Virtus Bologna vs Varese Prediction & Stats

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	97.4	84.2	181.6	+13.2	100%
Season at home (2)	103.0	86.0	189.0	+17.0	100%
Season away (3)	93.7	83.0	176.7	+10.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.9	89.5	182.4	+3.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.4	92.2	184.6	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	79.8	88.2	168.0	-8.5	25%
vs Similar (4)	89.5	91.0	180.5	-1.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	91.4	83.9	175.2	+7.5	73%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#12

84-75

H26/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

85-104

104

-19

A10/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

69-90

-21

H27/09

Lega A

Scafati

#15

85-77

A04/10

Lega A

Murcia

58-85

-27

A07/10

Champions League

Trieste

#10

85-84

H10/10

Lega A

Peristeri

82-85

-3

H13/10

Champions League

Trento

85-87

-2

A18/10

Lega A

BC Roma

#13

110-103 OT

110

103

H24/10

Lega A

Bamberg

#53

95-61

+34

A27/10

Champions League

19-18

26-13

13-24

26-20

17-27

21-22

31-29

16-26

21-26

18-21

19-21

11-22

24-17

16-21

30-24

15-15

8-16

14-23

20-27

16-19

19-15

21-23

21-20

24-26

27-26

25-11

12-27

18-21

17-23

24-26

21-23

23-15

32-28

17-17

17-22

29-28

22-10

24-16

29-17

20-18

168.9Avg total

83.8Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	86.8	88.2	175.0	-1.4	60%
Season at home (3)	88.0	92.3	180.3	-4.3	67%
Season away (2)	85.0	82.0	167.0	+3.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	85.1	168.9	-1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	84.0	175.4	+7.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	83.5	89.8	173.2	-6.2	42%
vs Similar (16)	86.2	85.1	171.3	+1.1	56%
vs Weaker (2)	90.0	69.0	159.0	+21.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	20.7	44.9	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.5	20.1	46.6	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	21.3	43.1	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	20.4	45.7	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.0	44.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.2	22.5	46.8	+1.8	75%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.6	20.0	44.5	+4.6	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	22.9	43.5	-2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.4	43.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.8	24.5	43.2	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	13.5	36.5	+9.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.8	41.9	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	21.9	44.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.0	18.2	41.2	+4.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.6	41.9	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.6	21.1	41.8	-0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	50%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maxima Roma

37-42

-5

H04/10

Lega A

Bayern

#18

52-43

A08/10

Euroleague

Venezia

45-51

-6

A11/10

Lega A

Paris

#16

46-38

A14/10

Euroleague

Baskonia

#20

46-34

+12

H16/10

Euroleague

Scafati

#15

50-36

+14

H18/10

Lega A

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

48-36

+12

A21/10

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

37-52

-15

A25/10

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

#10

35-37

-2

H28/10

Euroleague

Besiktas

#11

54-47

H30/10

Euroleague

86.6Avg total

45.0Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	41.5	86.8	+3.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.7	42.1	90.7	+6.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.0	40.9	82.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	41.6	86.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	41.6	86.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.5	40.5	83.0	+2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.8	41.2	86.0	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	46.0	41.7	87.6	+4.3	68%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#12

45-31

+14

H26/04

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

38-49

-11

A10/05

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

39-47

-8

H27/09

Lega A

Scafati

#15

40-38

A04/10

Lega A

Murcia

22-39

-17

A07/10

Champions League

Trieste

#10

40-38

H10/10

Lega A

Peristeri

52-37

+15

H13/10

Champions League

Trento

41-49

-8

A18/10

Lega A

BC Roma

#13

49-45

H24/10

Lega A

Bamberg

#53

46-26

+20

A27/10

Champions League

81.1Avg total

41.2Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	42.3	83.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	42.0	84.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	42.6	81.5	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	39.9	81.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	39.0	84.6	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.3	44.7	86.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.2	41.8	82.1	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.0	32.0	75.0	+11.0	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	24.0	42.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	22.2	42.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.0	19.8	41.9	+2.2	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.1	43.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	21.5	40.5	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	22.7	46.6	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	23.4	44.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.7	24.0	45.7	-2.3	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	29.5	20.5	50.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.8	45.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	23.2	47.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	23.4	48.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	25.2	50.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.5	23.8	42.2	-5.2	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.5	27.5	52.0	-3.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.6	21.8	44.4	+0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.2	43.8	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	21.5	44.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.6	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	24.7	21.9	46.6	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	16.5	34.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	43.5	87.2	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.4	43.8	88.2	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	43.2	86.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	46.6	92.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	48.0	92.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.2	47.8	85.0	-10.5	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	44.8	49.8	94.5	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.6	41.6	86.2	+3.0	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	43.3	87.3	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	42.5	84.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.5	44.2	90.7	+2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	44.4	85.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	43.4	86.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	42.2	45.1	87.2	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	45.0	42.8	87.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	37.0	84.0	+10.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game

