PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 108-113
30-33 23-28 32-24 23-28
Position#22
Record33-43
FormWLWLL
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game116.6
Washington Wizards
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record50-23
FormLWWWW
Points / game111.9
Allowed / game106.9
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets
24 Mar 2027
WAS v DEN
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
WAS97
DEN107
07 Dec 2024
WAS122
DEN113
21 Jan 2024
WAS104
DEN113
22 Mar 2023
WAS104
DEN118
16 Mar 2022
WAS109
DEN127
17 Feb 2021
WAS130
DEN128
04 Jan 2020
WAS128
DEN114
21 Mar 2019
WAS108
DEN113
23 Mar 2018
WAS100
DEN108
08 Dec 2016
WAS92
DEN85
28 Jan 2016
WAS113
DEN117
05 Dec 2014
WAS119
DEN89
09 Dec 2013
WAS74
DEN75
16 Jul 2013
WAS97
DEN69
22 Feb 2013
WAS119
DEN113
20 Jan 2012
WAS104
DEN108
25 Jan 2011
WAS109
DEN120
19 Feb 2010
WAS107
DEN97
06 Feb 2009
WAS103
DEN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
135-121
135
121
+14
H03/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
132-123
132
123
+9
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
111-112
111
112
-1
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
130-135 OT
130
135
-5
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
121-115
121
115
+6
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H13/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
110-116
110
116
-6
H15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
135-128
135
128
+7
H16/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
95-116
95
116
-21
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
120-126 OT
120
126
-6
A21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-36
22-28
35-23
38-34
33-43
36-22
30-31
33-27
22-32
30-19
31-31
28-30
39-28
32-32
28-35
22-26
28-20
31-40
31-21
31-34
29-28
32-25
15-21
24-16
26-40
27-26
25-29
32-21
35-37
34-34
36-32
30-25
24-31
21-26
26-34
24-25
28-35
32-25
21-25
32-28
237.1Avg total
118.9Scored
118.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)114.4116.6230.9-2.243%
Season at home (38)117.4114.6232.0+2.961%
Season away (38)111.3118.6229.9-7.326%
Last 10 (10)118.9118.2237.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)112.0115.2227.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)114.7122.1236.8-7.418%
vs Similar (14)117.6115.4232.9+2.257%
vs Weaker (5)117.4114.6232.0+2.860%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
121-112
121
112
+9
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
104-111
104
111
-7
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
112-120
112
120
-8
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
103-104
103
104
-1
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
115-99
115
99
+16
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
133-107
133
107
+26
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
100-99
100
99
+1
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
114-105
114
105
+9
A18/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
35-25
27-27
30-34
22-19
15-33
33-29
34-30
39-27
32-40
22-29
19-24
17-36
31-22
21-27
34-19
43-25
23-24
19-28
30-22
20-30
30-37
25-23
30-32
31-20
27-28
36-30
39-29
26-29
25-28
28-32
21-10
25-36
32-24
22-15
23-25
24-22
31-30
25-28
34-25
218.8Avg total
110.9Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)111.9106.9218.8+5.068%
Season at home (36)115.6104.8220.4+10.983%
Season away (37)108.2109.0217.2-0.854%
Last 10 (10)110.9107.9218.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)110.8106.6217.4+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)113.5110.3223.9+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)114.5107.5222.0+7.173%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +4.4+4.4
Washington WizardsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H03/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H07/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H13/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H16/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A21/03
NBA
120.8Avg total
60.1Scored
60.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.559.2117.7-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.059.1116.1-2.135%-
Last 30 away (13)60.559.4119.9+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)60.160.7120.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)57.661.4119.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)55.861.6117.5-5.827%-
vs Similar (14)60.057.8117.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (5)60.457.8118.2+2.640%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#9
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#3
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A09/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#11
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A18/03
NBA
111.8Avg total
55.7Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.758.9117.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.258.2120.4+4.165%-
