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Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 124-111
35-24 36-29 28-25 25-33
Position#23
Record18-20
FormWWLWW
Points / game115.1
Allowed / game118.7
vs
Position#3
Record26-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game116.1
Allowed / game110.7
USANBA· Delta Center (Salt Lake City)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
12 Dec 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
UTA117
DEN130
02 Mar 2026
UTA125
DEN128
30 Dec 2024
UTA121
DEN132
27 Nov 2024
UTA103
DEN122
09 Apr 2024
UTA95
DEN111
10 Jan 2024
UTA124
DEN111
08 Apr 2023
UTA118
DEN114
19 Oct 2022
UTA123
DEN102
02 Feb 2022
UTA108
DEN104
26 Oct 2021
UTA122
DEN110
07 May 2021
UTA127
DEN120
30 Aug 2020
UTA107
DEN119
23 Aug 2020
UTA129
DEN127
21 Aug 2020
UTA124
DEN87
14 Apr 2020
UTA v DEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
UTA95
DEN98
09 Apr 2019
UTA118
DEN108
23 Jan 2019
UTA114
DEN108
28 Nov 2017
UTA106
DEN77
18 Oct 2017
UTA106
DEN96
03 Dec 2016
UTA105
DEN98
23 Nov 2016
UTA108
DEN83
03 Feb 2016
UTA85
DEN81
18 Dec 2015
UTA97
DEN88
01 Apr 2015
UTA98
DEN84
01 Dec 2014
UTA101
DEN103
13 Jan 2014
UTA118
DEN103
11 Nov 2013
UTA81
DEN100
03 Apr 2013
UTA96
DEN113
26 Nov 2012
UTA105
DEN103
23 Mar 2012
UTA121
DEN102
13 Apr 2011
UTA107
DEN103
03 Mar 2011
UTA101
DEN103
30 Apr 2010
UTA112
DEN104
25 Apr 2010
UTA117
DEN106
23 Apr 2010
UTA105
DEN93
06 Feb 2010
UTA116
DEN106
02 Jan 2010
UTA95
DEN105
06 Mar 2009
UTA97
DEN91
29 Oct 2008
UTA98
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-111
119
111
+8
110avg 110
A22/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
126-119
126
119
+7
126avg 110
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
130-118
130
118
+12
132avg 110
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
105-112
105
112
-7
98avg 110
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
117-109
117
109
+8
108avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
127-90
127
90
+37
131avg 110
H02/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
154-148 OT
154
148
+6
143avg 110
H04/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
97-126
97
126
-29
85avg 110
A06/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
120-109
120
109
+11
126avg 110
A07/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
132-116
132
116
+16
133avg 110
A09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-32
30-26
26-30
29-23
31-34
24-37
30-27
41-21
27-32
37-28
36-33
30-25
37-39
14-20
25-22
29-31
27-28
27-25
34-35
29-21
37-26
25-29
31-24
34-11
26-33
40-35
38-41
34-29
15-30
25-41
35-36
22-19
32-28
26-29
29-22
33-30
41-23
36-23
23-44
32-26
238.5Avg total
122.7Scored
115.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)115.1118.7233.7-3.647%
Season at home (16)121.2115.8237.0+5.569%
Season away (22)110.5120.8231.3-10.232%
Last 10 (10)122.7115.8238.5+6.980%
Last 5 (5)126.0117.8243.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)112.9119.5232.5-6.637%
vs Similar (5)119.8114.2234.0+5.680%
vs Weaker (6)122.2117.7239.8+4.583%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
113-104
113
104
+9
106avg 110
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
122-117
122
117
+5
118avg 110
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
120-114
120
114
+6
115avg 110
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
142-105
142
105
+37
153avg 110
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
93-119
93
119
-26
85avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-93
111
93
+18
109avg 110
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
130-127
130
127
+3
126avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
120-122
120
122
-2
110avg 110
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
131-114
131
114
+17
136avg 110
H08/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
32-24
29-31
23-29
28-28
30-32
30-26
34-31
25-27
29-33
30-9
18-26
29-26
24-28
39-35
28-25
33-27
32-21
41-35
36-22
27-33
21-21
20-34
25-31
24-18
25-31
40-17
22-27
34-33
36-30
24-44
36-20
37-28
30-26
31-41
22-27
31-29
34-28
43-28
23-29
229.4Avg total
118.4Scored
111.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)116.1110.7226.7+5.468%
Season at home (19)120.5110.6231.1+9.979%
Season away (19)111.6110.7222.4+0.958%
Last 10 (10)118.4111.0229.4+7.480%
Last 5 (5)117.0115.0232.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)113.1114.5227.6-1.542%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)120.6107.3227.9+13.4100%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +7.7+7.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +7.7+7.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A22/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H30/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
H02/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H04/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
40-71
40
71
-31
A06/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A07/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
77-46
77
46
+31
A09/01
NBA
118.9Avg total
