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Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 104-113
24-33 28-29 26-27 26-24
Position#29
Record7-34
FormLWLLL
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game125.2
vs
Position#3
Record29-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game111.1
USANBA· Capital One Arena (Washington)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets
24 Mar 2027
WAS v DEN
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
WAS97
DEN107
07 Dec 2024
WAS122
DEN113
21 Jan 2024
WAS104
DEN113
22 Mar 2023
WAS104
DEN118
16 Mar 2022
WAS109
DEN127
17 Feb 2021
WAS130
DEN128
04 Jan 2020
WAS128
DEN114
21 Mar 2019
WAS108
DEN113
23 Mar 2018
WAS100
DEN108
08 Dec 2016
WAS92
DEN85
28 Jan 2016
WAS113
DEN117
05 Dec 2014
WAS119
DEN89
09 Dec 2013
WAS74
DEN75
22 Feb 2013
WAS119
DEN113
20 Jan 2012
WAS104
DEN108
25 Jan 2011
WAS109
DEN120
19 Feb 2010
WAS107
DEN97
06 Feb 2009
WAS103
DEN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
126-130
126
130
-4
120avg 107
H31/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
101-140
101
140
-39
78avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
90-114
90
114
-24
72avg 107
A06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
105-121
105
121
-16
104avg 107
H07/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
128-136
128
136
-8
123avg 107
H09/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
104-112
104
112
-8
94avg 107
A11/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
127-99
127
99
+28
125avg 107
A14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
117-129
117
129
-12
105avg 107
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
109-113
109
113
-4
105avg 107
A19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
127-131
127
131
-4
116avg 107
H21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
28-42
29-30
39-30
31-34
24-33
20-34
26-39
26-36
14-16
19-32
31-30
19-34
24-29
32-28
30-30
30-36
31-31
36-35
31-34
21-23
34-31
25-35
24-23
30-25
28-22
41-24
28-28
22-29
40-34
25-31
30-35
22-22
23-24
27-27
37-40
36-37
30-35
34-28
27-31
235.9Avg total
113.4Scored
122.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)115.7125.2240.8-9.517%
Season at home (18)117.2127.2244.4-10.117%
Season away (23)114.5123.6238.0-9.117%
Last 10 (10)113.4122.5235.9-9.110%
Last 5 (5)116.8116.8233.6+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)115.3126.8242.2-11.512%
vs Similar (6)117.3122.2239.5-4.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
93-119
93
119
-26
85avg 110
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-93
111
93
+18
109avg 110
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
130-127
130
127
+3
126avg 110
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
120-122
120
122
-2
110avg 110
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
131-114
131
114
+17
136avg 110
H08/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
111-124
111
124
-13
103avg 110
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
125avg 110
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
117-109
117
109
+8
124avg 110
H14/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
121-126
121
126
-5
113avg 110
A17/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
102-100
102
100
+2
98avg 110
A20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-33
21-21
20-34
25-31
24-18
25-31
40-17
22-27
34-33
36-30
24-44
36-20
37-28
30-26
31-41
22-27
31-29
34-28
43-28
23-29
24-35
29-36
25-28
33-25
37-25
29-26
34-29
25-33
28-28
32-29
29-27
28-25
38-36
40-42
26-21
17-27
31-32
24-29
26-21
21-18
230.8Avg total
116.1Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)116.0111.1227.1+4.967%
Season at home (21)120.6110.6231.2+10.081%
Season away (22)111.6111.5223.1+0.055%
Last 10 (10)116.1114.7230.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)115.2114.4229.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0100.0202.0+2.0100%
vs Similar (17)115.8115.8231.6+0.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)119.8108.7228.5+11.292%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
Washington WizardsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H31/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A04/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
43-63
43
63
-20
H07/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H09/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A11/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A19/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H21/01
NBA
114.4Avg total
54.3Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.860.4117.2-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.064.6123.6-5.621%-
Last 30 away (16)54.956.7111.6-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)54.360.1114.4-5.820%-
Last 5 (5)57.256.4113.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)56.160.9117.0-4.833%-
