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Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 121-111
30-33 29-24 28-28 34-26
Position#6
Record43-22
FormWLWWW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game109.7
vs
Position#24
Record28-37
FormWWLWL
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game111.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors
04 Nov 2026
DEN v TOR
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
DEN121
TOR115
04 Nov 2024
DEN121
TOR119
11 Mar 2024
DEN125
TOR119
06 Mar 2023
DEN118
TOR113
12 Mar 2022
DEN115
TOR127
29 Apr 2021
DEN121
TOR111
01 Mar 2020
DEN133
TOR118
16 Dec 2018
DEN95
TOR86
01 Nov 2017
DEN129
TOR111
18 Nov 2016
DEN111
TOR113
01 Feb 2016
DEN112
TOR93
28 Dec 2014
DEN102
TOR116
31 Jan 2014
DEN90
TOR100
03 Dec 2012
DEN113
TOR110
27 Jan 2012
DEN96
TOR81
21 Mar 2011
DEN123
TOR90
17 Nov 2009
DEN130
TOR112
02 Dec 2008
DEN132
TOR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
L
87-105
87
105
-18
76avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
107-116
107
116
-9
100avg 108
A13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
123-106
123
106
+17
123avg 108
H15/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
128-99
128
99
+29
121avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
139-137 OT
139
137
+2
136avg 108
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
106-105
106
105
+1
99avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
97-118
97
118
-21
84avg 108
A24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
129-116
129
116
+13
132avg 108
H25/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
120-96
120
96
+24
112avg 108
H27/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
114-112
114
112
+2
107avg 108
H29/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
24-29
28-29
8-31
32-33
29-23
22-43
24-17
26-31
34-18
36-30
27-27
35-28
34-21
31-30
28-20
27-35
29-25
31-35
29-21
35-36
25-21
22-27
24-21
24-30
26-24
24-32
23-32
36-26
36-24
30-32
27-34
21-18
37-35
27-22
35-21
35-25
25-26
27-27
27-34
226.0Avg total
115.0Scored
111.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)115.7109.7225.4+6.066%
Season at home (35)117.6109.7227.3+7.971%
Season away (30)113.5109.7223.2+3.760%
Last 10 (10)115.0111.0226.0+4.070%
Last 5 (5)113.2109.4222.6+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)110.1106.9217.0+3.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)119.7109.9229.6+9.789%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
135-115
135
115
+20
135avg 102
A10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
96-102
96
102
-6
86avg 102
A12/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
103-108
103
108
-5
89avg 102
H13/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
117-112
117
112
+5
112avg 102
H14/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
113-102
113
102
+11
109avg 102
H16/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
112-106
112
106
+6
98avg 102
H18/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
114-103
114
103
+11
106avg 102
H21/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
103-120
103
120
-17
96avg 102
A24/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
112-96
112
96
+16
116avg 102
H26/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
103-116
103
116
-13
93avg 102
H27/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
47-26
40-28
13-29
35-32
16-27
26-29
34-22
20-24
27-28
27-38
24-24
25-18
30-32
28-25
27-25
32-30
24-24
23-27
38-19
28-32
28-31
24-28
29-21
31-26
23-36
33-22
36-23
22-22
26-30
33-34
24-24
20-32
33-23
16-25
32-22
31-26
28-26
24-30
31-24
20-36
218.8Avg total
110.8Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)111.6111.0222.7+0.643%
Season at home (33)111.1108.5219.7+2.648%
Season away (32)112.2113.6225.8-1.438%
Last 10 (10)110.8108.0218.8+2.860%
Last 5 (5)108.8108.2217.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)112.8109.8222.6+3.040%
vs Similar (17)109.2114.0223.2-4.818%
vs Weaker (8)112.6109.5222.1+3.162%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
Denver NuggetsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H15/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
69-49
69
49
+20
A17/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H25/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H27/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H29/04
NBA
112.1Avg total
59.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.253.3112.5+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.853.2112.0+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)59.753.4113.1+6.369%-
Last 10 (10)59.752.4112.1+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)60.053.0113.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)58.253.4111.7+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)59.853.2113.0+6.672%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
87-54
87
54
+33
