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Alba Berlin vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 66-81
15-20 15-22 15-23 21-16
Position#18
Record5-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#14
Record12-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Valencia
01 Feb 2024
ABE66
VAL81
26 Jan 2023
ABE88
VAL94
02 Apr 2021
ABE86
VAL90
12 Apr 2019
ABE95
VAL92
08 Feb 2017
ABE73
VAL99
25 Mar 2014
ABE78
VAL73
18 Apr 2010
ABE44
VAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
60avg 79
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 79
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 79
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-63
88
63
+25
90avg 79
A12/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
95avg 79
H14/01
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
65-82
65
82
-17
57avg 79
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
95avg 79
A21/01
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 79
H25/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 79
A28/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#4
L
87-101
87
101
-14
81avg 79
A30/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-26
18-22
24-15
17-20
23-15
18-18
19-28
17-36
17-16
18-21
23-23
18-22
19-20
22-17
21-13
26-13
17-17
25-20
22-14
26-31
19-19
11-24
21-23
14-16
25-30
19-14
27-23
24-20
18-16
33-20
21-18
17-26
19-14
20-23
15-22
21-17
17-20
31-25
13-33
26-23
164.3Avg total
81.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.584.8161.2-8.321%
Season at home (12)76.883.7160.5-6.833%
Season away (12)76.185.8161.9-9.88%
Last 10 (10)81.083.3164.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)82.285.2167.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.184.6160.7-8.621%
vs Similar (3)88.782.7171.3+6.067%
vs Weaker (8)86.284.9171.1+1.462%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
81-82
81
82
-1
79avg 71
H05/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
77avg 71
H07/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 71
H09/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
86-96 OT
86
96
-10
77avg 71
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
88-80
88
80
+8
80avg 71
H14/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 71
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
85-75
85
75
+10
70avg 71
A21/01
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 71
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
50avg 71
H28/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
64-82
64
82
-18
52avg 71
A30/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
24-25
22-19
12-16
24-17
16-20
19-24
20-25
21-27
21-21
22-14
15-22
24-16
16-19
15-23
27-24
24-24
18-23
17-21
29-12
21-19
11-21
29-19
23-13
13-20
23-19
22-20
27-16
16-13
29-16
13-19
19-14
7-19
18-22
17-16
21-26
12-11
18-28
19-22
15-21
158.8Avg total
78.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.476.3152.7+0.050%
Season at home (13)78.976.9155.8+2.062%
Season away (11)73.475.6149.0-2.336%
Last 10 (10)78.680.2158.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)74.674.8149.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.980.0152.9-7.112%
vs Similar (16)78.178.8156.9-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.077.8161.8+6.267%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
Alba BerlinValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/01
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A21/01
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H25/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/01
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
39.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.183.7-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.342.682.9-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.684.4-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.779.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.083.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.243.782.9-4.626%-
vs Similar (3)47.039.786.7+7.3100%-
vs Weaker (8)41.543.084.5-1.538%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H05/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A11/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H14/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H19/01
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/01
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A26/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H28/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/01
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
37.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.778.7-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.142.182.2-1.931%-
Last 30 away (14)37.637.174.7+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.278.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.671.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.239.977.1-2.638%-
vs Similar (16)39.138.677.7+0.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.842.783.5-1.817%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.8
51.3%
53.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.6
38.9%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.916.0
80.4%
77.4%16.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.4
52.3%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.5
30.7%
36.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
77.4%14.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWWLWWLLL
Valencia
LLWWWWLLLL
#18
League position
#14
-4.6
Net rating
-1.2
111.0
Offensive rating
106.8
115.5
Defensive rating
108.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
49.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.9%
3-point %
30.7%
63.1%
Assist %
58.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 106.8Defence115.5 · 108.1Shooting54.2% · 49.9%3-point %38.9% · 30.7%Ball care19.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alba Berlin wins
8
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
02/11/23Valencia v Alba Berlin79-71
26/01/23Alba Berlin v Valencia88-94
27/10/22Valencia v Alba Berlin87-73
02/04/21Alba Berlin v Valencia86-90
03/12/20Valencia v Alba Berlin92-100
15/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-63
12/04/19Alba Berlin v Valencia95-92 OT
09/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-75
08/02/17Alba Berlin v Valencia73-99
11/01/17Valencia v Alba Berlin85-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24AOlympiacos87-101
28/01/24AWurzburg75-76
25/01/24HCrvena zvezda89-80
21/01/24ABonn95-87
18/01/24HBayern65-82
14/01/24HWurzburg90-82
12/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne88-63
09/01/24AOlimpia Milano76-82
07/01/24ABamberg77-97
05/01/24HVirtus Bologna68-83
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24ACrvena zvezda64-82
28/01/24HUnicaja63-83
26/01/24ABaskonia77-62
21/01/24ABasket Zaragoza85-75
19/01/24HOlimpia Milano84-72
14/01/24HBreogan88-80
11/01/24AReal Madrid86-96 OT
09/01/24HZalgiris Kaunas79-84
07/01/24HGran Canaria79-86
05/01/24HPanathinaikos81-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL21%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLWL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%33%8%
Points / game76.576.876.1
Allowed / game84.883.785.8
Point differential-8.3-6.8-9.8
Avg total161.2160.5161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%62%36%
Points / game76.478.973.4
Allowed / game76.376.975.6
Point differential+0.0+2.0-2.3
Avg total152.7155.8149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%8%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2421388%89.779.9+9.8
2 Barcelona2416867%82.578.6+3.8
3 Panathinaikos2415962%81.777.9+3.8
4 Fenerbahce2415962%84.081.4+2.6
5 Virtus Bologna2415962%80.381.1-0.8
6 Monaco24141058%81.579.5+2.0
7 Olympiacos24131154%78.875.8+3.0
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv24131154%86.487.6-1.2
9 Valencia24121250%76.476.3+0.0
10 Partizan24121250%83.283.6-0.5
11 Baskonia24121250%82.583.7-1.1
12 Crvena zvezda24101442%81.980.2+1.8
13 Olimpia Milano24101442%76.976.6+0.3
14 Bayern24101442%79.982.8-2.8
15 Zalgiris Kaunas2491538%79.880.8-1.1
16 Anadolu Efes2491538%84.088.0-4.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2451921%78.285.8-7.6
18 Alba Berlin2451921%76.584.8-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1515152166
Valencia2022231681
← all games of the day
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