PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 105-91
24-14 29-27 23-22 29-28
Position#16
Record8-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game105.3
Allowed / game106.5
vs
Position#9
Record10-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game94.5
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
17 Feb 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
19 Jan 2027
DEN v UTA
upcoming
04 Oct 2026
DEN97
UTA109
27 Mar 2026
DEN135
UTA129
22 Dec 2025
DEN135
UTA112
28 Mar 2025
DEN129
UTA93
02 Nov 2024
DEN129
UTA103
09 Mar 2024
DEN142
UTA121
30 Oct 2023
DEN110
UTA102
10 Dec 2022
DEN115
UTA110
28 Oct 2022
DEN117
UTA101
16 Jan 2022
DEN102
UTA125
05 Jan 2022
DEN109
UTA115
31 Jan 2021
DEN128
UTA117
17 Jan 2021
DEN105
UTA109
01 Sep 2020
DEN80
UTA78
25 Aug 2020
DEN117
UTA107
19 Aug 2020
DEN105
UTA124
17 Aug 2020
DEN135
UTA125
08 Aug 2020
DEN134
UTA132
30 Jan 2020
DEN106
UTA100
28 Feb 2019
DEN104
UTA111
03 Nov 2018
DEN103
UTA88
05 Jan 2018
DEN99
UTA91
26 Dec 2017
DEN107
UTA83
24 Jan 2017
DEN103
UTA93
20 Nov 2016
DEN105
UTA91
14 Jul 2016
DEN80
UTA60
10 Apr 2016
DEN84
UTA100
05 Nov 2015
DEN84
UTA96
27 Mar 2015
DEN107
UTA91
27 Feb 2015
DEN82
UTA104
15 Jul 2014
DEN69
UTA87
12 Apr 2014
DEN101
UTA94
13 Dec 2013
DEN93
UTA103
05 Jan 2013
DEN110
UTA91
09 Nov 2012
DEN104
UTA84
15 Jan 2012
DEN96
UTA106
28 Dec 2011
DEN117
UTA100
04 Feb 2011
DEN106
UTA113
27 Oct 2010
DEN110
UTA88
28 Apr 2010
DEN116
UTA102
19 Apr 2010
DEN111
UTA114
17 Apr 2010
DEN126
UTA113
17 Jan 2010
DEN119
UTA112
28 Oct 2009
DEN114
UTA105
02 Apr 2009
DEN114
UTA104
25 Jan 2009
DEN117
UTA97
15 Oct 2008
DEN120
UTA119
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utah Jazz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
102-105
102
105
-3
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
86-103
86
103
-17
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
123-107
123
107
+16
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
107-108
107
108
-1
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
101-125
101
125
-24
H11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
95-106
95
106
-11
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
105-112
105
112
-7
A14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
120-104
120
104
+16
H17/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
111-113 OT
111
113
-2
H19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
25-29
35-26
18-17
25-37
30-24
33-14
14-24
12-29
32-22
23-26
19-26
42-23
35-29
26-31
20-24
26-26
30-30
20-23
31-29
19-38
32-27
24-34
26-26
21-36
28-21
22-23
24-26
28-20
29-30
15-36
33-26
28-17
33-26
28-33
31-28
19-29
38-23
25-25
20-25
213.4Avg total
105.2Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)105.3106.5211.8-1.240%
Season at home (7)109.9109.6219.4+0.329%
Season away (13)102.8104.8207.6-1.946%
Last 10 (10)105.2108.2213.4-3.030%
Last 5 (5)106.4112.0218.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)103.4115.2218.6-11.820%
vs Similar ◀ (17)102.7104.2206.9-1.535%
vs Weaker (8)96.587.9184.4+8.662%
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
86-100
86
100
-14
H05/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
114-109
114
109
+5
A06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
109-84
109
84
+25
A08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
98-104
98
104
-6
A10/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A12/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A13/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H15/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H18/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
102-111
102
111
-9
A19/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
26-19
25-26
31-22
17-27
24-26
25-29
20-18
20-30
29-24
29-26
36-29
30-24
22-19
25-18
32-23
32-24
26-27
20-25
20-28
23-17
19-21
18-26
27-10
23-21
29-26
24-12
26-32
25-33
23-23
22-17
26-29
26-25
17-16
15-25
19-19
22-28
22-27
26-26
32-30
190.9Avg total
96.8Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)96.894.5191.3+2.350%
Season at home (8)93.891.8185.5+2.038%
Season away (12)98.896.3195.2+2.558%
Last 10 (10)96.894.1190.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)92.892.6185.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.286.8162.0-11.717%
vs Similar ◀ (10)94.294.4188.6-0.240%
vs Weaker (14)96.091.6187.6+4.457%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
Denver NuggetsUtah Jazz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A31/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
77-52
77
52
+25
A07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H17/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/11
NBA
110.5Avg total
55.6Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.551.5104.1+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.950.6101.5+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)53.952.4106.3+1.644%-
Last 10 (10)55.654.9110.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)55.053.4108.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.857.6109.4-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.853.8108.6+1.147%-
