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Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 130-128
24-41 46-23 30-29 30-35
Position#18
Record9-19
FormWLLWW
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game117.5
Washington Wizards 🏆
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets
USA
Position#6
Record17-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game109.9
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets
24 Mar 2027
WAS v DEN
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
WAS97
DEN107
07 Dec 2024
WAS122
DEN113
21 Jan 2024
WAS104
DEN113
22 Mar 2023
WAS104
DEN118
16 Mar 2022
WAS109
DEN127
17 Feb 2021
WAS130
DEN128
04 Jan 2020
WAS128
DEN114
21 Mar 2019
WAS108
DEN113
23 Mar 2018
WAS100
DEN108
08 Dec 2016
WAS92
DEN85
28 Jan 2016
WAS113
DEN117
05 Dec 2014
WAS119
DEN89
09 Dec 2013
WAS74
DEN75
22 Feb 2013
WAS119
DEN113
20 Jan 2012
WAS104
DEN108
25 Jan 2011
WAS109
DEN120
19 Feb 2010
WAS107
DEN97
06 Feb 2009
WAS103
DEN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
149-146
149
146
+3
129avg 100
H01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
121-132
121
132
-11
122avg 100
H03/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
103-100
103
100
+3
94avg 100
A04/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
95-122
95
122
-27
78avg 100
A06/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
97-119
97
119
-22
84avg 100
A07/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
105-101
105
101
+4
no box
A09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
115-137
115
137
-22
no box
H11/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
91-109
91
109
-18
77avg 100
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
104-91
104
91
+13
101avg 100
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
131-119
131
119
+12
124avg 100
H16/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-38
37-33
36-37
48-38
23-40
40-35
27-31
31-26
31-34
24-31
22-17
26-18
27-40
16-31
27-35
25-16
31-34
21-35
21-33
24-17
24-27
34-21
25-30
22-23
28-40
33-34
32-29
22-34
23-30
19-23
22-26
27-30
29-22
26-21
34-24
15-24
38-34
34-35
28-20
31-30
228.7Avg total
111.1Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)111.8117.5229.3-5.732%
Season at home (15)114.5118.4232.9-3.933%
Season away (13)108.6116.5225.1-7.831%
Last 10 (10)111.1117.6228.7-6.550%
Last 5 (5)109.2111.4220.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)117.4119.2236.7-1.844%
vs Similar (17)107.6115.1222.8-7.529%
vs Weaker (4)113.0119.0232.0-6.025%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
109-82
109
82
+27
106avg 106
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
109-119
109
119
-10
104avg 106
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
128-117
128
117
+11
124avg 106
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
93-114
93
114
-21
76avg 106
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 106
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
112-125
112
125
-13
no box
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
133-95
133
95
+38
no box
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
97-95
97
95
+2
88avg 106
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
122-105
122
105
+17
118avg 106
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
99-112
99
112
-13
92avg 106
A17/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
32-21
16-32
35-17
30-37
25-24
31-26
23-32
43-29
36-25
24-37
25-26
30-27
28-19
17-37
18-31
25-26
27-27
29-34
33-32
42-37
20-22
26-34
24-32
34-17
30-26
36-23
33-29
16-28
24-25
30-26
27-16
33-33
40-28
30-24
19-20
26-30
28-29
21-27
24-26
219.9Avg total
111.6Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)115.4109.9225.3+5.557%
Season at home (16)117.6109.0226.6+8.662%
Season away (14)112.9110.9223.7+2.050%
Last 10 (10)111.6108.3219.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)112.6106.4219.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)114.4110.5224.9+3.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)117.2108.7225.9+8.564%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
Washington WizardsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H03/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A04/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
43-71
43
71
-28
A06/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A07/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H11/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H13/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H16/02
NBA
120.4Avg total
56.6Scored
63.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.561.9118.4-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.461.5119.9-3.125%-
Last 30 away (14)54.462.4116.8-8.129%-
Last 10 (10)56.663.8120.4-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)57.657.4115.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)59.262.4121.7-3.233%-
vs Similar (17)54.161.5115.6-7.524%-
vs Weaker (4)60.862.5123.2-1.825%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#15
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A06/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H15/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A17/02
