEN103
13 Jan 2014
UTA118
DEN103
11 Nov 2013
UTA81
DEN100
03 Apr 2013
UTA96
DEN113
26 Nov 2012
UTA105
DEN103
23 Mar 2012
UTA121
DEN102
13 Apr 2011
UTA107
DEN103
03 Mar 2011
UTA101
DEN103
30 Apr 2010
UTA112
DEN104
25 Apr 2010
UTA117
DEN106
23 Apr 2010
UTA105
DEN93
06 Feb 2010
UTA116
DEN106
02 Jan 2010
UTA95
DEN105
06 Mar 2009
UTA97
DEN91
29 Oct 2008
UTA98
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
100-94
100
94
+6
H06/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Boston Celtics
#4
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H07/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Milwaukee Bucks
#22
W
97-76
97
76
+21
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
112-101
112
101
+11
H07/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
120-102
120
102
+18
A10/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
105-99
105
99
+6
A11/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
28-21
27-26
23-31
11-18
18-16
17-20
22-11
12-18
20-12
12-24
19-18
18-9
10-31
19-22
20-24
20-14
19-29
15-19
24-16
13-15
29-25
22-29
17-28
27-17
29-22
20-19
21-18
28-25
37-24
19-30
28-22
29-17
36-24
21-29
34-32
28-27
24-22
27-28
26-22
177.0Avg total
89.4Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)112.3100.7213.0+11.7100%
Season at home (1)112.0101.0213.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)112.5100.5213.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.487.6177.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)103.095.0198.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)86.898.0184.8-11.211%
vs Similar ◀ (11)101.099.2200.2+1.864%
vs Weaker (10)99.388.1187.4+11.290%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Houston Rockets
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#8
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
96-91
96
91
+5
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
108-102
108
102
+6
A01/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
113-107
113
107
+6
A03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A05/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
100-122
100
122
-22
A08/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H11/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
19-28
19-23
16-17
18-20
19-26
28-17
16-19
20-12
21-24
22-21
24-24
15-22
22-23
13-24
24-16
23-22
23-22
27-23
23-24
28-21
26-31
32-21
22-29
26-31
35-25
30-24
22-27
41-30
33-22
29-23
19-29
32-35
22-31
28-17
18-39
17-25
22-24
25-20
22-27
189.8Avg total
93.8Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)105.8106.2212.0-0.460%
Season at home (1)86.096.0182.0-10.00%
Season away (4)110.8108.8219.5+2.075%
Last 10 (10)93.896.0189.8-2.250%
Last 5 (5)105.8106.2212.0-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)99.3102.2201.5-2.817%
vs Similar ◀ (22)109.1107.7216.8+1.459%
vs Weaker (2)117.096.5213.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.5-4.5
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H06/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Boston Celtics
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H07/07
NBA - Utah Summer League
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Milwaukee Bucks
#22
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H07/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
65-41
65
41
+24
A10/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A11/10
NBA
86.0Avg total
45.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.746.093.8+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.445.093.4+3.471%-
Last 30 away (16)47.146.994.1+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.286.0+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)56.043.699.6+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.847.990.7-5.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)49.648.498.0+1.355%-
vs Weaker (10)50.141.891.9+8.380%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Houston Rockets
#14
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A01/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A03/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
74-52
74
52
+22
A05/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A08/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H11/10
NBA
97.5Avg total
47.9Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.653.5108.1+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.151.7103.8+0.462%-
Last 30 away (17)56.554.9111.5+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)47.949.697.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)56.455.0111.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.852.5102.3-2.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.454.7110.1+0.655%-
vs Weaker (2)60.543.5104.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 101.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.928.1
49.4%
51.0%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.0
33.5%
36.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.118.2
75.5%
76.5%18.2
They take 83.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.728.1
50.4%
51.0%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.6
36.5%
36.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws24.618.2
74.0%
76.5%18.2
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
WWWWLLLLWW
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLWLL
#6
League position
#12
-1.3
Net rating
+1.5
103.6
Offensive rating
104.9
104.9
Defensive rating
103.4
49.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.7%
21.1%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
36.5%
56.6%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 104.9Defence104.9 · 103.4Shooting49.6% · 52.0%3-point %33.5% · 36.5%Ball care12.6% · 14.7%Off. rebounds21.1% · 20.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Utah Jazz wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/17ALos Angeles Lakers105-99
10/10/17APhoenix Suns120-102
07/10/17HPhoenix Suns112-101
14/07/17AMilwaukee Bucks97-76
13/07/17APhoenix Suns81-97
11/07/17AMemphis Grizzlies81-84 OT
10/07/17ALos Angeles Clippers67-86
08/07/17HPortland Trail Blazers63-72
07/07/17HBoston Celtics68-65
06/07/17HPhiladelphia 76ers100-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/17HOklahoma City Thunder86-96
08/10/17ASan Antonio Spurs100-122
05/10/17ALos Angeles Lakers122-104
03/10/17ALos Angeles Lakers113-107
01/10/17AGolden State Warriors108-102
15/07/17HNew Orleans Pelicans96-91
13/07/17ABrooklyn Nets74-85
12/07/17AHouston Rockets87-81
11/07/17AToronto Raptors81-82
09/07/17HMinnesota Timberwolves71-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game112.3112.0112.5
Allowed / game100.7101.0100.5
Point differential+11.7+11.0+12.0
Avg total213.0213.0213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeL0%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%0%75%
Points / game105.886.0110.8
Allowed / game106.296.0108.8
Point differential-0.4-10.0+2.0
Avg total212.0182.0219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz330100%112.3100.7+11.7
2 Portland Trail Blazers54180%112.4101.6+10.8
3 Houston Rockets54180%108.2101.6+6.6
4 Washington Wizards54180%110.2106.0+4.2
5 Indiana Pacers43175%111.8106.5+5.2
6 Memphis Grizzlies64267%104.094.2+9.8
7 Boston Celtics64267%104.098.3+5.7
8 Oklahoma City Thunder32167%98.393.7+4.7
9 Minnesota Timberwolves32167%109.7112.0-2.3
10 San Antonio Spurs53260%107.899.8+8.0
11 Brooklyn Nets53260%116.8110.2+6.6
12 Toronto Raptors53260%109.4103.0+6.4
13 Denver Nuggets53260%105.8106.2-0.4
14 Dallas Mavericks74357%103.9100.7+3.1
15 Orlando Magic74357%101.498.6+2.9
16 Detroit Pistons63350%103.5100.8+2.7
17 Atlanta Hawks63350%99.3100.8-1.5
18 Chicago Bulls63350%100.8109.2-8.3
19 Miami Heat73443%100.6106.6-6.0
20 Golden State Warriors52340%115.4111.4+4.0
21 Los Angeles Clippers52340%105.0107.4-2.4
22 Milwaukee Bucks52340%101.2105.4-4.2
23 Philadelphia 76ers62433%109.0110.3-1.3
24 Charlotte Hornets62433%99.5102.5-3.0
25 Los Angeles Lakers62433%99.2103.5-4.3
26 Cleveland Cavaliers62433%99.8105.0-5.2
27 Phoenix Suns41325%105.2114.2-9.0
28 New Orleans Pelicans51420%100.0111.0-11.0
29 Sacramento Kings61517%90.7101.0-10.3
30 New York Knicks5050%97.6112.6-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz21282928106
Denver Nuggets3028251396
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.