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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 140-136
37-46 32-23 28-30 43-37
Position#22
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game121.0
vs
Position#21
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game119.5
Allowed / game117.5
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
103-97
103
97
+6
97avg 92
A28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
93-103
93
103
-10
77avg 92
A29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
92-93
92
93
-1
85avg 92
H31/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
87-98
87
98
-11
74avg 92
A01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 92
H04/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
100-105
100
105
-5
90avg 92
A04/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
106-113 OT
106
113
-7
97avg 92
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
97-109
97
109
-12
83avg 92
A08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
L
97-124
97
124
-27
75avg 92
H11/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
100-121
100
121
-21
90avg 92
A18/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
28-25
22-25
28-27
34-32
22-23
25-27
12-21
20-16
26-28
18-23
28-26
25-18
22-30
30-25
10-25
22-22
28-27
32-29
33-31
22-33
29-23
23-21
26-28
24-22
30-31
21-25
26-23
20-28
28-33
28-24
21-24
26-29
28-15
22-39
21-41
24-37
22-19
27-27
27-38
206.2Avg total
99.0Scored
107.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)100.0121.0221.0-21.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)100.0121.0221.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)99.0107.2206.2-8.220%
Last 5 (5)100.0114.4214.4-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)103.9110.1213.9-6.221%
vs Similar ◀ (14)104.2105.9210.1-1.629%
vs Weaker (2)98.5122.5221.0-24.00%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
113-96
113
96
+17
99avg 100
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
113-94
113
94
+19
112avg 100
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
112-106 OT
112
106
+6
101avg 100
H12/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
101-104
101
104
-3
96avg 100
A16/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 100
A19/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
121-105
121
105
+16
114avg 100
H21/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
100-119
100
119
-19
93avg 100
H24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
104-122
104
122
-18
98avg 100
A26/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
108-112
108
112
-4
96avg 100
A18/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
131-123
131
123
+8
126avg 100
H20/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
21-32
29-15
33-23
20-26
36-27
27-22
30-19
29-26
33-28
24-27
15-20
21-27
26-27
25-22
29-28
23-18
17-37
18-25
24-22
27-28
25-23
35-24
34-30
21-21
28-29
20-50
31-19
26-25
33-30
15-30
30-37
23-31
29-25
31-25
25-31
32-30
39-24
33-41
27-28
216.8Avg total
108.5Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)119.5117.5237.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)131.0123.0254.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)108.0112.0220.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)108.5108.3216.8+0.250%
Last 5 (5)112.8116.2229.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)105.2114.4219.7-9.222%
vs Similar ◀ (13)108.4111.1219.5-2.738%
vs Weaker (8)113.0104.0217.0+9.088%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -5.2-5.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A28/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H31/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H04/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A04/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A08/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H11/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A18/10
NBA
101.6Avg total
50.5Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.954.3106.2-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.353.0104.3-1.738%-
Last 30 away (17)52.455.2107.6-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)50.551.1101.6-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)50.654.0104.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)51.854.9106.7-3.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)52.354.2106.5-1.936%-
vs Weaker (2)50.050.0100.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H12/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A16/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A19/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H21/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A26/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A18/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H20/10
NBA
107.9Avg total
53.9Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.156.5110.5-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.858.5115.3-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)51.354.5105.8-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)53.954.0107.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.2109.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.357.0108.3-5.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)52.757.1109.8-4.431%-
vs Weaker (8)59.454.9114.2+4.562%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 99.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.325.5
49.7%
51.7%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.812.0
32.6%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws17.212.0
69.8%
76.6%12.0
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.331.5
49.0%
51.7%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.5
37.9%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.320.0
79.1%
76.6%20.0
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLLLLWLLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLWLLWWW
#22
League position
#21
-8.4
Net rating
+0.2
101.0
Offensive rating
109.9
109.3
Defensive rating
109.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
11.0%
Turnover %
11.6%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.6%
3-point %
37.9%
60.8%
Assist %
59.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 109.9Defence109.3 · 109.7Shooting49.4% · 51.0%3-point %32.6% · 37.9%Ball care11.0% · 11.6%Off. rebounds18.0% · 24.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/18APhoenix Suns100-121
11/04/18HPhoenix Suns97-124
08/04/18APhiladelphia 76ers97-109
06/04/18ADetroit Pistons106-113 OT
04/04/18AOrlando Magic100-105
04/04/18HPortland Trail Blazers115-109
01/04/18ACleveland Cavaliers87-98
31/03/18HMinnesota Timberwolves92-93
29/03/18ALos Angeles Lakers93-103
28/03/18ASacramento Kings103-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/18HCleveland Cavaliers131-123
18/10/18ASan Antonio Spurs108-112
26/04/18AHouston Rockets104-122
24/04/18HHouston Rockets100-119
21/04/18HHouston Rockets121-105
19/04/18AHouston Rockets82-102
16/04/18AHouston Rockets101-104
12/04/18HDenver Nuggets112-106 OT
10/04/18HMemphis Grizzlies113-94
07/04/18ALos Angeles Lakers113-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game100.0-100.0
Allowed / game121.0-121.0
Point differential-21.0--21.0
Avg total221.0-221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game119.5131.0108.0
Allowed / game117.5123.0112.0
Point differential+2.0+8.0-4.0
Avg total237.0254.0220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns110100%121.0100.0+21.0
2 New Orleans Pelicans220100%140.0120.5+19.5
3 Toronto Raptors330100%115.3106.0+9.3
4 Denver Nuggets110100%107.098.0+9.0
5 Milwaukee Bucks220100%115.5106.5+9.0
6 Portland Trail Blazers110100%128.0119.0+9.0
7 Golden State Warriors220100%116.0111.5+4.5
8 San Antonio Spurs110100%112.0108.0+4.0
9 Detroit Pistons220100%110.5108.0+2.5
10 Charlotte Hornets32167%115.0104.3+10.7
11 Indiana Pacers32167%114.7104.3+10.3
12 Boston Celtics32167%103.0100.3+2.7
13 Philadelphia 76ers32167%110.0109.3+0.7
14 Los Angeles Clippers21150%103.099.5+3.5
15 Utah Jazz21150%123.0120.5+2.5
16 Minnesota Timberwolves21150%119.5117.5+2.0
17 Memphis Grizzlies21150%107.0114.0-7.0
18 New York Knicks31233%110.7105.7+5.0
19 Miami Heat31233%108.7109.7-1.0
20 Brooklyn Nets31233%106.3113.3-7.0
21 Orlando Magic31233%102.3112.3-10.0
22 Washington Wizards2020%112.5115.0-2.5
23 Los Angeles Lakers1010%119.0128.0-9.0
24 Cleveland Cavaliers2020%113.5123.5-10.0
25 Chicago Bulls2020%112.0122.5-10.5
26 Oklahoma City Thunder2020%96.0108.0-12.0
27 Sacramento Kings2020%123.0136.0-13.0
28 Atlanta Hawks2020%112.0128.5-16.5
29 Houston Rockets1010%112.0131.0-19.0
30 Dallas Mavericks1010%100.0121.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks37322843140
Minnesota Timberwolves46233037136
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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