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Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 122-113
36-29 33-28 30-36 23-20
Position#29
Record2-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game123.5
vs
Position#9
Record11-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game116.8
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets
24 Mar 2027
WAS v DEN
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
WAS97
DEN107
07 Dec 2024
WAS122
DEN113
21 Jan 2024
WAS104
DEN113
22 Mar 2023
WAS104
DEN118
16 Mar 2022
WAS109
DEN127
17 Feb 2021
WAS130
DEN128
04 Jan 2020
WAS128
DEN114
21 Mar 2019
WAS108
DEN113
23 Mar 2018
WAS100
DEN108
08 Dec 2016
WAS92
DEN85
28 Jan 2016
WAS113
DEN117
05 Dec 2014
WAS119
DEN89
09 Dec 2013
WAS74
DEN75
22 Feb 2013
WAS119
DEN113
20 Jan 2012
WAS104
DEN108
25 Jan 2011
WAS109
DEN120
19 Feb 2010
WAS107
DEN97
06 Feb 2009
WAS103
DEN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
117-129
117
129
-12
104avg 101
A16/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
104-124
104
124
-20
93avg 101
H17/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
106-134
106
134
-28
93avg 101
A19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
96-108
96
108
-12
84avg 101
H23/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
103-115
103
115
-12
97avg 101
A24/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
108-127
108
127
-19
96avg 101
H27/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
96-121
96
121
-25
84avg 101
H28/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
114-124
114
124
-10
106avg 101
A01/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
87-118
87
118
-31
78avg 101
A04/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
101-137
101
137
-36
82avg 101
H06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-29
11-30
25-35
42-35
18-28
35-37
26-37
25-22
27-40
27-33
21-36
31-25
27-29
24-20
21-26
24-33
28-31
31-26
28-35
16-23
29-21
18-40
34-35
27-31
26-37
18-24
25-27
27-33
29-28
29-35
28-29
28-32
20-35
22-25
25-26
20-32
22-31
28-37
27-34
24-35
226.9Avg total
103.2Scored
123.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)106.7123.5230.2-16.810%
Season at home (10)106.6123.7230.3-17.110%
Season away (10)106.8123.4230.2-16.610%
Last 10 (10)103.2123.7226.9-20.50%
Last 5 (5)101.2125.4226.6-24.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)109.9123.7233.6-13.911%
vs Similar (3)103.7111.3215.0-7.70%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 109
A16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 109
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
122-110
122
110
+12
115avg 109
A20/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
120-123
120
123
-3
114avg 109
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
127-102
127
102
+25
136avg 109
A24/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
118-145
118
145
-27
102avg 109
H26/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
122-103
122
103
+19
120avg 109
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
122-126
122
126
-4
123avg 109
A02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
119-115
119
115
+4
118avg 109
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
114-126
114
126
-12
105avg 109
A06/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
32-27
18-19
22-23
25-28
18-27
21-29
26-21
31-24
37-33
24-21
30-32
31-33
22-40
36-22
31-28
31-27
26-36
37-15
33-24
24-36
29-40
34-37
31-32
34-35
29-18
37-23
22-27
23-32
36-27
31-33
32-34
33-31
24-26
33-28
29-30
27-37
35-29
25-36
27-24
230.4Avg total
114.8Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)117.8116.8234.6+1.055%
Season at home (10)117.9118.0235.9-0.160%
Season away (10)117.8115.6233.4+2.250%
Last 10 (10)114.8115.6230.4-0.840%
Last 5 (5)119.0123.0242.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)108.3116.7225.0-8.333%
vs Similar (18)109.9111.9221.8-2.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)118.3113.3231.7+5.078%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
Washington WizardsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A16/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H17/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H23/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A24/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
47-61
47
61
-14
H27/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H28/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A01/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A04/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H06/12
NBA
112.4Avg total
50.8Scored
61.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.461.6115.1-8.213%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.160.8112.9-8.612%-
Last 30 away (13)55.262.8117.9-7.615%-
Last 10 (10)50.861.6112.4-10.820%-