Last 30 away (13)54.059.8113.8-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)55.756.1111.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.256.8111.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)59.159.9118.9-0.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)58.357.9116.2+0.347%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.330.2
54.6%
51.7%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.511.8
35.2%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws25.520.5
80.4%
76.6%20.5
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.529.0
51.3%
51.7%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.2
36.3%
35.4%36.6
🏀 Free throws20.615.9
77.2%
76.6%15.9
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLWLWWLLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLWLLLW
#22
League position
#4
+0.6
Net rating
+2.8
112.3
Offensive rating
109.3
111.7
Defensive rating
106.5
53.9%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.2%
3-point %
36.3%
61.7%
Assist %
68.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 109.3Defence111.7 · 106.5Shooting53.9% · 52.5%3-point %35.2% · 36.3%Ball care13.4% · 13.4%Off. rebounds23.4% · 25.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Washington Wizards wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
23/03/18Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets100-108
24/10/17Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards104-109
09/03/17Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards113-123
09/12/16Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets92-85
13/03/16Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards116-100
29/01/16Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets113-117
26/01/15Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards115-117 OT
06/12/14Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets119-89
23/03/14Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards105-102
10/12/13Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets74-75
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/19AChicago Bulls120-126 OT
18/03/19HUtah Jazz95-116
16/03/19HMemphis Grizzlies135-128
15/03/19HCharlotte Hornets110-116
13/03/19HOrlando Magic100-90
11/03/19HSacramento Kings121-115
10/03/19AMinnesota Timberwolves130-135 OT
09/03/19ACharlotte Hornets111-112
07/03/19HDallas Mavericks132-123
03/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves135-121
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/19ABoston Celtics114-105
17/03/19HIndiana Pacers102-100
15/03/19HDallas Mavericks100-99
13/03/19HMinnesota Timberwolves133-107
09/03/19AGolden State Warriors105-122
07/03/19ALos Angeles Lakers115-99
05/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs103-104
03/03/19HNew Orleans Pelicans112-120
01/03/19HUtah Jazz104-111
27/02/19HOklahoma City Thunder121-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWWLWL61%
AwayWLLLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %43%61%26%
Points / game114.4117.4111.3
Allowed / game116.6114.6118.6
Point differential-2.2+2.9-7.3
Avg total230.9232.0229.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%32%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)44% (9)50% (8)
Overtime %11%13%8%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeLLWWW83%
AwayWLWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733637
Win %68%83%54%
Points / game111.9115.6108.2
Allowed / game106.9104.8109.0
Point differential+5.0+10.9-0.8
Avg total218.8220.4217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%47%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (22)88% (8)79% (14)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks76562074%117.8108.4+9.4
2 Toronto Raptors76542271%114.3108.4+5.9
3 Denver Nuggets73502368%111.9106.9+5.0
4 Golden State Warriors75492665%117.3111.9+5.4
5 Philadelphia 76ers75492665%115.3111.9+3.4
6 Houston Rockets76482863%113.2109.8+3.4
7 Portland Trail Blazers76472962%114.0110.2+3.8
8 Utah Jazz74452961%111.0106.1+4.9
9 Indiana Pacers76463061%107.7104.0+3.6
10 Los Angeles Clippers75453060%114.6113.0+1.6
11 Oklahoma City Thunder76453159%114.2110.6+3.6
12 San Antonio Spurs77453258%111.6109.8+1.8
13 Boston Celtics76443258%112.1107.7+4.4
14 Detroit Pistons75383751%107.3107.7-0.5
15 Brooklyn Nets77393851%111.2111.9-0.6
16 Miami Heat77383949%106.5106.3+0.2
17 Charlotte Hornets75354047%110.6111.4-0.8
18 Sacramento Kings75354047%113.5115.4-1.8
19 Orlando Magic76354146%105.4105.7-0.3
20 Los Angeles Lakers77344344%111.8114.0-2.1
21 Minnesota Timberwolves76334343%112.3114.2-2.0
22 Washington Wizards76334343%114.4116.6-2.2
23 Memphis Grizzlies76314541%102.7105.4-2.7
24 New Orleans Pelicans79314839%115.5116.7-1.2
25 Dallas Mavericks74294539%108.6110.4-1.8
26 Atlanta Hawks77265134%112.4118.4-6.0
27 Chicago Bulls78235529%105.4112.7-7.3
28 Cleveland Cavaliers76215528%104.5113.1-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns76185824%106.7115.8-9.1
30 New York Knicks77176022%105.5113.9-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards30233223108
Denver Nuggets33282428113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.