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Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 103-122
35-34 18-29 23-37 27-22
Position#30
Record4-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game119.1
vs
Position#9
Record9-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game116.6
USANBA· Delta Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
12 Dec 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
UTA117
DEN130
02 Mar 2026
UTA125
DEN128
30 Dec 2024
UTA121
DEN132
27 Nov 2024
UTA103
DEN122
09 Apr 2024
UTA95
DEN111
10 Jan 2024
UTA124
DEN111
08 Apr 2023
UTA118
DEN114
19 Oct 2022
UTA123
DEN102
02 Feb 2022
UTA108
DEN104
26 Oct 2021
UTA122
DEN110
07 May 2021
UTA127
DEN120
30 Aug 2020
UTA107
DEN119
23 Aug 2020
UTA129
DEN127
21 Aug 2020
UTA124
DEN87
14 Apr 2020
UTA v DEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
UTA95
DEN98
09 Apr 2019
UTA118
DEN108
23 Jan 2019
UTA114
DEN108
28 Nov 2017
UTA106
DEN77
18 Oct 2017
UTA106
DEN96
03 Dec 2016
UTA105
DEN98
23 Nov 2016
UTA108
DEN83
03 Feb 2016
UTA85
DEN81
18 Dec 2015
UTA97
DEN88
01 Apr 2015
UTA98
DEN84
01 Dec 2014
UTA101
DEN103
13 Jan 2014
UTA118
DEN103
11 Nov 2013
UTA81
DEN100
03 Apr 2013
UTA96
DEN113
26 Nov 2012
UTA105
DEN103
23 Mar 2012
UTA121
DEN102
13 Apr 2011
UTA107
DEN103
03 Mar 2011
UTA101
DEN103
30 Apr 2010
UTA112
DEN104
25 Apr 2010
UTA117
DEN106
23 Apr 2010
UTA105
DEN93
06 Feb 2010
UTA116
DEN106
02 Jan 2010
UTA95
DEN105
06 Mar 2009
UTA97
DEN91
29 Oct 2008
UTA98
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
100-123
100
123
-23
95avg 108
A08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
111-110
111
110
+1
103avg 108
A09/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
112-120
112
120
-8
107avg 108
H13/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
115-113
115
113
+2
108avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
117-121
117
121
-4
103avg 108
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
105-116
105
116
-11
101avg 108
A18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
118-124
118
124
-6
112avg 108
A20/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
118-126
118
126
-8
104avg 108
A22/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
121-106
121
106
+15
123avg 108
H23/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
115-128
115
128
-13
109avg 108
H27/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-31
32-26
16-31
23-35
25-22
28-23
29-37
29-28
21-33
28-31
30-23
33-33
27-28
34-36
38-21
16-28
31-35
32-29
31-26
23-31
25-35
20-31
29-30
31-20
22-34
22-23
31-40
43-27
32-17
35-34
22-34
29-41
28-28
38-23
21-27
34-28
35-32
31-34
27-30
22-32
231.9Avg total
113.2Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)109.8119.1228.8-9.324%
Season at home (8)107.1117.4224.5-10.225%
Season away (9)112.1120.6232.7-8.422%
Last 10 (10)113.2118.7231.9-5.530%
Last 5 (5)115.4120.0235.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)109.1119.6228.7-10.621%
vs Similar (1)111.0118.0229.0-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-119
121
119
+2
118avg 109
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
124-122
124
122
+2
126avg 109
H07/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
135-122
135
122
+13
143avg 109
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
122-120
122
120
+2
122avg 109
H11/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 109
A16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 109
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
122-110
122
110
+12
115avg 109
A20/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
120-123
120
123
-3
114avg 109
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
127-102
127
102
+25
136avg 109
A24/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
118-145
118
145
-27
102avg 109
H26/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-37
25-27
29-29
33-26
30-32
25-34
40-29
29-27
40-27
31-33
33-30
31-32
35-29
25-34
37-31
25-26
22-32
32-27
18-19
22-23
25-28
18-27
21-29
26-21
31-24
37-33
24-21
30-32
31-33
22-40
36-22
31-28
31-27
26-36
37-15
33-24
24-36
29-40
34-37
31-32
234.2Avg total
117.3Scored
116.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)117.5116.6234.1+0.956%
Season at home (9)117.8118.3236.1-0.656%
Season away (7)117.1114.4231.6+2.757%
Last 10 (10)117.3116.9234.2+0.460%
Last 5 (5)115.4117.0232.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5112.0217.5-6.550%
vs Similar (16)108.6110.9219.4-2.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)117.0112.6229.6+4.475%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A09/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H13/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H15/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A17/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A20/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
67-51
67
51
+16
A22/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H23/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
D
66-66
66
66
+0
H27/11
NBA
116.0Avg total