A10/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A12/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H13/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H14/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H16/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H18/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H21/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A24/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H26/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H27/04
NBA
112.5Avg total
55.6Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.359.8117.1-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.258.4114.6-2.333%-
Last 30 away (12)58.961.9120.8-3.025%-
Last 10 (10)55.656.9112.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)53.657.0110.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)57.055.2112.2+1.820%-
vs Similar (17)55.762.6118.4-6.924%-
vs Weaker (8)60.856.8117.5+4.050%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.230.7
56.6%
52.8%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.0
34.0%
36.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws21.117.6
83.4%
77.7%17.6
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.126.0
53.0%
52.8%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.114.1
38.0%
36.6%42.3
🏀 Free throws19.616.5
84.2%
77.7%16.5
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWWLL
Toronto Raptors
LWLWWWWLLW
#6
League position
#24
+3.9
Net rating
+2.8
112.3
Offensive rating
111.9
108.4
Defensive rating
109.1
54.4%
Effective FG%
54.7%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.8%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.0%
3-point %
38.0%
62.5%
Assist %
60.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 111.9Defence108.4 · 109.1Shooting54.4% · 54.7%3-point %34.0% · 38.0%Ball care13.3% · 12.8%Off. rebounds22.3% · 21.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/21HNew Orleans Pelicans114-112
27/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies120-96
25/04/21HHouston Rockets129-116
24/04/21AGolden State Warriors97-118
22/04/21APortland Trail Blazers106-105
20/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies139-137 OT
17/04/21AHouston Rockets128-99
15/04/21HMiami Heat123-106
13/04/21AGolden State Warriors107-116
11/04/21HBoston Celtics87-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/21HBrooklyn Nets103-116
26/04/21HCleveland Cavaliers112-96
24/04/21ANew York Knicks103-120
21/04/21HBrooklyn Nets114-103
18/04/21HOklahoma City Thunder112-106
16/04/21HOrlando Magic113-102
14/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs117-112
13/04/21HAtlanta Hawks103-108
12/04/21ANew York Knicks96-102
10/04/21ACleveland Cavaliers135-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW66%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653530
Win %66%71%60%
Points / game115.7117.6113.5
Allowed / game109.7109.7109.7
Point differential+6.0+7.9+3.7
Avg total225.4227.3223.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%49%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)55% (11)62% (8)
Overtime %9%11%7%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWWWWL48%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653332
Win %43%48%38%
Points / game111.6111.1112.2
Allowed / game111.0108.5113.6
Point differential+0.6+2.6-1.4
Avg total222.7219.7225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won37% (19)36% (11)38% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz65481774%116.9106.9+10.0
2 Brooklyn Nets65452069%118.8113.7+5.1
3 Philadelphia 76ers64432167%113.4108.2+5.2
4 Phoenix Suns66442267%113.7108.7+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets65432266%115.7109.7+6.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers67432464%113.7108.5+5.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers66402661%109.7106.1+3.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks65382758%119.0113.7+5.4
9 Dallas Mavericks65372857%112.3109.9+2.4
10 New York Knicks67382957%106.6103.8+2.8
11 Atlanta Hawks67363154%112.8111.7+1.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers66353153%114.4115.0-0.6
13 Memphis Grizzlies65343152%114.0112.6+1.3
14 Miami Heat65343152%106.4107.3-0.8
15 Boston Celtics65333251%111.5110.4+1.2
16 Golden State Warriors66333350%112.8113.4-0.5
17 San Antonio Spurs64313348%110.4111.7-1.2
18 Charlotte Hornets66313547%110.0111.5-1.5
19 New Orleans Pelicans64293545%115.2114.5+0.7
20 Indiana Pacers65293645%113.6114.7-1.2
21 Washington Wizards65293645%114.2117.3-3.1
22 Chicago Bulls66293744%111.2112.2-1.0
23 Toronto Raptors65283743%111.6111.0+0.6
24 Sacramento Kings66273941%114.2119.0-4.8
25 Cleveland Cavaliers66234335%103.7110.8-7.0
26 Oklahoma City Thunder65224334%105.7114.7-9.0
27 Orlando Magic66214532%105.0112.9-7.9
28 Detroit Pistons67214631%106.5110.0-3.5
29 Minnesota Timberwolves67214631%111.0117.5-6.6
30 Houston Rockets67194828%108.6114.6-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30292834121
Toronto Raptors33242826111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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