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Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 100-108
16-23 27-32 33-23 24-30
Position#15
Record43-32
FormLLWWL
Points / game107.3
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Position#12
Record42-35
FormLWLLW
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game108.2
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets
24 Mar 2027
WAS v DEN
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
WAS97
DEN107
07 Dec 2024
WAS122
DEN113
21 Jan 2024
WAS104
DEN113
22 Mar 2023
WAS104
DEN118
16 Mar 2022
WAS109
DEN127
17 Feb 2021
WAS130
DEN128
04 Jan 2020
WAS128
DEN114
21 Mar 2019
WAS108
DEN113
23 Mar 2018
WAS100
DEN108
08 Dec 2016
WAS92
DEN85
28 Jan 2016
WAS113
DEN117
05 Dec 2014
WAS119
DEN89
09 Dec 2013
WAS74
DEN75
16 Jul 2013
WAS97
DEN69
22 Feb 2013
WAS119
DEN113
20 Jan 2012
WAS104
DEN108
25 Jan 2011
WAS109
DEN120
19 Feb 2010
WAS107
DEN97
06 Feb 2009
WAS103
DEN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
101-109
101
109
-8
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
95-102
95
102
-7
H03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
95-98
95
98
-3
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
117-113 OT
117
113
+4
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
116-97
116
97
+19
A10/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
102-129
102
129
-27
A11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
111-116
111
116
-5
H13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
A15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
109-102
109
102
+7
H17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-36
35-22
14-27
31-24
27-19
20-32
27-26
21-25
20-30
25-25
20-25
30-18
31-26
28-24
27-30
19-25
22-19
31-19
30-24
33-35
20-26
28-34
28-43
26-26
26-25
33-28
31-29
21-34
23-37
29-22
29-21
25-26
25-20
32-25
29-26
23-31
18-18
26-32
16-27
30-21
214.9Avg total
106.1Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)107.3105.9213.2+1.457%
Season at home (37)108.8105.4214.2+3.459%
Season away (38)105.8106.3212.2-0.555%
Last 10 (10)106.1108.8214.9-2.740%
Last 5 (5)107.4113.8221.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)106.0110.0216.0-4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (22)106.7109.3216.0-2.650%
vs Weaker (5)117.6104.8222.4+12.8100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
126-117
126
117
+9
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
107-118
107
118
-11
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
108-113
108
113
-5
H08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
125-116
125
116
+9
H10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
130-104
130
104
+26
H11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
103-112
103
112
-9
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
120-113
120
113
+7
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
141-149 OT
141
149
-8
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
135-102
135
102
+33
A22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-31
36-31
30-35
23-20
25-29
37-29
23-38
22-22
23-38
35-32
29-19
21-24
37-28
28-34
29-34
31-20
32-25
34-24
35-19
29-36
22-35
25-13
35-29
21-35
33-29
32-22
33-33
22-29
17-34
31-19
27-31
19-17
37-36
26-28
28-28
27-26
39-25
38-21
36-24
22-32
233.4Avg total
118.9Scored
114.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)109.6108.2217.8+1.455%
Season at home (38)111.6105.8217.3+5.871%
Season away (39)107.7110.6218.3-2.938%
Last 10 (10)118.9114.5233.4+4.450%
Last 5 (5)118.6115.4234.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)111.0119.0230.0-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (20)113.5113.5226.9+0.055%
vs Weaker (7)117.1106.9224.0+10.371%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
Washington WizardsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#11
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A10/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A22/03
NBA
103.9Avg total
52.0Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.953.7107.7+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.653.4109.0+2.350%-
Last 30 away (16)52.454.1106.5-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)52.051.9103.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)52.053.4105.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.757.0109.7-4.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)53.253.1106.3+0.145%-
vs Weaker (5)57.854.6112.4+3.280%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H08/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