vs Weaker (8)48.143.091.1+5.162%-
This opponent (Utah Jazz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah JazzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H05/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A06/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A10/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A12/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A13/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H15/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H18/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A19/11
NBA
94.1Avg total
47.0Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.544.489.9+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.343.487.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)46.545.491.9+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)47.047.194.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.847.493.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.043.383.3-3.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)47.447.494.8+0.060%-
vs Weaker (14)46.442.889.2+3.664%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.728.8
47.4%
50.2%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.8
35.5%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws27.321.2
77.7%
77.0%21.2
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utah Jazztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utah Jazz: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.127.3
51.4%
50.2%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.8
34.2%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.115.8
74.9%
77.0%15.8
They take 78.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLLWLWL
Utah Jazz
LLLWWLWWLW
#16
League position
#9
-3.0
Net rating
+2.9
103.7
Offensive rating
105.1
106.6
Defensive rating
102.2
49.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
12.4%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.5%
3-point %
34.2%
53.7%
Assist %
49.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 105.1Defence106.6 · 102.2Shooting49.1% · 51.4%3-point %35.5% · 34.2%Ball care16.3% · 12.4%Off. rebounds27.9% · 20.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Utah Jazz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Denver Nuggets wins
7
Utah Jazz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/16HToronto Raptors111-113 OT
17/11/16HPhoenix Suns120-104
14/11/16APortland Trail Blazers105-112
13/11/16HDetroit Pistons95-106
11/11/16HGolden State Warriors101-125
09/11/16AMemphis Grizzlies107-108
07/11/16ABoston Celtics123-107
05/11/16ADetroit Pistons86-103
04/11/16AMinnesota Timberwolves102-99
31/10/16AToronto Raptors102-105
Utah Jazzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/16AHouston Rockets102-111
18/11/16HChicago Bulls77-85
15/11/16HMemphis Grizzlies96-102
13/11/16AMiami Heat102-91
12/11/16AOrlando Magic87-74
10/11/16ACharlotte Hornets98-104
08/11/16APhiladelphia 76ers109-84
06/11/16ANew York Knicks114-109
05/11/16HSan Antonio Spurs86-100
03/11/16HDallas Mavericks97-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayWLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20713
Win %40%29%46%
Points / game105.3109.9102.8
Allowed / game106.5109.6104.8
Point differential-1.1+0.3-1.9
Avg total211.8219.4207.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)0% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %15%43%0%
Utah Jazz
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %50%38%58%
Points / game96.893.898.8
Allowed / game94.591.896.3
Point differential+2.3+2.0+2.5
Avg total191.3185.5195.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2017385%115.4106.2+9.2
2 Los Angeles Clippers2015575%104.097.5+6.5
3 San Antonio Spurs1914574%101.296.2+4.9
4 Atlanta Hawks2014670%103.196.5+6.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers1812667%106.3103.2+3.1
6 Houston Rockets1912763%111.4106.7+4.7
7 Memphis Grizzlies1912763%100.298.6+1.6
8 Toronto Raptors1811761%105.8103.4+2.3
9 Boston Celtics2012860%104.3102.7+1.6
10 Charlotte Hornets1911858%100.7100.4+0.3
11 Oklahoma City Thunder1810856%104.8103.2+1.6
12 Chicago Bulls2011955%104.299.3+4.9
13 Portland Trail Blazers22121055%106.1108.8-2.7
14 New York Knicks1910953%104.4106.4-2.0
15 Utah Jazz20101050%96.894.5+2.3
16 Indiana Pacers20101050%106.5107.1-0.7
17 Minnesota Timberwolves1991047%103.4100.1+3.3
18 Detroit Pistons2091145%96.095.0+1.1
19 Milwaukee Bucks1881044%98.2101.3-3.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers2191243%108.3108.3-0.0
21 Miami Heat2081240%99.597.5+2.0
22 Denver Nuggets2081240%105.3106.5-1.1
23 Phoenix Suns2081240%106.9111.2-4.3
24 Orlando Magic2081240%94.7102.0-7.3
25 Washington Wizards1971237%103.8103.3+0.5
26 Sacramento Kings1861233%101.5105.2-3.7
27 Brooklyn Nets1951426%104.7112.6-7.9
28 New Orleans Pelicans2051525%103.4108.5-5.1
29 Philadelphia 76ers2051525%97.3107.8-10.5
30 Dallas Mavericks1941521%91.999.8-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets24292329105
Utah Jazz1427222891
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.