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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 95-92
36-26 17-30 28-21 14-15
Position#22
Record17-27
FormLLLWL
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Position#7
Record24-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game100.9
Allowed / game98.5
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
16 Jul 2024
DEN66
CHA80
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
107-111
107
111
-4
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
112-122
112
122
-10
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
103-110
103
110
-7
A31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
106-112
106
112
-6
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A07/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-26
30-25
16-32
27-28
33-21
23-29
23-22
25-24
20-22
22-34
23-20
21-25
31-32
30-21
29-38
22-31
21-26
21-27
20-19
25-21
27-26
24-32
20-26
32-26
13-37
34-26
30-27
25-12
22-23
34-38
24-19
26-32
21-25
21-19
24-21
12-9
30-29
7-20
29-18
18-24
199.6Avg total
97.5Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)98.6102.0200.7-3.439%
Season at home (18)100.4102.8203.3-2.439%
Season away (26)97.4101.5198.8-4.138%
Last 10 (10)97.5102.1199.6-4.620%
Last 5 (5)95.899.6195.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)96.4105.8202.2-9.410%
vs Similar (18)98.3100.8199.1-2.544%
vs Weaker (2)107.5108.0215.5-0.550%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#18
L
95-102
95
102
-7
A22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
89-102
89
102
-13
H24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
98-92
98
92
+6
H27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
108-98
108
98
+10
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
117-122
117
122
-5
H31/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
94-104
94
104
-10
A02/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
90-109
90
109
-19
H03/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
101-111
101
111
-10
A05/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
102-111
102
111
-9
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
16-18
16-24
35-33
21-29
19-18
22-27
27-28
30-28
23-25
21-21
24-18
31-26
27-32
27-23
23-17
25-32
31-33
30-27
31-30
28-29
27-26
27-19
12-30
22-34
32-32
22-21
14-22
24-32
30-30
23-33
24-16
32-34
20-26
33-26
17-25
18-27
28-16
18-27
19-27
202.5Avg total
97.7Scored
104.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)100.998.5199.4+2.355%
Season at home (23)102.697.6200.2+5.070%
Season away (21)99.099.5198.5-0.638%
Last 10 (10)97.7104.8202.5-7.120%
Last 5 (5)94.0106.4200.4-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)96.7112.0208.7-15.30%
vs Similar (14)98.599.1197.6-0.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)105.199.3204.4+5.877%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A09/01
NBA
103.6Avg total
49.8Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.153.7104.8-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.754.7108.4-1.038%-
Last 30 away (17)49.152.9102.0-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)49.853.8103.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)46.655.0101.6-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)50.054.6104.6-4.620%-
vs Similar (18)50.953.0103.9-2.139%-
vs Weaker (2)58.055.0113.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#18
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H31/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A02/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H03/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A05/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A09/01
NBA
106.6Avg total
51.2Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.151.6104.8+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.350.4104.7+3.856%-
Last 30 away (12)51.453.4104.8-2.042%-
Last 10 (10)51.255.4106.6-4.210%-
Last 5 (5)52.257.2109.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)53.062.7115.7-9.70%-
vs Similar (14)52.649.3101.9+3.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)53.851.6105.4+2.254%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 97.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.530.2
46.8%
49.0%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.013.7
72.1%
75.5%13.7
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 97.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.424.7
44.6%
49.0%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.0
31.9%
35.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws26.521.3
80.4%
75.5%21.3
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLLLLWL
Charlotte Hornets
LLLLLLWWLL
#22
League position
#7
-4.8
Net rating
-7.3
102.2
Offensive rating
101.0
107.0
Defensive rating
108.4
47.1%
Effective FG%
45.7%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.0%
Turnover %
12.1%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.8%
3-point %
31.9%
59.5%
Assist %
56.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 101.0Defence107.0 · 108.4Shooting47.1% · 45.7%3-point %31.8% · 31.9%Ball care14.0% · 12.1%Off. rebounds30.7% · 22.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/16AMemphis Grizzlies84-91
07/01/16AMinnesota Timberwolves78-74
04/01/16HPortland Trail Blazers106-112
03/01/16AGolden State Warriors108-111 OT
31/12/15APortland Trail Blazers103-110
30/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers87-93
28/12/15AOklahoma City Thunder112-122
27/12/15ASan Antonio Spurs86-101
24/12/15APhoenix Suns104-96
23/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers107-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/16ALos Angeles Clippers83-97
07/01/16APhoenix Suns102-111
05/01/16AGolden State Warriors101-111
03/01/16HOklahoma City Thunder90-109
02/01/16AToronto Raptors94-104
31/12/15HLos Angeles Clippers117-122
29/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers108-98
27/12/15HMemphis Grizzlies98-92
24/12/15HBoston Celtics89-102
22/12/15AHouston Rockets95-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeWLLLL39%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games441826
Win %39%39%38%
Points / game98.6100.497.4
Allowed / game102.0102.8101.5
Point differential-3.4-2.4-4.1
Avg total200.7203.3198.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%11%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %5%6%4%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL55%
HomeLWWLL70%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %55%70%38%
Points / game100.9102.699.0
Allowed / game98.597.699.5
Point differential+2.3+5.0-0.6
Avg total199.4200.2198.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%39%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)56% (9)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4438686%112.7102.7+10.0
2 San Antonio Spurs44341077%102.290.5+11.7
3 Oklahoma City Thunder42301271%108.4100.3+8.1
4 Cleveland Cavaliers42271564%100.496.1+4.4
5 Los Angeles Clippers44281664%103.0100.5+2.5
6 Toronto Raptors46291763%99.395.5+3.9
7 Chicago Bulls43261760%102.1101.2+0.9
8 Atlanta Hawks45271860%101.499.6+1.8
9 Indiana Pacers44261859%102.098.2+3.8
10 Miami Heat45261958%96.895.0+1.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies45261958%94.896.1-1.3
12 Orlando Magic45252056%99.298.7+0.5
13 Boston Celtics42231955%101.998.3+3.6
14 Charlotte Hornets44242055%100.998.5+2.3
15 Detroit Pistons45242153%101.598.5+3.0
16 New York Knicks44222250%98.198.8-0.7
17 Dallas Mavericks45222349%99.6100.6-1.0
18 Houston Rockets46222448%104.5105.9-1.3
19 Sacramento Kings43202347%105.8107.1-1.3
20 Washington Wizards41192246%102.0104.1-2.1
21 Utah Jazz43192444%96.897.3-0.5
22 Portland Trail Blazers46182839%101.4102.8-1.3
23 Denver Nuggets44172739%98.6102.0-3.4
24 Phoenix Suns45172838%102.6105.2-2.6
25 Milwaukee Bucks45172838%98.1103.8-5.7
26 New Orleans Pelicans43142933%101.6106.2-4.5
27 Minnesota Timberwolves45143131%98.1103.0-5.0
28 Brooklyn Nets42123029%96.0101.8-5.9
29 Los Angeles Lakers45103522%97.0106.0-9.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers4764113%93.3104.9-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets3617281495
Charlotte Hornets2630211592
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