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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 118-97
30-24 24-26 32-24 32-23
Position#13
Record31-31
FormWWLWL
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game113.1
vs
Position#6
Record40-21
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.8
Allowed / game109.7
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
25 Dec 2026
GSW v DEN
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
GSW128
DEN117
23 Oct 2025
GSW137
DEN131
04 Apr 2025
GSW118
DEN104
17 Mar 2025
GSW105
DEN114
25 Feb 2024
GSW103
DEN119
04 Jan 2024
GSW127
DEN130
21 Oct 2022
GSW123
DEN128
27 Apr 2022
GSW102
DEN98
18 Apr 2022
GSW126
DEN106
16 Apr 2022
GSW123
DEN107
16 Feb 2022
GSW116
DEN117
28 Dec 2021
GSW86
DEN89
23 Apr 2021
GSW118
DEN97
12 Apr 2021
GSW116
DEN107
12 Dec 2020
GSW107
DEN105
31 Mar 2020
GSW v DEN
upcoming
16 Jan 2020
GSW131
DEN134
02 Apr 2019
GSW116
DEN102
08 Mar 2019
GSW122
DEN105
08 Jan 2018
GSW124
DEN114
23 Dec 2017
GSW81
DEN96
02 Jan 2017
GSW127
DEN119
02 Jan 2016
GSW111
DEN108
06 Nov 2015
GSW119
DEN104
15 Apr 2015
GSW133
DEN126
19 Jan 2015
GSW122
DEN79
10 Apr 2014
GSW99
DEN100
15 Jan 2014
GSW116
DEN123
02 May 2013
GSW92
DEN88
28 Apr 2013
GSW115
DEN101
26 Apr 2013
GSW110
DEN108
29 Nov 2012
GSW106
DEN105
10 Nov 2012
GSW101
DEN107
07 Apr 2012
GSW112
DEN97
09 Feb 2011
GSW116
DEN114
22 Nov 2010
GSW89
DEN106
25 Feb 2010
GSW112
DEN127
20 Jan 2010
GSW118
DEN123
05 Nov 2008
GSW111
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
111-117
111
117
-6
101avg 106
A04/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
122-121
122
121
+1
113avg 106
H07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
107-110
107
110
-3
98avg 106
H10/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
125-109
125
109
+16
124avg 106
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
116-107
116
107
+9
108avg 106
H13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
147-109
147
109
+38
148avg 106
A15/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
119-101
119
101
+18
119avg 106
A16/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
114-119
114
119
-5
108avg 106
A18/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
107-96
107
96
+11
98avg 106
A19/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
114-118
114
118
-4
96avg 106
A21/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
35-33
23-22
29-38
28-26
25-24
30-38
39-33
23-32
27-25
29-28
28-25
32-30
33-18
29-32
31-29
33-32
23-29
43-22
17-24
36-32
39-22
50-29
22-26
28-31
35-21
26-27
30-22
33-24
33-36
23-29
25-30
24-24
31-31
20-15
32-26
20-38
38-22
35-26
21-32
228.9Avg total
118.2Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)112.8113.1226.0-0.350%
Season at home (28)115.2111.2226.5+4.064%
Season away (34)110.9114.7225.6-3.838%
Last 10 (10)118.2110.7228.9+7.560%
Last 5 (5)120.2108.6228.8+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)112.4114.8227.2-2.460%
vs Similar ◀ (19)107.3114.0221.3-6.732%
vs Weaker (6)123.0113.0236.0+10.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
W
119-109
119
109
+10
118avg 108
H05/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
134-119
134
119
+15
137avg 108
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
106-96
106
96
+10
101avg 108
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
121-119
121
119
+2
128avg 108
H10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
87-105
87
105
-18
76avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
107-116
107
116
-9
100avg 108
A13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
123-106
123
106
+17
123avg 108
H15/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
128-99
128
99
+29
121avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
139-137 OT
139
137
+2
136avg 108
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
106-105
106
105
+1
99avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
24-36
38-21
34-23
39-32
37-24
33-30
25-33
30-32
24-18
27-24
25-22
36-26
25-24
35-33
25-36
27-16
24-29
28-29
8-31
32-33
29-23
22-43
24-17
26-31
34-18
36-30
27-27
35-28
34-21
31-30
28-20
27-35
29-25
31-35
29-21
35-36
25-21
22-27
24-21
228.1Avg total
117.0Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)115.8109.7225.4+6.166%
Season at home (32)117.3109.9227.2+7.469%
Season away (29)114.0109.4223.5+4.662%
Last 10 (10)117.0111.1228.1+5.980%
Last 5 (5)120.6112.6233.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)110.8108.2219.0+2.767%
vs Weaker (18)118.9109.2228.2+9.783%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
Golden State WarriorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A04/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H10/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H11/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H13/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
75-54
75
54
+21
A15/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A16/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A18/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A19/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A21/04
NBA
115.4Avg total