57.5Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.059.9113.9-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.659.3113.9-4.729%-
Last 30 away (16)53.560.4113.9-6.931%-
Last 10 (10)57.558.5116.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)57.658.2115.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)54.259.9114.1-5.731%-
vs Similar (1)48.059.0107.0-11.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
59-64
59
64
-5
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H07/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H11/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A20/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A24/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
53-76
53
76
-23
H26/11
NBA
120.9Avg total
57.3Scored
63.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.457.3111.7-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.657.4110.1-4.831%-
Last 30 away (14)56.557.1113.6-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)57.363.6120.9-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)54.864.8119.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.062.0115.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (16)53.155.7108.8-2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)56.458.6115.0-2.225%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.727.2
55.9%
54.3%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.6
37.6%
35.9%40.8
🏀 Free throws22.718.0
79.3%
77.8%18.0
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.530.0
55.0%
54.3%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.213.2
39.8%
35.9%39.6
🏀 Free throws23.817.7
74.4%
77.8%17.7
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LWLLLLWLWL
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLLWWWW
#30
League position
#9
-5.5
Net rating
+0.4
112.6
Offensive rating
114.0
118.0
Defensive rating
113.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
56.8%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.9%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.6%
3-point %
39.8%
60.8%
Assist %
70.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 114.0Defence118.0 · 113.6Shooting56.1% · 56.8%3-point %37.6% · 39.8%Ball care16.3% · 13.9%Off. rebounds27.1% · 24.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utah Jazz wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HSan Antonio Spurs115-128
23/11/24HNew York Knicks121-106
22/11/24ASan Antonio Spurs118-126
20/11/24ALos Angeles Lakers118-124
18/11/24ALos Angeles Clippers105-116
17/11/24ASacramento Kings117-121
15/11/24HDallas Mavericks115-113
13/11/24HPhoenix Suns112-120
09/11/24ASan Antonio Spurs111-110
08/11/24AMilwaukee Bucks100-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24HNew York Knicks118-145
24/11/24ALos Angeles Lakers127-102
23/11/24HDallas Mavericks120-123
20/11/24AMemphis Grizzlies122-110
17/11/24AMemphis Grizzlies90-105
16/11/24ANew Orleans Pelicans94-101
11/11/24HDallas Mavericks122-120
09/11/24HMiami Heat135-122
07/11/24HOklahoma City Thunder124-122
05/11/24HToronto Raptors121-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL24%
HomeLLWWL25%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%25%22%
Points / game109.8107.1112.1
Allowed / game119.1117.4120.6
Point differential-9.3-10.2-8.4
Avg total228.8224.5232.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%56%57%
Points / game117.5117.8117.1
Allowed / game116.6118.3114.4
Point differential+0.9-0.6+2.7
Avg total234.1236.1231.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %12%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers1917289%123.5112.3+11.2
2 Boston Celtics1815383%120.2109.6+10.7
3 Oklahoma City Thunder1713476%115.2103.9+11.2
4 Golden State Warriors1712571%117.7109.9+7.8
5 Houston Rockets2014670%114.3105.8+8.5
6 Orlando Magic2013765%107.7102.9+4.8
7 Memphis Grizzlies1912763%121.0112.7+8.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers1811761%115.6116.6-0.9
9 Los Angeles Clippers2012860%109.3107.0+2.4
10 Phoenix Suns1710759%112.9113.6-0.7
11 Dallas Mavericks1911858%117.5111.3+6.2
12 Denver Nuggets169756%117.5116.6+0.9
13 New York Knicks1810856%118.8113.7+5.2
14 San Antonio Spurs1910953%110.3110.0+0.3
15 Miami Heat168850%110.4109.3+1.1
16 Milwaukee Bucks189950%112.7112.3+0.4
17 Sacramento Kings1991047%114.1113.3+0.8
18 Indiana Pacers1991047%114.8117.5-2.7
19 Minnesota Timberwolves1881044%112.2111.3+0.8
20 Brooklyn Nets1881044%111.6114.2-2.6
21 Atlanta Hawks1981142%116.6121.2-4.6
22 Detroit Pistons2081240%109.5112.0-2.5
23 Chicago Bulls2081240%118.0123.5-5.6
24 Portland Trail Blazers1971237%105.6114.0-8.4
25 Charlotte Hornets1861233%108.2113.1-4.9
26 Toronto Raptors1951426%112.5116.6-4.1
27 Utah Jazz1741324%109.8119.1-9.3
28 New Orleans Pelicans1941521%103.5115.3-11.8
29 Philadelphia 76ers1731418%104.8113.1-8.3
30 Washington Wizards1721512%107.8123.1-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz35182327103
Denver Nuggets34293722122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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