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Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 128-114
31-19 30-36 34-35 33-24
Position#24
Record12-26
FormLLWLL
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game119.1
vs
Position#7
Record28-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game108.6
Allowed / game103.6
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets
24 Mar 2027
WAS v DEN
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
WAS97
DEN107
07 Dec 2024
WAS122
DEN113
21 Jan 2024
WAS104
DEN113
22 Mar 2023
WAS104
DEN118
16 Mar 2022
WAS109
DEN127
17 Feb 2021
WAS130
DEN128
04 Jan 2020
WAS128
DEN114
21 Mar 2019
WAS108
DEN113
23 Mar 2018
WAS100
DEN108
08 Dec 2016
WAS92
DEN85
28 Jan 2016
WAS113
DEN117
05 Dec 2014
WAS119
DEN89
09 Dec 2013
WAS74
DEN75
16 Jul 2013
WAS97
DEN69
22 Feb 2013
WAS119
DEN113
20 Jan 2012
WAS104
DEN108
25 Jan 2011
WAS109
DEN120
19 Feb 2010
WAS107
DEN97
06 Feb 2009
WAS103
DEN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
133-119
133
119
+14
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
118-122
118
122
-4
A21/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
108-125
108
125
-17
A22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
121-115
121
115
+6
A24/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
102-132
102
132
-30
A27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
L
100-107
100
107
-7
H29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
W
123-105
123
105
+18
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
L
101-122
101
122
-21
H01/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
103-122
103
122
-19
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
43-31
24-30
29-30
37-28
27-23
31-29
27-21
13-25
23-40
29-28
33-28
33-26
25-32
28-33
27-23
28-37
32-37
31-27
31-27
27-24
23-31
25-37
28-38
26-26
23-33
35-26
20-27
22-21
29-39
42-24
19-18
33-24
29-31
29-31
25-32
18-28
31-27
27-39
20-25
25-31
229.7Avg total
111.8Scored
117.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)115.0119.1234.1-4.132%
Season at home (17)114.8119.1233.9-4.329%
Season away (21)115.1119.1234.3-4.033%
Last 10 (10)111.8117.9229.7-6.130%
Last 5 (5)105.8117.6223.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)116.8124.8241.5-8.025%
vs Similar (17)115.2119.4234.6-4.235%
vs Weaker (1)100.0113.0213.0-13.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#26
W
111-105
111
105
+6
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
W
113-104
113
104
+9
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
109-100
109
100
+9
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
128-104
128
104
+24
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
113-111
113
111
+2
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
100-112
100
112
-12
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
119-110
119
110
+9
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
120-115
120
115
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
104-130
104
130
-26
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
124-116
124
116
+8
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-22
34-29
20-33
24-21
27-32
18-28
39-16
29-28
33-20
28-31
21-24
27-25
23-28
32-25
36-25
37-26
34-22
22-27
26-32
31-30
26-29
29-29
25-26
20-28
26-11
24-28
32-29
37-42
31-32
31-25
26-24
32-34
26-38
26-31
37-23
15-38
27-37
35-27
30-24
32-28
224.8Avg total
114.1Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)108.6103.6212.2+5.074%
Season at home (20)109.0103.5212.6+5.580%
Season away (18)108.1103.6211.7+4.467%
Last 10 (10)114.1110.7224.8+3.480%
Last 5 (5)113.4116.6230.0-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)103.8102.2206.0+1.550%
vs Similar (20)108.4105.1213.5+3.370%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)114.5104.0218.5+10.583%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
Washington WizardsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A21/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A22/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A24/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
L
48-68
48
68
-20
A27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H29/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H31/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H01/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H04/01
NBA
121.4Avg total
58.6Scored
62.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.164.9124.0-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.963.0122.9-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)58.366.6124.9-8.325%-
Last 10 (10)58.662.8121.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)58.663.6122.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)60.466.7127.1-6.333%-
