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Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 109-127
28-34 24-39 29-31 28-23
Position#21
Record29-38
FormWLLLL
Points / game108.3
Allowed / game111.4
Washington Wizards
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets 🏆
USA
Position#11
Record41-28
FormWWLLW
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· Capital One Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets
24 Mar 2027
WAS v DEN
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
WAS97
DEN107
07 Dec 2024
WAS122
DEN113
21 Jan 2024
WAS104
DEN113
22 Mar 2023
WAS104
DEN118
16 Mar 2022
WAS109
DEN127
17 Feb 2021
WAS130
DEN128
04 Jan 2020
WAS128
DEN114
21 Mar 2019
WAS108
DEN113
23 Mar 2018
WAS100
DEN108
08 Dec 2016
WAS92
DEN85
28 Jan 2016
WAS113
DEN117
05 Dec 2014
WAS119
DEN89
09 Dec 2013
WAS74
DEN75
22 Feb 2013
WAS119
DEN113
20 Jan 2012
WAS104
DEN108
25 Jan 2011
WAS109
DEN120
19 Feb 2010
WAS107
DEN97
06 Feb 2009
WAS103
DEN124
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
117-103
117
103
+14
113avg 105
A18/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
153-157 OT
153
157
-4
144avg 105
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 105
A27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
116-113
116
113
+3
114avg 105
H02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
114-117
114
117
-3
119avg 105
H05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
133-123
133
123
+10
130avg 105
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
109-115
109
115
-6
102avg 105
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
L
109-122
109
122
-13
99avg 105
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
118-127
118
127
-9
111avg 105
A13/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
112-126
112
126
-14
106avg 105
A15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
29-23
23-27
39-25
33-30
38-45
29-26
30-29
23-18
19-22
28-26
16-26
27-24
36-40
24-21
29-28
25-33
34-35
25-25
30-24
30-26
27-35
39-26
37-36
29-28
26-29
30-26
24-32
26-26
33-26
23-37
27-33
26-38
28-34
37-31
27-24
30-33
27-40
27-28
28-25
236.2Avg total
116.7Scored
119.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)108.3111.4219.7-3.043%
Season at home (34)111.2112.3223.5-1.150%
Season away (33)105.4110.4215.8-5.036%
Last 10 (10)116.7119.5236.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)116.2122.6238.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)100.0109.5209.5-9.518%
vs Similar (11)118.8121.2240.0-2.427%
vs Weaker (8)111.8110.9222.6+0.962%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
115-110
115
110
+5
113avg 107
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-92
124
92
+32
126avg 107
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
107-119
107
119
-12
100avg 107
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
116-101
116
101
+15
108avg 107
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
138-130 OT
138
130
+8
138avg 107
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
131-124
131
124
+7
134avg 107
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
106-100
106
100
+6
108avg 107
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
102-113
102
113
-11
92avg 107
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
115-127
115
127
-12
117avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
114-110
114
110
+4
113avg 107
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-30
21-29
26-26
30-25
32-27
33-21
21-22
38-22
24-24
33-31
22-31
28-33
25-26
26-20
36-24
29-31
35-19
27-38
22-37
40-30
40-31
31-38
33-32
27-23
32-29
31-22
17-26
26-23
29-30
31-21
24-37
18-25
25-28
38-37
36-28
16-34
22-37
31-21
28-30
33-22
229.4Avg total
116.8Scored
112.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)111.1108.5219.7+2.659%
Season at home (33)113.4109.5222.9+3.861%
Season away (36)109.1107.6216.7+1.558%
Last 10 (10)116.8112.6229.4+4.270%
Last 5 (5)113.6114.8228.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0108.0210.0-6.00%
vs Similar (18)118.5116.5235.0+2.061%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)119.7105.7225.5+14.091%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
Washington WizardsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A18/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H26/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H02/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A10/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A13/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A15/03
NBA
118.5Avg total
57.2Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.558.5113.0-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.458.9115.3-2.628%-
Last 30 away (12)51.857.8109.5-6.033%-
Last 10 (10)57.261.3118.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)56.463.0119.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)49.458.2107.5-8.827%-
vs Similar (11)60.259.4119.5+0.836%-
vs Weaker (8)53.957.6111.5-3.825%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H27/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
65-48
65
48
+17
A28/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H08/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H11/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A14/03
NBA
116.3Avg total
60.4Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.858.1118.9+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.458.7121.1+3.665%-
