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Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 15 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Postponed
Position#8
Record41-23
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.0
Allowed / game107.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record43-22
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game107.4
USANBA· Vivint Smart Home Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
12 Dec 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
27 Nov 2026
UTA v DEN
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
UTA117
DEN130
02 Mar 2026
UTA125
DEN128
30 Dec 2024
UTA121
DEN132
27 Nov 2024
UTA103
DEN122
09 Apr 2024
UTA95
DEN111
10 Jan 2024
UTA124
DEN111
08 Apr 2023
UTA118
DEN114
19 Oct 2022
UTA123
DEN102
02 Feb 2022
UTA108
DEN104
26 Oct 2021
UTA122
DEN110
07 May 2021
UTA127
DEN120
30 Aug 2020
UTA107
DEN119
23 Aug 2020
UTA129
DEN127
21 Aug 2020
UTA124
DEN87
14 Apr 2020
UTA v DEN
upcoming
05 Feb 2020
UTA95
DEN98
09 Apr 2019
UTA118
DEN108
23 Jan 2019
UTA114
DEN108
28 Nov 2017
UTA106
DEN77
18 Oct 2017
UTA106
DEN96
03 Dec 2016
UTA105
DEN98
23 Nov 2016
UTA108
DEN83
03 Feb 2016
UTA85
DEN81
18 Dec 2015
UTA97
DEN88
01 Apr 2015
UTA98
DEN84
01 Dec 2014
UTA101
DEN103
13 Jan 2014
UTA118
DEN103
11 Nov 2013
UTA81
DEN100
03 Apr 2013
UTA96
DEN113
26 Nov 2012
UTA105
DEN103
23 Mar 2012
UTA121
DEN102
13 Apr 2011
UTA107
DEN103
03 Mar 2011
UTA101
DEN103
30 Apr 2010
UTA112
DEN104
25 Apr 2010
UTA117
DEN106
23 Apr 2010
UTA105
DEN93
06 Feb 2010
UTA116
DEN106
02 Jan 2010
UTA95
DEN105
06 Mar 2009
UTA97
DEN91
29 Oct 2008
UTA98
DEN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah Jazz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
104-113
104
113
-9
100avg 103
H22/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
110-120
110
120
-10
97avg 103
H23/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
L
111-131
111
131
-20
100avg 103
H25/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
103-114
103
114
-11
87avg 103
H27/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
W
129-119
129
119
+10
124avg 103
H29/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
126-113
126
113
+13
130avg 103
A03/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
112-104
112
104
+8
106avg 103
A05/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
93avg 103
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
111-105
111
105
+6
102avg 103
A08/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
92-101
92
101
-9
79avg 103
H10/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
25-38
29-28
29-20
36-38
30-24
19-38
25-20
35-27
27-35
26-37
23-32
15-23
36-30
31-32
21-29
31-28
27-32
32-21
39-38
31-25
28-26
35-31
32-31
35-26
29-28
29-24
19-26
30-29
32-20
17-17
20-28
28-17
27-22
24-34
32-32
22-27
29-30
19-19
22-25
221.1Avg total
109.7Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)111.0107.9218.9+3.264%
Season at home (31)110.9106.5217.4+4.468%
Season away (33)111.2109.2220.3+2.061%
Last 10 (10)109.7111.4221.1-1.750%
Last 5 (5)108.0103.4211.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)111.4113.1224.5-1.641%
vs Weaker (13)118.8107.0225.8+11.892%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 104
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
128-116
128
116
+12
123avg 104
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
115-98
115
98
+17
121avg 104
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
103-132
103
132
-29
87avg 104
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
133-118
133
118
+15
137avg 104
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
L
100-116
100
116
-16
94avg 104
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
114-112
114
112
+2
112avg 104
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-104
102
104
-2
94avg 104
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
109-95
109
95
+14
103avg 104
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
97-113
97
113
-16
89avg 104
A12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
31-21
29-30
24-35
43-38
30-27
24-22
31-29
29-23
30-23
23-26
33-26
27-37
29-29
23-32
24-34
40-32
33-37
27-27
33-22
25-26
33-23
23-33
19-34
31-34
29-17
20-31
34-30
33-23
28-35
22-27
19-19
39-24
23-30
14-17
33-24
29-33
21-24
35-27
12-29
221.9Avg total
110.2Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)110.4107.4217.8+3.066%
Season at home (33)111.3105.3216.6+6.076%
Season away (32)109.5109.7219.1-0.256%
Last 10 (10)110.2111.7221.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4108.0212.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)117.0114.0231.0+3.067%
vs Similar ◀ (13)109.1108.5217.5+0.662%
vs Weaker (11)113.5110.6224.2+2.964%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
Utah JazzDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#17
L
46-65
46
65
-19
H22/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H23/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
D
62-62
62
62
+0
H25/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H27/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H29/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A03/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A05/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A08/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H10/03
NBA
112.6Avg total
57.4Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.554.4111.9+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.655.5112.1+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)58.453.2111.6+5.267%-