vs Similar (6)59.758.5118.2+1.250%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H30/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H02/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A05/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A11/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H13/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H14/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
D
78-78
78
78
+0
A17/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A20/01
NBA
120.6Avg total
61.1Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.757.0116.8+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.453.4113.7+7.071%-
Last 30 away (16)59.260.2119.4-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)61.159.5120.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)62.463.6126.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.061.0116.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (17)60.658.5119.1+2.159%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)58.954.6113.5+4.367%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 113.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.930.3
52.3%
54.4%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.112.3
35.0%
36.3%36.9
🏀 Free throws20.815.9
76.4%
78.2%15.9
They take 93.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.333.0
61.9%
54.4%66.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.0
35.8%
36.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws21.617.1
79.2%
78.2%17.1
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLWLLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWLWWL
#29
League position
#3
-8.8
Net rating
+1.4
109.2
Offensive rating
118.8
118.0
Defensive rating
117.4
52.4%
Effective FG%
58.9%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
11.8%
Turnover %
13.1%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.0%
3-point %
35.8%
67.1%
Assist %
63.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 118.8Defence118.0 · 117.4Shooting52.4% · 58.9%3-point %35.0% · 35.8%Ball care11.8% · 13.1%Off. rebounds21.5% · 22.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HSan Antonio Spurs127-131
19/01/24ANew York Knicks109-113
15/01/24HDetroit Pistons117-129
14/01/24AAtlanta Hawks127-99
11/01/24AIndiana Pacers104-112
09/01/24HOklahoma City Thunder128-136
07/01/24HNew York Knicks105-121
06/01/24ACleveland Cavaliers90-114
04/01/24ACleveland Cavaliers101-140
31/12/23HAtlanta Hawks126-130
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ABoston Celtics102-100
17/01/24APhiladelphia 76ers121-126
14/01/24HIndiana Pacers117-109
13/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans125-113
11/01/24AUtah Jazz111-124
08/01/24HDetroit Pistons131-114
06/01/24HOrlando Magic120-122
05/01/24AGolden State Warriors130-127
02/01/24HCharlotte Hornets111-93
30/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder93-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411823
Win %17%17%17%
Points / game115.7117.2114.5
Allowed / game125.2127.2123.6
Point differential-9.5-10.1-9.1
Avg total240.8244.4238.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%6%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (3)14% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayWWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %67%81%55%
Points / game116.0120.6111.6
Allowed / game111.1110.6111.5
Point differential+4.9+10.0+0.0
Avg total227.1231.2223.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%57%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics4132978%120.6110.4+10.2
2 Minnesota Timberwolves42301271%113.1107.3+5.8
3 Milwaukee Bucks40281270%124.2120.4+3.8
4 Oklahoma City Thunder42291369%121.7113.7+8.1
5 Philadelphia 76ers41281368%119.5111.2+8.2
6 Denver Nuggets43291467%116.0111.1+4.9
7 Los Angeles Clippers41271466%117.8112.0+5.8
8 Cleveland Cavaliers40251562%113.7110.0+3.8
9 New York Knicks42261662%115.0109.7+5.3
10 New Orleans Pelicans41241759%117.1111.7+5.4
11 Phoenix Suns40231757%116.4114.5+1.9
12 Sacramento Kings40231757%118.3117.8+0.5
13 Dallas Mavericks42241857%118.5117.4+1.1
14 Miami Heat42241857%111.4110.8+0.6
15 Indiana Pacers40221855%125.4123.7+1.7
16 Orlando Magic42222052%111.9111.4+0.5
17 Utah Jazz44222250%117.3118.7-1.5
18 Houston Rockets41202149%112.6112.0+0.6
19 Chicago Bulls44212348%110.6112.0-1.4
20 Los Angeles Lakers41192246%114.1116.7-2.6
21 Golden State Warriors40182245%117.2118.2-1.0
22 Atlanta Hawks42182443%120.0122.5-2.4
23 Brooklyn Nets42172540%114.2115.8-1.6
24 Toronto Raptors43162737%114.7116.6-1.9
25 Memphis Grizzlies42152736%107.8113.6-5.8
26 Portland Trail Blazers41122929%107.5116.7-9.2
27 Charlotte Hornets4093122%108.3119.8-11.5
28 San Antonio Spurs4283419%112.5121.5-8.9
29 Washington Wizards4173417%115.7125.2-9.5
30 Detroit Pistons4243810%112.4123.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards24282626104
Denver Nuggets33292724113
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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