46%

33%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	22.1	55.7%	54.3%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.8	34.6%	34.7%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	23.5	18.8	80.0%	74.4%	18.8

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game

46%

33%

21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	17.4	50.6%	54.3%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	10.6	35.1%	34.7%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	23.9	16.5	69.0%	74.4%	16.5

They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.0	20.8	49.5%	54.3%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	10.7	37.5%	34.7%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.9	76.0%	74.4%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	19.4	56.6%	54.3%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.5	9.3	30.5%	34.7%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	24.1	17.7	73.4%	74.4%	17.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	20.4	55.8%	54.3%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.4	35.2%	34.7%	28.3
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.6	78.3%	74.4%	16.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	19.6	55.9%	54.3%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.3	10.3	33.0%	34.7%	31.0
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.3	72.3%	74.4%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.5	53.9%	54.3%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.6	34.9%	34.7%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.3	75.4%	74.4%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	20.6	55.7%	54.3%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	8.7	30.6%	34.7%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	23.2	17.6	75.6%	74.4%	17.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Virtus Bologna

LLWLWWWWWW

Varese

WWLLWLWLLW

League position

+4.2

Net rating

-1.4

101.4

Offensive rating

89.8

97.3

Defensive rating

91.2

54.1%

Effective FG%

51.5%

52.3%

Opp. effective FG%

51.5%

13.7%

Turnover %

18.5%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.37

34.6%

3-point %

35.1%

59.2%

Assist %

68.2%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Virtus Bologna ■ Varese

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
27/09/26	Varese v Virtus Bologna	69-90
10/05/26	Virtus Bologna v Varese	104-85
04/11/25	Varese v Virtus Bologna	77-83
27/04/25	Virtus Bologna v Varese	104-67
10/11/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	104-95
21/01/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	69-81
08/10/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	115-84
07/05/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	98-82
04/12/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	100-108
06/02/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	80-81

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	H	Besiktas	101-103
28/10/26	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	74-91
25/10/26	A	Olimpia Milano	98-94 OT
21/10/26	A	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	81-90
18/10/26	H	Scafati	108-83
16/10/26	H	Baskonia	86-78
14/10/26	A	Paris	96-94
11/10/26	A	Venezia	93-86
08/10/26	A	Bayern	94-87
04/10/26	H	Maxima Roma	98-89

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/26	A	Bamberg	95-61
24/10/26	H	BC Roma	110-103 OT
18/10/26	A	Trento	85-87
13/10/26	H	Peristeri	82-85
10/10/26	H	Trieste	85-84
07/10/26	A	Murcia	58-85
04/10/26	A	Scafati	85-77
27/09/26	H	Virtus Bologna	69-90
10/05/26	A	Virtus Bologna	85-104
26/04/26	H	Cremona	84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	97.4	103.0	93.7
Allowed / game	84.2	86.0	83.0
Point differential	+13.2	+17.0	+10.7
Avg total	181.6	189.0	176.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	20%	0%	33%

Varese

Lega A 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	60%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	86.8	88.0	85.0
Allowed / game	88.2	92.3	82.0
Point differential	-1.4	-4.3	+3.0
Avg total	175.0	180.3	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	20%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Virtus Bologna	5	5	0	100%	97.4	84.2	+13.2
2	Basket Napoli	5	4	1	80%	93.2	87.2	+6.0
3	Treviso	5	4	1	80%	95.6	93.0	+2.6
4	Olimpia Milano	5	3	2	60%	90.6	82.2	+8.4
5	Venezia	5	3	2	60%	90.2	88.6	+1.6
6	Trento	5	3	2	60%	83.0	81.8	+1.2
7	Verona	5	3	2	60%	90.0	88.8	+1.2
8	Maxima Roma	5	3	2	60%	86.0	87.4	-1.4
9	Varese	5	3	2	60%	86.8	88.2	-1.4
10	Trieste	5	2	3	40%	89.0	85.2	+3.8
11	Reggiana	5	2	3	40%	85.2	84.4	+0.8
12	Udine	5	2	3	40%	79.8	80.8	-1.0
13	BC Roma	5	1	4	20%	99.6	97.8	+1.8
14	Tortona	5	1	4	20%	84.4	95.0	-10.6
15	Scafati	5	1	4	20%	78.4	90.0	-11.6
16	Cantu	5	0	5	0%	73.8	88.4	-14.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna vs Varese Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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