Last 10 (10)57.455.2112.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)58.250.0108.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)55.955.9111.9+0.041%-
vs Weaker (13)59.552.3111.8+7.269%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A22/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#28
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H23/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#26
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A29/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H01/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H10/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A12/03
NBA
116.3Avg total
60.0Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.456.0112.4+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.053.2111.2+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)55.058.5113.5-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)60.056.3116.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)58.253.8112.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.061.5123.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.454.6107.0-2.231%-
vs Weaker (11)58.154.7112.8+3.473%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.7
56.2%
52.3%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.513.3
36.4%
35.7%39.9
🏀 Free throws23.118.4
79.7%
77.2%18.4
They take 82.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.432.1
57.9%
52.3%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.7
36.3%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.213.9
76.4%
77.2%13.9
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Utah Jazz
LWWWWWLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLWWL
#8
League position
#9
-1.7
Net rating
-1.5
112.0
Offensive rating
111.4
113.8
Defensive rating
113.0
55.5%
Effective FG%
56.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.4%
3-point %
36.3%
55.9%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 111.4Defence113.8 · 113.0Shooting55.5% · 56.7%3-point %36.4% · 36.3%Ball care14.0% · 15.3%Off. rebounds20.3% · 23.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Utah Jazz   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Utah Jazz wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/20HToronto Raptors92-101
08/03/20ADetroit Pistons111-105
07/03/20ABoston Celtics99-94
05/03/20ANew York Knicks112-104
03/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers126-113
29/02/20HWashington Wizards129-119
27/02/20HBoston Celtics103-114
25/02/20HPhoenix Suns111-131
23/02/20HHouston Rockets110-120
22/02/20HSan Antonio Spurs104-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/20ADallas Mavericks97-113
10/03/20HMilwaukee Bucks109-95
08/03/20ACleveland Cavaliers102-104
06/03/20ACharlotte Hornets114-112
04/03/20HGolden State Warriors100-116
01/03/20HToronto Raptors133-118
29/02/20ALos Angeles Clippers103-132
26/02/20HDetroit Pistons115-98
23/02/20HMinnesota Timberwolves128-116
22/02/20AOklahoma City Thunder101-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah Jazz
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeLLLWL68%
AwayWWWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643133
Win %64%68%61%
Points / game111.0110.9111.2
Allowed / game107.9106.5109.2
Point differential+3.2+4.4+2.0
Avg total218.9217.4220.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%32%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)88% (8)64% (11)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL66%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653332
Win %66%76%56%
Points / game110.4111.3109.5
Allowed / game107.4105.3109.7
Point differential+3.0+6.0-0.2
Avg total217.8216.6219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)57% (7)58% (12)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks65531282%118.6107.4+11.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers63491478%114.3106.9+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors64461872%113.0106.5+6.5
4 Los Angeles Clippers64442069%116.2109.7+6.5
5 Boston Celtics64432167%113.0106.8+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets65432266%110.4107.4+3.0
7 Utah Jazz64412364%111.0107.9+3.2
8 Miami Heat65412463%112.2108.9+3.2
9 Houston Rockets64402462%118.1114.4+3.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder64402462%110.8108.3+2.5
11 Philadelphia 76ers65392660%109.6107.4+2.2
12 Indiana Pacers65392660%109.3107.4+1.9
13 Dallas Mavericks67402760%116.4110.3+6.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies65323349%112.6113.7-1.1
15 Brooklyn Nets64303447%110.8111.4-0.6
16 Orlando Magic65303546%106.4107.3-1.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers66293744%113.6115.2-1.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans64283644%116.2117.0-0.8
19 Sacramento Kings64283644%109.0110.9-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs63273643%113.2114.9-1.8
21 Phoenix Suns65263940%112.6113.9-1.4
22 Washington Wizards64244038%115.6119.7-4.0
23 Charlotte Hornets65234235%102.9109.6-6.8
24 Chicago Bulls65224334%106.8109.9-3.1
25 New York Knicks66214532%105.8112.3-6.5
26 Detroit Pistons66204630%107.2110.8-3.6
27 Atlanta Hawks67204730%111.8119.7-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves64194530%113.2117.5-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers65194629%106.9114.8-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors65155023%106.3115.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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