NBA
111.7Avg total
59.5Scored
52.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.554.8115.3+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.655.0117.6+7.675%-
Last 30 away (14)58.154.6112.7+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)59.552.2111.7+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)58.655.0113.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)61.755.3116.9+6.468%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)58.554.1112.5+4.455%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.729.0
53.0%
52.8%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.010.6
30.3%
36.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws27.221.1
77.6%
77.7%21.1
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.328.4
54.3%
52.8%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.813.6
38.0%
36.6%40.8
🏀 Free throws17.514.0
80.0%
77.7%14.0
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
WWLLWLLWLW
Denver Nuggets
LWWWLLLWLW
#18
League position
#6
-6.2
Net rating
+3.8
105.6
Offensive rating
113.5
111.8
Defensive rating
109.7
50.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.1%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
30.3%
3-point %
38.0%
59.3%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 113.5Defence111.8 · 109.7Shooting50.1% · 55.4%3-point %30.3% · 38.0%Ball care13.3% · 12.1%Off. rebounds21.7% · 21.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Washington Wizards wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
22/07/20Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards89-82
05/01/20Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets128-114
27/11/19Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards117-104
01/04/19Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards90-95
21/03/19Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets108-113
23/03/18Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets100-108
24/10/17Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards104-109
09/03/17Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards113-123
09/12/16Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets92-85
13/03/16Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards116-100
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/21HHouston Rockets131-119
14/02/21HBoston Celtics104-91
13/02/21HNew York Knicks91-109
11/02/21HToronto Raptors115-137
09/02/21AChicago Bulls105-101
07/02/21ACharlotte Hornets97-119
06/02/21AMiami Heat95-122
04/02/21AMiami Heat103-100
03/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers121-132
01/02/21HBrooklyn Nets149-146
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/21ABoston Celtics99-112
15/02/21HLos Angeles Lakers122-105
13/02/21HOklahoma City Thunder97-95
11/02/21HCleveland Cavaliers133-95
09/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks112-125
06/02/21ASacramento Kings114-119
05/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers93-114
31/01/21HUtah Jazz128-117
30/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs109-119
28/01/21AMiami Heat109-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW32%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLWLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %32%33%31%
Points / game111.8114.5108.6
Allowed / game117.5118.4116.5
Point differential-5.7-3.9-7.8
Avg total229.3232.9225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %57%62%50%
Points / game115.4117.6112.9
Allowed / game109.9109.0110.9
Point differential+5.5+8.6+2.0
Avg total225.3226.6223.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %13%12%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3126584%115.9105.8+10.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers3326779%112.6105.3+7.4
3 Philadelphia 76ers31211068%114.3111.1+3.2
4 Los Angeles Clippers32211166%114.3108.9+5.4
5 Brooklyn Nets32201262%121.3116.9+4.4
6 Portland Trail Blazers31181358%114.2115.4-1.2
7 Denver Nuggets30171357%115.4109.9+5.5
8 Golden State Warriors31171455%114.1112.4+1.7
9 Phoenix Suns31171455%110.4108.7+1.6
10 San Antonio Spurs30161453%110.4112.4-1.9
11 Memphis Grizzlies27141352%112.4111.8+0.6
12 Milwaukee Bucks31161552%119.4113.9+5.4
13 New York Knicks34171750%103.1102.0+1.1
14 Toronto Raptors31151648%113.8111.8+2.0
15 Dallas Mavericks31151648%113.8114.6-0.8
16 New Orleans Pelicans29141548%114.7113.3+1.4
17 Boston Celtics30141647%109.2109.5-0.3
18 Chicago Bulls30141647%114.2114.6-0.4
19 Indiana Pacers31141745%112.0111.4+0.6
20 Sacramento Kings31141745%113.4118.7-5.3
21 Atlanta Hawks32141844%113.1113.3-0.3
22 Houston Rockets32141844%109.9110.2-0.3
23 Charlotte Hornets32141844%111.4112.0-0.7
24 Miami Heat29121741%106.5110.1-3.6
25 Oklahoma City Thunder30121840%107.6113.2-5.6
26 Orlando Magic33132039%106.1111.8-5.7
27 Cleveland Cavaliers33122136%103.4112.3-8.9
28 Detroit Pistons31102132%107.0110.2-3.2
29 Washington Wizards2891932%111.8117.5-5.7
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3182326%108.5115.9-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards24463030130
Denver Nuggets41232935128
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