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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 105-109
31-32 27-21 21-28 26-28
Position#6
Record8-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game110.1
vs
Position#1
Record11-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game104.5
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
124-111
124
111
+13
124avg 106
H29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
115-125
115
125
-10
113avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
103-106
103
106
-3
96avg 106
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
124-109
124
109
+15
120avg 106
A04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
123-116
123
116
+7
116avg 106
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
117-124 OT
117
124
-7
105avg 106
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
115-103
115
103
+12
111avg 106
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
114-89
114
89
+25
110avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
105avg 106
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 106
H15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-26
34-34
36-23
18-28
34-32
28-42
38-22
15-29
32-34
17-26
29-27
25-19
29-28
26-20
28-36
41-25
34-22
28-43
31-31
30-20
28-22
24-21
26-33
31-33
28-26
30-25
35-21
22-31
28-21
31-17
23-26
32-25
35-27
35-27
20-36
26-32
37-24
28-30
25-22
24-28
227.4Avg total
116.5Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)117.0110.1227.1+6.953%
Season at home (9)118.4110.8229.2+7.756%
Season away (6)114.8109.2224.0+5.750%
Last 10 (10)116.5110.9227.4+5.660%
Last 5 (5)115.2108.4223.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)105.9107.5213.4-1.642%
vs Similar ◀ (13)112.5104.5217.1+8.062%
vs Weaker (5)121.6117.0238.6+4.660%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
110-109
110
109
+1
104avg 105
A29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
95-106
95
106
-11
82avg 105
H01/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
106-100
106
100
+6
101avg 105
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
130-109
130
109
+21
133avg 105
A04/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
96-130
96
130
-34
78avg 105
A06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
100-112
100
112
-12
85avg 105
A07/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
131-118
131
118
+13
127avg 105
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
96-86
96
86
+10
93avg 105
A10/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
117-87
117
87
+30
116avg 105
A13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
116-92
116
92
+24
113avg 105
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
27-28
35-35
26-22
22-21
18-32
30-30
25-23
31-19
20-23
33-23
22-35
33-23
32-28
33-25
32-33
14-35
30-28
29-35
23-32
27-20
29-24
19-34
25-34
34-31
31-27
39-38
27-22
34-19
23-21
17-28
22-18
22-18
27-18
38-23
30-28
33-23
28-23
26-28
29-18
214.6Avg total
109.7Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)112.2104.5216.7+7.773%
Season at home (6)109.7101.8211.5+7.867%
Season away (9)113.9106.2220.1+7.778%
Last 10 (10)109.7104.9214.6+4.870%
Last 5 (5)112.099.0211.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)112.9111.7224.6+1.250%
vs Weaker (8)112.5101.4213.9+11.175%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
70-60
70
60
+10
H29/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H15/01
NBA
114.9Avg total
60.2Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.556.5114.0+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.155.3113.4+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)56.957.9114.7-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)60.254.7114.9+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)60.848.0108.8+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)53.859.1112.8-5.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)59.352.8112.1+6.569%-
vs Weaker (5)61.860.0121.8+1.860%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H01/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H02/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A04/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A07/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A10/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H16/01
NBA
102.2Avg total
53.7Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.652.5108.1+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.453.3110.7+4.162%-
Last 30 away (17)54.351.9106.2+2.459%-
Last 10 (10)53.748.5102.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)57.644.8102.4+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.254.3109.5+0.955%-
vs Weaker (8)56.947.6104.5+9.275%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.929.8
56.3%
52.8%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.413.5
39.2%
36.6%40.5
🏀 Free throws22.516.4
72.9%
77.7%16.4
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.224.4
51.7%
52.8%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.816.6
40.7%
36.6%49.8
🏀 Free throws16.511.1
67.3%
77.7%11.1
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWLLW
Utah Jazz
WWWWLLWWLW
#6
League position
#1
+5.5
Net rating
+4.8
115.2
Offensive rating
109.8
109.6
Defensive rating
105.0
57.3%
Effective FG%
56.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.19
39.2%
3-point %
40.7%
63.5%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 109.8Defence109.6 · 105.0Shooting57.3% · 56.0%3-point %39.2% · 40.7%Ball care13.9% · 14.9%Off. rebounds24.4% · 24.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21HGolden State Warriors114-104
13/01/21ABrooklyn Nets116-122
10/01/21ANew York Knicks114-89
09/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers115-103
08/01/21HDallas Mavericks117-124 OT
06/01/21HMinnesota Timberwolves123-116
04/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves124-109
02/01/21HPhoenix Suns103-106
30/12/20ASacramento Kings115-125
29/12/20HHouston Rockets124-111
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/21HAtlanta Hawks116-92
13/01/21ACleveland Cavaliers117-87
10/01/21ADetroit Pistons96-86
09/01/21AMilwaukee Bucks131-118
07/01/21ANew York Knicks100-112
06/01/21ABrooklyn Nets96-130
04/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs130-109
02/01/21HLos Angeles Clippers106-100
01/01/21HPhoenix Suns95-106
29/12/20AOklahoma City Thunder110-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game117.0118.4114.8
Allowed / game110.1110.8109.2
Point differential+6.9+7.7+5.7
Avg total227.1229.2224.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %13%22%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %73%67%78%
Points / game112.2109.7113.9
Allowed / game104.5101.8106.2
Point differential+7.7+7.8+7.7
Avg total216.7211.5220.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1815383%114.4103.8+10.6
2 Utah Jazz1511473%112.2104.5+7.7
3 Philadelphia 76ers1611569%113.2109.4+3.8
4 Brooklyn Nets1610662%118.5111.6+6.9
5 Boston Celtics148657%108.4109.6-1.3
6 Milwaukee Bucks169756%118.1111.9+6.2
7 Memphis Grizzlies169756%109.5107.7+1.8
8 Los Angeles Clippers169756%110.7110.5+0.2
9 Denver Nuggets158753%117.0110.1+6.9
10 Dallas Mavericks158753%111.4107.7+3.7
11 Indiana Pacers158753%112.6108.9+3.7
12 Golden State Warriors158753%111.3113.9-2.6
13 Portland Trail Blazers179853%113.4116.2-2.8
14 New York Knicks189950%101.0100.9+0.1
15 Chicago Bulls178947%115.1116.6-1.5
16 Cleveland Cavaliers178947%99.5104.7-5.2
17 Orlando Magic178947%108.1113.4-5.3
18 Houston Rockets157847%110.5109.3+1.3
19 Phoenix Suns157847%108.8108.7+0.1
20 Oklahoma City Thunder157847%106.6112.1-5.5
21 New Orleans Pelicans136746%108.2106.7+1.5
22 Atlanta Hawks167944%111.8111.9-0.1
23 San Antonio Spurs167944%108.9112.1-3.2
24 Sacramento Kings1771041%112.9121.2-8.4
25 Toronto Raptors156940%111.1111.5-0.4
26 Charlotte Hornets1871139%108.7109.6-0.9
27 Miami Heat135838%109.2113.7-4.5
28 Detroit Pistons1651131%105.3108.1-2.8
29 Washington Wizards1441029%116.0117.6-1.6
30 Minnesota Timberwolves1441029%109.5118.8-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31272126105
Utah Jazz32212828109
← all games of the day
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