Last 30 away (13)58.857.2116.0+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)60.455.9116.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)62.058.8120.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.051.0111.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (18)59.961.1121.1-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)62.353.7116.0+8.582%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 116.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.630.7
54.2%
53.1%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.612.6
42.6%
35.3%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.617.5
81.0%
77.4%17.5
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.130.3
61.7%
53.1%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.3
32.3%
35.3%33.9
🏀 Free throws28.722.3
77.7%
77.4%22.3
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Washington Wizards
LLLLWLWLLW
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWWWLWW
#21
League position
#11
-2.8
Net rating
+4.1
116.0
Offensive rating
114.3
118.8
Defensive rating
110.2
57.5%
Effective FG%
56.2%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
13.0%
Turnover %
13.7%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
42.6%
3-point %
32.3%
64.9%
Assist %
68.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 114.3Defence118.8 · 110.2Shooting57.5% · 56.2%3-point %42.6% · 32.3%Ball care13.0% · 13.7%Off. rebounds21.4% · 20.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Washington Wizards   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Washington Wizards wins
5
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
14/12/21Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards113-107
26/02/21Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards110-112
18/02/21Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets130-128
22/07/20Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards89-82
05/01/20Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets128-114
27/11/19Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards117-104
01/04/19Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards90-95
21/03/19Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets108-113
23/03/18Washington Wizards v Denver Nuggets100-108
24/10/17Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards104-109
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/22AGolden State Warriors112-126
13/03/22APortland Trail Blazers118-127
12/03/22ALos Angeles Lakers109-122
10/03/22ALos Angeles Clippers109-115
06/03/22HIndiana Pacers133-123
05/03/22HAtlanta Hawks114-117
02/03/22HDetroit Pistons116-113
27/02/22ACleveland Cavaliers86-92
26/02/22HSan Antonio Spurs153-157 OT
18/02/22ABrooklyn Nets117-103
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers114-110
13/03/22HToronto Raptors115-127
11/03/22HGolden State Warriors102-113
10/03/22ASacramento Kings106-100
08/03/22HGolden State Warriors131-124
07/03/22HNew Orleans Pelicans138-130 OT
05/03/22HHouston Rockets116-101
03/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder107-119
28/02/22APortland Trail Blazers124-92
27/02/22HSacramento Kings115-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Washington Wizards
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673433
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game108.3111.2105.4
Allowed / game111.4112.3110.4
Point differential-3.0-1.1-5.0
Avg total219.7223.5215.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (22)50% (16)83% (6)
Overtime %6%9%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayWWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693336
Win %59%61%58%
Points / game111.1113.4109.1
Allowed / game108.5109.5107.6
Point differential+2.6+3.8+1.5
Avg total219.7222.9216.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (17)80% (5)67% (12)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns69551480%114.3106.2+8.1
2 Memphis Grizzlies70482269%114.7109.4+5.3
3 Golden State Warriors69472268%111.6105.0+6.6
4 Miami Heat70462466%109.4104.7+4.6
5 Milwaukee Bucks69432662%114.6110.7+3.9
6 Utah Jazz68422662%113.8107.6+6.2
7 Dallas Mavericks68422662%106.6103.5+3.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers67412661%108.5106.7+1.9
9 Chicago Bulls68412760%112.1110.7+1.4
10 Boston Celtics69412859%109.5103.9+5.6
11 Denver Nuggets69412859%111.1108.5+2.6
12 Cleveland Cavaliers68392957%106.9103.8+3.1
13 Minnesota Timberwolves70403057%115.1112.0+3.1
14 Toronto Raptors68383056%108.9107.3+1.6
15 Brooklyn Nets69363352%111.9111.7+0.2
16 Los Angeles Clippers71363551%107.0107.8-0.8
17 Atlanta Hawks68343450%112.9112.1+0.8
18 Charlotte Hornets69343549%114.9114.9-0.1
19 Washington Wizards67293843%108.3111.4-3.0
20 Los Angeles Lakers68293943%111.0113.6-2.6
21 New York Knicks68284041%105.9107.0-1.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans69284141%108.3110.2-1.9
23 Portland Trail Blazers67264139%107.3113.6-6.3
24 San Antonio Spurs69264338%112.9113.5-0.6
25 Sacramento Kings70254536%110.3115.3-5.0
26 Indiana Pacers70234733%110.5113.3-2.8
27 Oklahoma City Thunder68204829%102.8110.7-8.0
28 Detroit Pistons69185126%103.5112.3-8.8
29 Orlando Magic70185226%104.2112.2-8.0
30 Houston Rockets68175125%108.9118.2-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Washington Wizards28242928109
Denver Nuggets34393123127
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