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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 114-120
28-29 15-34 36-23 35-34
Position#29
Record5-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game105.6
Allowed / game111.7
vs
Position#17
Record6-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game108.6
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
121-124
121
124
-3
109avg 90
A09/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
107-100
107
100
+7
99avg 90
H10/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
104-122
104
122
-18
87avg 90
H13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
120-133
120
133
-13
111avg 90
A14/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
104-120
104
120
-16
87avg 90
A17/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
116-96
116
96
+20
103avg 90
A19/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
105-120
105
120
-15
86avg 90
A20/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
101-106
101
106
-5
93avg 90
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
92-87
92
87
+5
85avg 90
A24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
85-98
85
98
-13
76avg 90
H26/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-42
30-21
27-26
39-35
19-28
35-23
27-25
26-24
21-23
24-35
38-32
21-32
32-28
27-34
33-37
28-34
17-28
26-33
33-28
28-31
27-18
30-31
32-33
27-14
19-32
29-26
27-34
30-28
20-26
26-24
34-25
21-31
24-22
22-22
22-22
24-21
27-29
25-18
23-20
10-31
216.1Avg total
105.5Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)105.6111.7217.3-6.129%
Season at home (6)101.3109.0210.3-7.733%
Season away (11)107.9113.2221.1-5.327%
Last 10 (10)105.5110.6216.1-5.130%
Last 5 (5)99.8101.4201.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)104.6109.5214.1-4.926%
vs Similar (11)105.6109.8215.5-4.236%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
107-108
107
108
-1
106avg 95
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
101-125
101
125
-24
89avg 95
H11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
95-106
95
106
-11
80avg 95
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
105-112
105
112
-7
90avg 95
A14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
120-104
120
104
+16
113avg 95
H17/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
111-113 OT
111
113
-2
114avg 95
H19/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
105-91
105
91
+14
101avg 95
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
110-107
110
107
+3
102avg 95
H23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
83-108
83
108
-25
62avg 95
A24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
129-132 OT
129
132
-3
125avg 95
H26/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
30-30
20-23
31-29
19-38
32-27
24-34
26-26
21-36
28-21
22-23
24-26
28-20
29-30
15-36
33-26
28-17
33-26
28-33
31-28
19-29
38-23
25-25
20-25
24-14
29-27
23-22
29-28
19-31
41-29
31-28
19-19
27-36
20-17
14-31
22-24
30-31
33-31
26-22
33-38
217.2Avg total
106.6Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)106.2108.6214.8-2.438%
Season at home (8)110.5111.6222.1-1.138%
Season away (8)101.9105.5207.4-3.638%
Last 10 (10)106.6110.6217.2-4.030%
Last 5 (5)107.6110.2217.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)96.1110.6206.8-14.525%
vs Similar (19)103.9107.0210.9-3.132%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)113.3104.0217.3+9.3100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
55-63
55
63
-8
A09/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H10/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A14/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A17/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A19/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A20/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H26/11
NBA
104.8Avg total
50.5Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.253.3103.5-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.051.7100.7-2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)51.154.5105.6-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)50.554.3104.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)49.849.699.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)50.953.4104.3-2.547%-
vs Similar (11)48.953.1102.0-4.227%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A09/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A14/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H17/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H21/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A24/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H26/11
NBA
109.3Avg total
55.4Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.453.4107.8+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.154.4108.5-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)54.652.6107.2+1.938%-
Last 10 (10)55.453.9109.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.6109.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)50.154.5104.6-4.412%-
vs Similar (19)55.754.4110.1+1.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)57.344.7102.0+12.7100%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 105.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.631.5
49.5%
50.2%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.0
33.1%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
77.0%18.5
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 106.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.929.6
47.1%
50.2%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.4
36.0%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws26.719.2
71.9%
77.0%19.2
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWLLWLLLWL
Denver Nuggets
LLWWLWLLLL
#29
League position
#17
-4.9
Net rating
-3.9
101.7
Offensive rating
104.2
106.7
Defensive rating
108.1
49.5%
Effective FG%
49.1%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
36.0%
49.4%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 104.2Defence106.7 · 108.1Shooting49.5% · 49.1%3-point %33.1% · 36.0%Ball care15.8% · 14.6%Off. rebounds26.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Phoenix Suns wins
4
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/16HMinnesota Timberwolves85-98
24/11/16AOrlando Magic92-87
22/11/16AWashington Wizards101-106
20/11/16APhiladelphia 76ers105-120
19/11/16AIndiana Pacers116-96
17/11/16ADenver Nuggets104-120
14/11/16AGolden State Warriors120-133
13/11/16HBrooklyn Nets104-122
10/11/16HDetroit Pistons107-100
09/11/16APortland Trail Blazers121-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/16HOklahoma City Thunder129-132 OT
24/11/16AUtah Jazz83-108
23/11/16HChicago Bulls110-107
21/11/16HUtah Jazz105-91
19/11/16HToronto Raptors111-113 OT
17/11/16HPhoenix Suns120-104
14/11/16APortland Trail Blazers105-112
13/11/16HDetroit Pistons95-106
11/11/16HGolden State Warriors101-125
09/11/16AMemphis Grizzlies107-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLWLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %29%33%27%
Points / game105.6101.3107.9
Allowed / game111.7109.0113.2
Point differential-6.1-7.7-5.3
Avg total217.3210.3221.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %18%17%18%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeWLWWL38%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game106.2110.5101.9
Allowed / game108.6111.6105.5
Point differential-2.4-1.1-3.6
Avg total214.8222.1207.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %19%38%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1715288%118.4105.2+13.2
2 Cleveland Cavaliers1513287%112.0102.8+9.2
3 Los Angeles Clippers1714382%110.197.8+12.3
4 San Antonio Spurs1714382%104.498.6+5.8
5 Memphis Grizzlies1711665%97.696.9+0.7
6 Chicago Bulls1610662%105.399.0+6.3
7 Atlanta Hawks1610662%102.198.5+3.6
8 Houston Rockets1610662%108.5104.9+3.6
9 Toronto Raptors1610662%108.3104.9+3.4
10 Charlotte Hornets169756%105.8103.4+2.4
11 Boston Celtics169756%104.0103.4+0.6
12 Oklahoma City Thunder1810856%106.8105.4+1.4
13 Utah Jazz179853%96.692.8+3.8
14 New York Knicks168850%103.3106.3-3.0
15 Portland Trail Blazers189950%109.4112.8-3.4
16 Indiana Pacers178947%104.2107.2-2.9
17 Los Angeles Lakers178947%108.2111.9-3.7
18 Detroit Pistons1881044%97.597.1+0.4
19 Milwaukee Bucks146843%101.5102.8-1.3
20 Denver Nuggets1661038%106.2108.6-2.4
21 Sacramento Kings1661038%102.5105.5-3.0
22 Orlando Magic1661038%91.998.6-6.7
23 New Orleans Pelicans1761135%104.0106.8-2.8
24 Washington Wizards1551033%102.1105.1-3.0
25 Minnesota Timberwolves1651131%103.1103.5-0.4
26 Miami Heat1651131%95.697.4-1.8
27 Phoenix Suns1751229%105.6111.7-6.1
28 Brooklyn Nets1541127%104.9113.5-8.6
29 Philadelphia 76ers1741324%98.1107.1-9.0
30 Dallas Mavericks1521313%91.5101.7-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns28153635114
Denver Nuggets29342334120
← all games of the day
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