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Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 118-114
32-19 26-36 31-40 29-19
Position#22
Record36-44
FormWLLLL
Points / game117.1
Allowed / game117.9
vs
Position#2
Record52-28
FormLLWLL
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game112.6
USANBA· Vivint Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
12 Dec 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
UTA117
DEN130
02 Mar 2026
UTA125
DEN128
30 Dec 2024
UTA121
DEN132
27 Nov 2024
UTA103
DEN122
09 Apr 2024
UTA95
DEN111
10 Jan 2024
UTA124
DEN111
08 Apr 2023
UTA118
DEN114
19 Oct 2022
UTA123
DEN102
02 Feb 2022
UTA108
DEN104
26 Oct 2021
UTA122
DEN110
07 May 2021
UTA127
DEN120
30 Aug 2020
UTA107
DEN119
23 Aug 2020
UTA129
DEN127
21 Aug 2020
UTA124
DEN87
14 Apr 2020
UTA v DEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
UTA95
DEN98
09 Apr 2019
UTA118
DEN108
23 Jan 2019
UTA114
DEN108
28 Nov 2017
UTA106
DEN77
18 Oct 2017
UTA106
DEN96
03 Dec 2016
UTA105
DEN98
23 Nov 2016
UTA108
DEN83
03 Feb 2016
UTA85
DEN81
18 Dec 2015
UTA97
DEN88
01 Apr 2015
UTA98
DEN84
01 Dec 2014
UTA101
DEN103
13 Jan 2014
UTA118
DEN103
11 Nov 2013
UTA81
DEN100
03 Apr 2013
UTA96
DEN113
26 Nov 2012
UTA105
DEN103
23 Mar 2012
UTA121
DEN102
13 Apr 2011
UTA107
DEN103
03 Mar 2011
UTA101
DEN103
30 Apr 2010
UTA112
DEN104
25 Apr 2010
UTA117
DEN106
23 Apr 2010
UTA105
DEN93
06 Feb 2010
UTA116
DEN106
02 Jan 2010
UTA95
DEN105
06 Mar 2009
UTA97
DEN91
29 Oct 2008
UTA98
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
128-120
128
120
+8
131avg 108
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
115-127
115
127
-12
110avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
116-144
116
144
-28
101avg 108
H25/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
113-121
113
121
-8
109avg 108
A26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
103-117
103
117
-14
95avg 108
H28/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
128-117
128
117
+11
126avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
114-122
114
122
-8
107avg 108
A31/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
110-111
110
111
-1
102avg 108
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
133-135 OT
133
135
-2
127avg 108
H05/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
98-114
98
114
-16
94avg 108
H07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-19
28-33
27-43
33-25
34-29
22-39
32-23
27-36
25-40
33-32
27-43
31-29
26-32
35-23
17-35
35-31
26-37
26-20
29-27
22-33
36-33
28-29
29-26
35-29
29-27
22-30
27-36
36-29
17-30
25-23
26-32
42-26
33-34
24-34
36-29
31-27
25-32
27-23
24-29
22-30
238.6Avg total
115.8Scored
122.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)117.1117.9235.0-0.945%
Season at home (40)118.0117.0234.9+1.055%
Season away (40)116.2118.9235.1-2.835%
Last 10 (10)115.8122.8238.6-7.020%
Last 5 (5)116.6119.8236.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)114.8125.0239.8-10.225%
vs Similar (22)116.8122.2239.0-5.532%
vs Weaker (4)114.8108.0222.8+6.875%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
L
110-116
110
116
-6
105avg 112
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
108-102
108
102
+6
110avg 112
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
118-104
118
104
+14
116avg 112
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
129-106
129
106
+23
126avg 112
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
116-111
116
111
+5
117avg 112
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
88-107
88
107
-19
75avg 112
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
93-100
93
100
-7
77avg 112
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
112-110
112
110
+2
99avg 112
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
103-124
103
124
-21
97avg 112
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
115-119
115
119
-4
109avg 112
A07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-36
39-26
24-29
19-25
33-21
30-27
28-23
17-31
31-29
24-28
39-16
24-31
37-38
26-28
34-19
32-21
25-18
36-39
30-20
25-34
17-21
23-29
30-32
18-25
20-32
20-28
34-24
19-16
26-36
32-25
31-26
23-23
30-31
29-25
26-30
18-38
25-27
30-29
31-33
29-30
219.1Avg total
109.2Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)115.9112.6228.5+3.365%
Season at home (40)119.7110.0229.6+9.782%
Season away (40)112.2115.2227.4-3.148%
Last 10 (10)109.2109.9219.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)102.2112.0214.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)111.0111.5222.5-0.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)118.7113.4232.1+5.367%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -5.0-5.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -5.0-5.0
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H21/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H23/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H25/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A26/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H28/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A30/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A31/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H05/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H07/04
NBA
116.0Avg total
56.1Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.560.0116.5-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.360.9118.1-3.627%-