60.0Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.457.4113.8-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (10)56.957.5114.4-0.650%-
Last 30 away (20)56.157.4113.5-1.245%-
Last 10 (10)60.055.4115.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)63.456.2119.6+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.655.4108.0-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)55.058.5113.5-3.542%-
vs Weaker (6)63.855.7119.5+8.267%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H05/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H15/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
69-49
69
49
+20
A17/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A22/04
NBA
113.2Avg total
59.5Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.053.9113.0+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.554.0111.5+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)60.853.9114.6+6.971%-
Last 10 (10)59.553.7113.2+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)61.254.2115.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)58.754.6113.2+4.158%-
vs Weaker (18)59.353.5112.8+5.867%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 118.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.727.7
56.9%
52.8%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.515.5
38.3%
36.6%46.5
🏀 Free throws20.316.3
80.3%
77.7%16.3
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.832.2
55.7%
52.8%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.5
36.2%
36.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.718.1
83.4%
77.7%18.1
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LWLWWWWLWL
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLLWWWW
#13
League position
#6
+7.2
Net rating
+5.9
113.3
Offensive rating
116.6
106.1
Defensive rating
110.7
57.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.3%
3-point %
36.2%
61.3%
Assist %
62.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 116.6Defence106.1 · 110.7Shooting57.1% · 55.2%3-point %38.3% · 36.2%Ball care14.4% · 14.3%Off. rebounds19.6% · 30.7%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/21AWashington Wizards114-118
19/04/21APhiladelphia 76ers107-96
18/04/21ABoston Celtics114-119
16/04/21ACleveland Cavaliers119-101
15/04/21AOklahoma City Thunder147-109
13/04/21HDenver Nuggets116-107
11/04/21HHouston Rockets125-109
10/04/21HWashington Wizards107-110
07/04/21HMilwaukee Bucks122-121
04/04/21AAtlanta Hawks111-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/21APortland Trail Blazers106-105
20/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies139-137 OT
17/04/21AHouston Rockets128-99
15/04/21HMiami Heat123-106
13/04/21AGolden State Warriors107-116
11/04/21HBoston Celtics87-105
10/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs121-119
08/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs106-96
07/04/21HDetroit Pistons134-119
05/04/21HOrlando Magic119-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games622834
Win %50%64%38%
Points / game112.8115.2110.9
Allowed / game113.1111.2114.7
Point differential-0.3+4.0-3.8
Avg total226.0226.5225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%39%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)60% (5)27% (11)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW66%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613229
Win %66%69%62%
Points / game115.8117.3114.0
Allowed / game109.7109.9109.4
Point differential+6.1+7.4+4.6
Avg total225.4227.2223.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)50% (10)62% (8)
Overtime %10%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz62471576%116.9107.1+9.8
2 Brooklyn Nets62422068%118.5113.8+4.7
3 Philadelphia 76ers61412067%113.4108.6+4.8
4 Phoenix Suns63422167%113.6108.5+5.1
5 Los Angeles Clippers65432266%114.1108.4+5.7
6 Denver Nuggets61402166%115.8109.7+6.1
7 Los Angeles Lakers63392462%110.0106.0+4.0
8 Milwaukee Bucks61362559%118.9113.7+5.1
9 New York Knicks64362856%106.2103.8+2.5
10 Dallas Mavericks61342756%112.1110.4+1.8
11 Atlanta Hawks64352955%113.7111.8+1.9
12 Portland Trail Blazers62332953%113.6114.8-1.2
13 Memphis Grizzlies61322952%114.0112.0+2.0
14 Boston Celtics62323052%111.5110.0+1.5
15 Miami Heat62323052%106.4107.3-0.9
16 Golden State Warriors62313150%112.8113.1-0.3
17 Charlotte Hornets63303348%109.8111.4-1.6
18 San Antonio Spurs61293248%109.8111.1-1.3
19 New Orleans Pelicans61283346%115.3114.7+0.5
20 Chicago Bulls63283544%111.6112.4-0.8
21 Indiana Pacers61273444%113.3114.3-1.0
22 Toronto Raptors62273544%111.9111.0+0.9
23 Washington Wizards62273544%113.6117.2-3.5
24 Sacramento Kings63263741%114.4118.7-4.3
25 Cleveland Cavaliers63234037%103.8110.6-6.9
26 Oklahoma City Thunder63214233%105.7114.6-8.8
27 Orlando Magic63204332%104.8112.7-7.9
28 Detroit Pistons64204431%106.6110.2-3.6
29 Houston Rockets64184628%107.9114.0-6.1
30 Minnesota Timberwolves63174627%110.9118.3-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors30243232118
Denver Nuggets2426242397
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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