Last 5 (5)48.262.6110.8-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)54.161.8115.9-7.615%-
vs Similar (3)47.060.3107.3-13.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A20/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H23/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A24/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
53-76
53
76
-23
H26/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A02/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H04/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A06/12
NBA
118.7Avg total
56.9Scored
61.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.657.7112.3-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.257.1110.3-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)56.158.2114.3-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)56.961.8118.7-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)58.862.2121.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.063.3119.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (18)53.755.9109.6-2.339%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)56.159.2115.3-3.122%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.028.6
51.1%
54.3%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.410.0
29.9%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.516.0
74.4%
77.8%16.0
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.932.5
56.1%
54.3%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.2
37.0%
35.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.116.2
73.3%
77.8%16.2
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLWLL
#29
League position
#9
-19.8
Net rating
-0.8
99.9
Offensive rating
111.8
119.7
Defensive rating
112.5
48.8%
Effective FG%
55.9%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
21.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.9%
3-point %
37.0%
59.6%
Assist %
67.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 111.8Defence119.7 · 112.5Shooting48.8% · 55.9%3-point %29.9% · 37.0%Ball care14.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds20.9% · 21.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HDallas Mavericks101-137
04/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers87-118
01/12/24AMilwaukee Bucks114-124
28/11/24HLos Angeles Clippers96-121
27/11/24HChicago Bulls108-127
24/11/24AIndiana Pacers103-115
23/11/24HBoston Celtics96-108
19/11/24ANew York Knicks106-134
17/11/24HDetroit Pistons104-124
16/11/24AAtlanta Hawks117-129
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers114-126
04/12/24HGolden State Warriors119-115
02/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers122-126
28/11/24AUtah Jazz122-103
26/11/24HNew York Knicks118-145
24/11/24ALos Angeles Lakers127-102
23/11/24HDallas Mavericks120-123
20/11/24AMemphis Grizzlies122-110
17/11/24AMemphis Grizzlies90-105
16/11/24ANew Orleans Pelicans94-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %10%10%10%
Points / game106.7106.6106.8
Allowed / game123.5123.7123.4
Point differential-16.9-17.1-16.6
Avg total230.2230.3230.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game117.8117.9117.8
Allowed / game116.8118.0115.6
Point differential+1.1-0.1+2.2
Avg total234.7235.9233.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers2421388%121.8111.0+10.7
2 Boston Celtics2319483%120.1110.0+10.1
3 Oklahoma City Thunder2217577%115.5103.5+12.0
4 Memphis Grizzlies2315865%121.1113.1+8.0
5 Dallas Mavericks2315865%118.9111.2+7.7
6 Houston Rockets2315865%113.5106.6+6.9
7 Orlando Magic2516964%107.3103.0+4.3
8 New York Knicks2214864%118.3110.7+7.5
9 Golden State Warriors2213959%114.1109.3+4.8
10 Los Angeles Clippers24141058%108.8107.0+1.8
11 Phoenix Suns2112957%113.2113.5-0.2
12 Denver Nuggets2011955%117.8116.8+1.1
13 Minnesota Timberwolves22121055%110.7106.6+4.1
14 Atlanta Hawks24131154%117.3119.0-1.6
15 Los Angeles Lakers23121152%112.3116.5-4.2
16 Miami Heat20101050%111.3109.0+2.3
17 Milwaukee Bucks22111150%113.2112.4+0.8
18 San Antonio Spurs23111248%111.0113.0-2.0
19 Sacramento Kings24111346%115.4113.9+1.5
20 Brooklyn Nets23101343%110.0113.7-3.7
21 Chicago Bulls24101442%119.9123.6-3.7
22 Indiana Pacers24101442%114.2118.4-4.2
23 Detroit Pistons2491538%110.1113.1-3.0
24 Portland Trail Blazers2381535%106.8116.4-9.6
25 Toronto Raptors2371630%112.3117.0-4.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers2161529%105.0110.6-5.5
27 Charlotte Hornets2361726%106.8112.7-5.9
28 Utah Jazz2251723%109.7117.7-8.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans2351822%104.3116.4-12.1
30 Washington Wizards2021810%106.7123.5-16.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards36333023122
Denver Nuggets29283620113
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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