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Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 128-117
43-29 36-25 24-37 25-26
Position#6
Record13-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game116.5
Allowed / game109.7
vs
Position#1
Record18-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.1
Allowed / game104.5
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
W
114-89
114
89
+25
110avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
105avg 107
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 107
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
105-109
105
109
-4
93avg 107
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
119-101
119
101
+18
113avg 107
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
123avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
120-112 OT
120
112
+8
113avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
117-113
117
113
+4
117avg 107
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
109-82
109
82
+27
106avg 107
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
109-119
109
119
-10
104avg 107
A30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
31-17
23-26
32-25
35-27
35-27
20-36
26-32
37-24
28-30
25-22
24-28
31-32
27-21
21-28
26-28
31-31
34-21
32-22
22-27
25-34
29-34
37-27
23-19
28-30
30-31
15-16
25-21
38-31
32-27
22-36
25-19
26-12
32-21
16-32
35-17
30-37
25-24
31-26
23-32
223.0Avg total
115.3Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)116.5109.7226.3+6.859%
Season at home (11)117.3109.7227.0+7.555%
Season away (11)115.8109.7225.5+6.164%
Last 10 (10)115.3107.7223.0+7.670%
Last 5 (5)117.0110.4227.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)109.0107.5216.5+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)115.6109.1224.7+6.657%
vs Weaker (8)118.1110.9229.0+7.262%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJazz
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
96-86
96
86
+10
93avg 105
A10/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
117-87
117
87
+30
116avg 105
A13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
116-92
116
92
+24
113avg 105
H16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
109-105
109
105
+4
101avg 105
A18/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
118-102
118
102
+16
120avg 105
H20/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
129-118
129
118
+11
123avg 105
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
127-108
127
108
+19
125avg 105
H24/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
108-94
108
94
+14
100avg 105
H27/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
116-104
116
104
+12
106avg 105
H28/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
120-101
120
101
+19
116avg 105
H30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
23-21
17-28
22-18
22-18
27-18
38-23
30-28
33-23
28-23
26-28
29-18
32-31
21-27
28-21
28-26
29-24
26-25
36-20
27-33
31-43
39-26
30-23
29-26
39-30
38-17
31-25
19-36
18-27
28-32
34-22
28-13
32-19
37-29
31-30
16-26
37-12
24-33
33-23
26-33
215.3Avg total
115.6Scored
99.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)114.1104.5218.6+9.682%
Season at home (12)114.7103.2217.8+11.583%
Season away (10)113.4106.1219.5+7.380%
Last 10 (10)115.699.7215.3+15.9100%
Last 5 (5)120.0105.0225.0+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)112.8108.9221.7+3.862%
vs Weaker (14)115.6102.7218.3+12.986%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#11
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/01
NBA
114.4Avg total
61.2Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.556.5115.1+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.656.1116.8+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)56.756.9113.6-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)61.253.2114.4+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)59.056.2115.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)52.959.9112.8-7.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)60.455.1115.5+5.464%-
vs Weaker (8)60.955.8116.6+5.162%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A10/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A13/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
61-46
61
46
+15
H16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A18/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H20/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H22/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
77-47
77
47
+30
H24/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H27/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H28/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H30/01
NBA
109.5Avg total
59.8Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.951.6108.5+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.452.7111.1+5.769%-
Last 30 away (14)55.250.4105.6+4.964%-
Last 10 (10)59.849.7109.5+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)64.653.6118.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.653.1107.8+1.556%-
vs Weaker (14)59.549.9109.4+9.679%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.729.6
53.1%
52.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.6
37.9%
36.6%40.8
🏀 Free throws19.415.3
78.9%
77.7%15.3
They take 91.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 115.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers53.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.9
52.4%
52.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.417.9
41.2%
36.6%53.7
🏀 Free throws20.916.1
77.0%
77.7%16.1
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWWLWLW
Utah Jazz
WWWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#1
+7.6
Net rating
+16.2
114.7
Offensive rating
117.6
107.1
Defensive rating
101.4
54.6%
Effective FG%
57.1%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.9%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.9%
3-point %
41.2%
61.8%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 117.6Defence107.1 · 101.4Shooting54.6% · 57.1%3-point %37.9% · 41.2%Ball care12.9% · 13.9%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs109-119
28/01/21AMiami Heat109-82
26/01/21ADallas Mavericks117-113
24/01/21APhoenix Suns120-112 OT
23/01/21APhoenix Suns130-126 OT
20/01/21HOklahoma City Thunder119-101
18/01/21HUtah Jazz105-109
15/01/21HGolden State Warriors114-104
13/01/21ABrooklyn Nets116-122
10/01/21ANew York Knicks114-89
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21HDallas Mavericks120-101
28/01/21HDallas Mavericks116-104
27/01/21HNew York Knicks108-94
24/01/21HGolden State Warriors127-108
22/01/21HNew Orleans Pelicans129-118
20/01/21HNew Orleans Pelicans118-102
18/01/21ADenver Nuggets109-105
16/01/21HAtlanta Hawks116-92
13/01/21ACleveland Cavaliers117-87
10/01/21ADetroit Pistons96-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL59%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%55%64%
Points / game116.5117.3115.8
Allowed / game109.7109.7109.7
Point differential+6.8+7.5+6.1
Avg total226.3227.0225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%45%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %18%18%18%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game114.1114.7113.4
Allowed / game104.5103.2106.1
Point differential+9.6+11.5+7.3
Avg total218.6217.8219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz2218482%114.1104.5+9.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers2519676%111.8103.9+8.0
3 Philadelphia 76ers2216673%113.3109.0+4.3
4 Los Angeles Clippers2416867%112.3107.7+4.7
5 Brooklyn Nets2315865%120.6114.9+5.7
6 Memphis Grizzlies1811761%110.5107.7+2.8
7 Denver Nuggets2213959%116.5109.7+6.8
8 Golden State Warriors23131057%112.2112.6-0.4
9 Houston Rockets22121055%111.5108.4+3.2
10 Atlanta Hawks23121152%113.1111.3+1.8
11 Milwaukee Bucks22111150%118.3114.0+4.3
12 Indiana Pacers22111150%112.2110.9+1.3
13 Boston Celtics20101050%109.8109.3+0.6
14 Portland Trail Blazers22111150%113.4116.5-3.2
15 New York Knicks25121348%101.8101.6+0.2
16 San Antonio Spurs23111248%110.7112.4-1.7
17 Cleveland Cavaliers23111248%103.4108.4-5.0
18 Phoenix Suns22101245%109.3108.7+0.6
19 Chicago Bulls22101245%114.5116.1-1.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans2091145%111.5111.8-0.2
21 Dallas Mavericks23101343%110.5111.2-0.7
22 Sacramento Kings23101343%112.7118.9-6.2
23 Oklahoma City Thunder2191243%107.5114.0-6.5
24 Charlotte Hornets24101442%109.2110.5-1.2
25 Orlando Magic24101442%106.4111.9-5.5
26 Toronto Raptors2291341%110.8110.4+0.4
27 Miami Heat2181338%106.0111.2-5.3
28 Detroit Pistons2471729%106.0109.1-3.2
29 Minnesota Timberwolves2151624%107.5117.4-9.9
30 Washington Wizards1841422%112.2117.4-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets43362425128
Utah Jazz29253726117
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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