vs Similar (17)58.563.6122.1-5.124%-
vs Weaker (1)52.067.0119.0-15.00%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#26
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H16/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H19/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H26/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H28/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A01/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A03/01
NBA
111.6Avg total
56.5Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.452.6107.0+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.252.7106.9+1.559%-
Last 30 away (13)54.752.5107.2+2.246%-
Last 10 (10)56.555.1111.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)56.257.4113.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.550.098.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (20)53.853.5107.3+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)60.351.3111.7+9.067%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.827.4
47.4%
52.3%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.7
35.6%
35.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws29.321.9
74.7%
77.2%21.9
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.732.9
55.1%
52.3%65.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.2
35.2%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.317.7
83.1%
77.2%17.7
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLWLLWLLLW
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWWWW
#24
League position
#7
-5.9
Net rating
+3.5
107.9
Offensive rating
116.1
113.7
Defensive rating
112.7
49.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
11.4%
Turnover %
13.2%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.6%
3-point %
35.2%
55.8%
Assist %
62.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 116.1Defence113.7 · 112.7Shooting49.6% · 54.3%3-point %35.6% · 35.2%Ball care11.4% · 13.2%Off. rebounds24.4% · 29.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/20HPortland Trail Blazers103-122
01/01/20HOrlando Magic101-122
31/12/19HMiami Heat123-105
29/12/19HNew York Knicks100-107
27/12/19ADetroit Pistons102-132
24/12/19ANew York Knicks121-115
22/12/19APhiladelphia 76ers108-125
21/12/19AToronto Raptors118-122
19/12/19HChicago Bulls109-110 OT
17/12/19ADetroit Pistons133-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/20AIndiana Pacers124-116
01/01/20AHouston Rockets104-130
30/12/19HSacramento Kings120-115
28/12/19HMemphis Grizzlies119-110
26/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans100-112
24/12/19APhoenix Suns113-111
23/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers128-104
21/12/19HMinnesota Timberwolves109-100
19/12/19HOrlando Magic113-104
16/12/19HNew York Knicks111-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381721
Win %32%29%33%
Points / game115.0114.8115.1
Allowed / game119.1119.1119.1
Point differential-4.1-4.3-4.0
Avg total234.1233.9234.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW74%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %74%80%67%
Points / game108.6109.0108.1
Allowed / game103.6103.5103.6
Point differential+5.0+5.5+4.4
Avg total212.2212.6211.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)67% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks4136588%119.7106.3+13.3
2 Boston Celtics3628878%111.3101.8+9.5
3 Los Angeles Lakers41311076%112.0105.2+6.8
4 Denver Nuggets38281074%108.6103.6+5.0
5 Miami Heat40291172%111.3106.6+4.8
6 Houston Rockets40271368%119.8114.7+5.1
7 Toronto Raptors40261465%111.2106.2+5.0
8 Philadelphia 76ers41261563%109.2104.7+4.5
9 Los Angeles Clippers40251562%113.5109.0+4.5
10 Indiana Pacers40251562%110.3106.7+3.6
11 Dallas Mavericks39241562%115.5108.2+7.3
12 Utah Jazz39231659%108.6107.7+0.9
13 Oklahoma City Thunder38211755%108.2107.5+0.7
14 Brooklyn Nets37181949%109.8111.3-1.5
15 Orlando Magic42192345%102.9103.6-0.7
16 San Antonio Spurs38162242%112.0114.4-2.4
17 Phoenix Suns39162341%113.7114.4-0.7
18 Portland Trail Blazers40162440%112.1114.0-1.9
19 New Orleans Pelicans40162440%114.0116.8-2.9
20 Sacramento Kings39152438%106.8109.5-2.7
21 Memphis Grizzlies39152438%111.6116.3-4.7
22 Chicago Bulls40152538%106.0106.9-0.9
23 Detroit Pistons40152538%108.0111.3-3.3
24 Minnesota Timberwolves38142437%111.6115.3-3.7
25 Charlotte Hornets42152736%103.9110.1-6.2
26 Washington Wizards38122632%115.0119.1-4.1
27 New York Knicks39112828%103.9110.8-6.9
28 Golden State Warriors41113027%106.1113.4-7.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers38102826%103.3113.6-10.2
30 Atlanta Hawks4193222%105.9116.5-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards31303433128
Denver Nuggets19363524114
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