59.1Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.259.9116.1-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (12)57.357.5114.8-0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)55.561.4116.9-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)59.159.8118.9-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)60.659.4120.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)54.159.8113.9-5.732%-
vs Similar (5)58.262.6120.8-4.440%-
vs Weaker (6)61.357.8119.2+3.567%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H29/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/01
NBA
113.3Avg total
59.0Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.555.8114.2+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.452.7112.1+6.771%-
Last 30 away (16)57.658.4116.1-0.856%-
Last 10 (10)59.054.3113.3+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)59.855.4115.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)57.957.3115.2+0.658%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)59.553.1112.5+6.473%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 122.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.631.7
58.1%
54.4%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.9
34.4%
36.3%38.7
🏀 Free throws24.620.6
83.7%
78.2%20.6
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.632.6
58.6%
54.4%65.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.2
37.5%
36.3%36.6
🏀 Free throws20.416.6
81.4%
78.2%16.6
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
WWLWWWLWWW
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWWWW
#23
League position
#3
+6.6
Net rating
+7.5
117.3
Offensive rating
119.7
110.7
Defensive rating
112.2
55.4%
Effective FG%
57.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.3%
Turnover %
11.2%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.4%
3-point %
37.5%
67.7%
Assist %
66.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 119.7Defence110.7 · 112.2Shooting55.4% · 57.8%3-point %34.4% · 37.5%Ball care13.3% · 11.2%Off. rebounds27.7% · 23.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Utah Jazz wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24AMilwaukee Bucks132-116
07/01/24APhiladelphia 76ers120-109
06/01/24ABoston Celtics97-126
04/01/24HDetroit Pistons154-148 OT
02/01/24HDallas Mavericks127-90
30/12/23HMiami Heat117-109
29/12/23ANew Orleans Pelicans105-112
27/12/23ASan Antonio Spurs130-118
24/12/23AToronto Raptors126-119
22/12/23ADetroit Pistons119-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24HDetroit Pistons131-114
06/01/24HOrlando Magic120-122
05/01/24AGolden State Warriors130-127
02/01/24HCharlotte Hornets111-93
30/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder93-119
29/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies142-105
25/12/23HGolden State Warriors120-114
24/12/23ACharlotte Hornets102-95
23/12/23ABrooklyn Nets122-117
21/12/23AToronto Raptors113-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW47%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWLLWW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381622
Win %47%69%32%
Points / game115.1121.2110.5
Allowed / game118.7115.8120.8
Point differential-3.6+5.5-10.2
Avg total233.7237.0231.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)62% (8)-
Overtime %8%19%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW68%
HomeWLWLW79%
AwayWWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %68%79%58%
Points / game116.1120.5111.6
Allowed / game110.7110.6110.7
Point differential+5.4+9.9+0.9
Avg total226.7231.1222.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%58%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3629781%121.6110.7+10.9
2 Minnesota Timberwolves37261170%113.1107.8+5.4
3 Oklahoma City Thunder36251169%122.3114.8+7.6
4 Milwaukee Bucks35241169%123.6119.6+4.0
5 Denver Nuggets38261268%116.1110.7+5.4
6 Philadelphia 76ers36231364%119.9112.1+7.8
7 Los Angeles Clippers36231364%117.2111.5+5.6
8 Sacramento Kings36231364%118.3116.9+1.3
9 New Orleans Pelicans36221461%116.9110.7+6.2
10 New York Knicks36221461%115.5110.7+4.8
11 Cleveland Cavaliers36211558%113.2111.5+1.7
12 Dallas Mavericks38221658%118.6116.9+1.7
13 Indiana Pacers35201557%126.7124.3+2.4
14 Orlando Magic37211657%113.3112.0+1.3
15 Miami Heat37211657%112.9112.1+0.8
16 Phoenix Suns36191753%115.6114.7+0.9
17 Houston Rockets36181850%112.7110.6+2.1
18 Utah Jazz38182047%115.1118.7-3.6
19 Los Angeles Lakers36171947%113.7116.1-2.4
20 Chicago Bulls39182146%109.7111.7-2.0
21 Golden State Warriors37172046%116.8117.6-0.8
22 Brooklyn Nets37162143%114.9116.6-1.6
23 Atlanta Hawks36152142%122.7124.0-1.3
24 Toronto Raptors37152241%115.4116.1-0.7
25 Memphis Grizzlies37142338%108.1113.2-5.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers36102628%108.3116.2-7.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3582723%109.2120.1-10.9
28 San Antonio Spurs3663017%111.9122.3-10.4
29 Washington Wizards3763116%115.2125.9-10.8
30 Detroit Pistons383358%111.3123.0-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz35362825124
Denver Nuggets24292533111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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