Last 30 away (15)55.859.1114.9-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)56.159.9116.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)53.259.0112.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)53.264.0117.2-10.80%-
vs Similar (22)57.259.9117.1-2.736%-
vs Weaker (4)56.256.5112.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H26/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H28/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A01/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A05/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/04
NBA
113.4Avg total
56.1Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.958.9117.7+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.056.9117.9+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)57.060.6117.6-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)56.157.3113.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)50.456.6107.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)55.060.4115.4-5.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)62.757.3120.1+5.460%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 115.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.032.8
57.5%
54.5%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.5
31.7%
35.8%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.718.7
75.7%
78.1%18.7
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.431.3
55.5%
54.5%62.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.3
34.1%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
78.1%15.7
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LLLLWLLLLW
Denver Nuggets
LLWLLWWWWL
#22
League position
#2
-6.6
Net rating
-0.7
109.8
Offensive rating
112.0
116.5
Defensive rating
112.7
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.0%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.7%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.7%
3-point %
34.1%
61.9%
Assist %
63.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 112.0Defence116.5 · 112.7Shooting53.9% · 54.0%3-point %31.7% · 34.1%Ball care13.7% · 12.7%Off. rebounds23.0% · 24.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Utah Jazz wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/23HOklahoma City Thunder98-114
05/04/23HLos Angeles Lakers133-135 OT
02/04/23ABrooklyn Nets110-111
31/03/23ABoston Celtics114-122
30/03/23ASan Antonio Spurs128-117
28/03/23HPhoenix Suns103-117
26/03/23ASacramento Kings113-121
25/03/23HMilwaukee Bucks116-144
23/03/23HPortland Trail Blazers115-127
21/03/23HSacramento Kings128-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/23APhoenix Suns115-119
05/04/23AHouston Rockets103-124
03/04/23HGolden State Warriors112-110
01/04/23APhoenix Suns93-100
31/03/23HNew Orleans Pelicans88-107
28/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers116-111
26/03/23HMilwaukee Bucks129-106
22/03/23AWashington Wizards118-104
19/03/23ABrooklyn Nets108-102
18/03/23ANew York Knicks110-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeLLLLL55%
AwayLLWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %45%55%35%
Points / game117.1118.0116.2
Allowed / game117.9117.0118.9
Point differential-0.9+1.0-2.8
Avg total235.0234.9235.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (27)64% (14)23% (13)
Overtime %6%8%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL65%
HomeLWWLW82%
AwayWWLLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804040
Win %65%82%48%
Points / game115.9119.7112.2
Allowed / game112.6110.0115.2
Point differential+3.3+9.7-3.1
Avg total228.5229.6227.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (24)67% (15)78% (9)
Overtime %4%5%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks81582372%117.1113.2+3.9
2 Boston Celtics81562569%117.9111.4+6.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers81532865%115.0111.0+4.0
4 Denver Nuggets80522865%115.9112.6+3.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers81513063%112.5106.9+5.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies81513063%117.1113.0+4.2
7 Sacramento Kings81483359%121.0118.2+2.9
8 New York Knicks81473458%115.8112.8+3.0
9 Phoenix Suns81453656%113.6111.5+2.2
10 Brooklyn Nets81453656%113.5112.2+1.2
11 Golden State Warriors81433853%118.5117.3+1.1
12 Miami Heat81433853%109.3109.8-0.5
13 Los Angeles Clippers80423852%113.2112.9+0.3
14 New Orleans Pelicans81423952%114.4112.5+2.0
15 Los Angeles Lakers81423952%117.0116.6+0.4
16 Atlanta Hawks81414051%118.5118.1+0.4
17 Minnesota Timberwolves80404050%115.4115.7-0.3
18 Toronto Raptors81404149%112.8111.5+1.3
19 Chicago Bulls81394248%113.2112.2+1.0
20 Oklahoma City Thunder81394248%117.5116.6+0.9
21 Dallas Mavericks81384347%114.2113.9+0.3
22 Utah Jazz80364445%117.1117.9-0.9
23 Washington Wizards81354643%113.2114.4-1.2
24 Orlando Magic81344742%111.4113.9-2.4
25 Indiana Pacers81344742%116.0119.3-3.3
26 Portland Trail Blazers80334741%113.4116.7-3.3
27 Charlotte Hornets81265532%111.0117.5-6.5
28 San Antonio Spurs80215926%112.5122.8-10.3
29 Houston Rockets81216026%110.7118.7-8.0
30 Detroit Pistons81176421%110.7118.7-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Utah Jazz32263129118
Denver Nuggets19364019114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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