77-46
77
46
+31
A22/03
NBA
118.7Avg total
62.4Scored
56.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.156.6115.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.856.6115.4+2.259%-
Last 30 away (13)59.556.6116.1+2.854%-
Last 10 (10)62.456.3118.7+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)60.052.4112.4+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.061.7112.7-10.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)59.056.5115.5+2.560%-
vs Weaker (7)62.754.6117.3+8.171%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 106.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.129.2
49.4%
51.0%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.8
39.2%
36.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.418.3
78.2%
76.5%18.3
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.728.7
53.4%
51.0%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.014.2
41.8%
36.1%42.6
🏀 Free throws23.918.9
79.1%
76.5%18.9
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LWWLLWWLLL
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLWWLLW
#15
League position
#12
-2.7
Net rating
+4.3
107.7
Offensive rating
117.0
110.4
Defensive rating
112.7
52.2%
Effective FG%
57.0%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.2%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.2%
3-point %
41.8%
67.2%
Assist %
63.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 117.0Defence110.4 · 112.7Shooting52.2% · 57.0%3-point %39.2% · 41.8%Ball care15.1% · 13.2%Off. rebounds26.4% · 22.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/18ASan Antonio Spurs90-98
17/03/18HIndiana Pacers109-102
15/03/18ABoston Celtics125-124 OT
13/03/18HMinnesota Timberwolves111-116
11/03/18AMiami Heat102-129
10/03/18ANew Orleans Pelicans116-97
07/03/18HMiami Heat117-113 OT
04/03/18HIndiana Pacers95-98
03/03/18HToronto Raptors95-102
01/03/18HGolden State Warriors101-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/18AChicago Bulls135-102
19/03/18AMiami Heat141-149 OT
18/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies94-101
16/03/18HDetroit Pistons120-113
14/03/18ALos Angeles Lakers103-112
11/03/18HSacramento Kings130-104
10/03/18HLos Angeles Lakers125-116
08/03/18HCleveland Cavaliers108-113
07/03/18ADallas Mavericks107-118
04/03/18ACleveland Cavaliers126-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeLLWLW59%
AwayWWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753738
Win %57%59%55%
Points / game107.3108.8105.8
Allowed / game105.9105.4106.3
Point differential+1.4+3.4-0.5
Avg total213.2214.2212.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%24%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (24)55% (11)46% (13)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW55%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773839
Win %55%71%38%
Points / game109.6111.6107.7
Allowed / game108.2105.8110.6
Point differential+1.4+5.8-2.9
Avg total217.8217.3218.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)54% (13)20% (5)
Overtime %5%3%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets76611580%113.0104.3+8.7
2 Golden State Warriors75552073%114.8107.4+7.4
3 Toronto Raptors77562173%112.3104.0+8.3
4 Boston Celtics75522369%104.4100.1+4.3
5 Portland Trail Blazers76482863%106.5103.1+3.4
6 Oklahoma City Thunder76453159%107.0103.6+3.3
7 Utah Jazz75443159%103.6100.0+3.6
8 San Antonio Spurs77453258%102.598.9+3.6
9 Minnesota Timberwolves75433257%110.0107.8+2.2
10 Indiana Pacers75433257%105.5104.0+1.5
11 Washington Wizards75433257%107.3105.9+1.4
12 New Orleans Pelicans77443357%111.2111.1+0.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers76433357%108.3105.7+2.6
14 Cleveland Cavaliers76433357%110.0110.2-0.1
15 Denver Nuggets77423555%109.6108.2+1.4
16 Miami Heat78423654%103.0103.1-0.1
17 Los Angeles Clippers76403653%109.2108.6+0.6
18 Milwaukee Bucks75383751%105.5106.3-0.8
19 Detroit Pistons77344344%102.8103.8-1.0
20 Charlotte Hornets78344444%107.1107.2-0.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers77334443%107.8109.7-1.8
22 Chicago Bulls77275035%103.3109.8-6.6
23 Brooklyn Nets76265034%106.6110.0-3.4
24 New York Knicks77265134%103.8108.0-4.2
25 Dallas Mavericks78265233%102.8104.8-2.0
26 Sacramento Kings79255432%98.8106.4-7.6
27 Orlando Magic78245431%103.9108.3-4.4
28 Atlanta Hawks77235430%103.2108.3-5.0
29 Memphis Grizzlies77225529%99.1104.3-5.1
30 Phoenix Suns76205626%104.2113.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards16273324100
Denver Nuggets23322330108
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