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Virtus Bologna vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 20 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-86
23-19 7-22 20-32 19-13
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game78.5
ItalyLega ARound 3· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Cremona
20 Oct 2025
VIR69
CRE86
20 Jan 2025
VIR81
CRE63
14 Apr 2024
VIR93
CRE85
29 Jan 2022
VIR79
CRE71
10 Oct 2020
VIR92
CRE95
09 Sep 2020
VIR79
CRE56
05 Apr 2020
VIR v CRE
upcoming
16 Feb 2019
VIR91
CRE102
28 Oct 2018
VIR66
CRE84
03 Dec 2017
VIR79
CRE78
26 Mar 2016
VIR73
CRE66
20 Dec 2014
VIR70
CRE83
26 Jan 2014
VIR85
CRE90
20 Jan 2013
VIR92
CRE93
30 Oct 2011
VIR80
CRE78
26 Dec 2010
VIR116
CRE100
25 Apr 2010
VIR65
CRE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 79
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
96-74
96
74
+22
96avg 79
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
74avg 79
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
66avg 79
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
86avg 79
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
104avg 79
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
79-90
79
90
-11
77avg 79
A09/10
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
75avg 79
A11/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 79
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 79
A17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
17-11
19-19
17-14
28-15
22-13
26-23
20-23
22-20
23-22
19-17
19-24
14-19
24-16
17-15
19-18
23-26
23-23
25-26
23-28
25-19
26-13
21-24
33-32
24-24
16-25
20-23
19-18
17-12
20-19
23-16
12-25
19-19
18-15
22-19
18-20
21-24
19-18
21-22
29-19
167.5Avg total
85.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.584.0177.5+9.5100%
Season at home (1)105.088.0193.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)82.080.0162.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.881.7167.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)86.682.8169.4+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.083.8166.8-0.850%
vs Similar (12)84.078.5162.5+5.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.575.7164.2+12.885%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 72
A23/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
93avg 72
H30/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
83avg 72
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 72
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
83-118
83
118
-35
78avg 72
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
81-101
81
101
-20
69avg 72
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
89-65
89
65
+24
84avg 72
A04/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
89avg 72
H11/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 72
A05/10
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
69avg 72
H12/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
20-17
23-28
24-25
29-19
26-22
22-15
17-21
6-16
16-14
18-23
28-15
21-21
27-19
22-21
16-28
18-27
25-27
16-33
24-31
13-28
24-24
30-20
14-29
21-15
27-19
22-14
19-17
22-26
24-26
21-19
27-28
13-25
25-11
16-17
21-29
9-13
25-24
19-19
26-19
174.1Avg total
85.7Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.078.5155.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)79.075.0154.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)75.082.0157.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)85.788.4174.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)83.684.4168.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.289.1167.4-10.912%
vs Similar (11)83.881.2165.0+2.664%
vs Weaker (2)77.065.5142.5+11.550%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
Virtus BolognaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/10
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/10
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
42.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.237.779.9+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.036.677.6+4.475%-
Last 30 away (14)43.638.982.5+4.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.337.479.7+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.678.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.840.880.5-1.050%-
vs Similar (12)41.139.280.3+1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.834.978.8+8.985%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H30/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A04/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H11/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/10
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/10
Lega A
82.9Avg total
41.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.280.3-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.842.883.6-2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)37.539.577.0-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.682.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.282.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.142.880.9-4.635%-
vs Similar (11)41.240.181.3+1.155%-
vs Weaker (2)36.533.570.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.5
55.7%
54.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.6
37.2%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.214.4
79.1%
76.1%14.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.4
50.6%
54.1%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.313.3
41.2%
34.6%39.9
🏀 Free throws16.112.0
74.5%
76.1%12.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWLWLWLWW
Cremona
WLLWLLLWWL
#1
League position
#12
+6.1
Net rating
-3.6
116.1
Offensive rating
114.0
110.0
Defensive rating
117.6
55.7%
Effective FG%
56.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
14.9%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.2%
3-point %
41.2%
65.4%
Assist %
60.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 114.0Defence110.0 · 117.6Shooting55.7% · 56.2%3-point %37.2% · 41.2%Ball care19.7% · 14.9%Off. rebounds35.7% · 25.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Cremona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne90-83
15/10/25HMonaco77-73
11/10/25AUdine82-80 OT
09/10/25AParis79-90
06/10/25HBasket Napoli105-88
03/10/25AValencia94-103
30/09/25HReal Madrid74-68
27/09/25HOlimpia Milano86-93 OT
17/06/25ABrescia96-74
14/06/25HBrescia75-65
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25HSassari79-75
05/10/25AVenezia75-82
11/05/25HTortona94-99
04/05/25APistoia89-65
28/04/25HTrieste81-101
18/04/25AOlimpia Milano83-118
13/04/25HTrento86-89
06/04/25AVarese87-85 OT
30/03/25HTreviso94-77
23/03/25ASassari89-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.5105.082.0
Allowed / game84.088.080.0
Point differential+9.5+17.0+2.0
Avg total177.5193.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.079.075.0
Allowed / game78.575.082.0
Point differential-1.5+4.0-7.0
Avg total155.5154.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani330100%93.784.0+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna220100%93.584.0+9.5
3 Brescia330100%85.078.3+6.7
4 Trento32167%87.072.0+15.0
5 Venezia32167%95.383.3+12.0
6 Olimpia Milano32167%80.369.0+11.3
7 Reggiana32167%85.777.7+8.0
8 Tortona32167%85.385.0+0.3
9 Cremona21150%77.078.5-1.5
10 Basket Napoli31233%84.389.3-5.0
11 Trieste31233%79.090.7-11.7
12 Cantu31233%71.789.3-17.7
13 Varese31233%81.799.7-18.0
14 Sassari3030%83.086.7-3.7
15 Udine3030%74.379.7-5.3
16 Treviso3030%91.398.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna237201969
Cremona1922321386
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