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Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 04 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record7-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game110.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game107.0
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
121-105
121
105
+16
119avg 100
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
79avg 100
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
113-109
113
109
+4
111avg 100
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
120-96
120
96
+24
114avg 100
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
116-111
116
111
+5
111avg 100
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#29
L
100-115
100
115
-15
85avg 100
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-112
111
112
-1
98avg 100
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
112-100
112
100
+12
104avg 100
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
130-93
130
93
+37
134avg 100
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
125-122
125
122
+3
120avg 100
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
44-27
33-16
21-33
23-29
31-32
29-36
29-24
17-30
23-27
30-25
30-32
30-25
33-30
32-29
29-22
26-15
27-20
17-31
32-33
40-27
18-19
35-35
21-27
26-34
26-32
25-36
29-22
31-22
26-28
31-29
32-19
23-24
33-26
33-20
34-25
30-22
26-31
30-35
34-27
35-29
223.9Avg total
115.4Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.9110.3225.2+4.664%
Season at home (7)115.6108.4224.0+7.171%
Season away (4)113.8113.5227.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)115.4108.5223.9+6.970%
Last 5 (5)115.6108.4224.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)114.9125.2240.2-10.321%
vs Similar (5)119.8117.6237.4+2.260%
vs Weaker (6)116.8107.3224.2+9.583%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#23
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 105
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#16
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 105
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 105
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 105
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 105
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 105
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 105
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 105
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 105
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
223.9Avg total
116.8Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)118.1107.0225.1+11.173%
Season at home (5)117.0102.8219.8+14.280%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)116.8107.1223.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)114.0107.4221.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.0119.6224.6-14.629%
vs Similar (13)113.9114.8228.8-0.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)121.3106.0227.3+15.390%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
77-43
77
43
+34
A23/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
A26/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#29
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H03/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A05/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H10/11
NBA
114.6Avg total
58.2Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.960.6118.5-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.260.3120.5-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)55.660.8116.4-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)58.256.4114.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.2114.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)55.863.1118.8-7.326%-
vs Similar (5)63.060.2123.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker (6)60.353.0113.3+7.350%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#23
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#16
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
109.7Avg total
56.9Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.3112.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.754.1111.8+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)55.956.2112.1-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)56.952.8109.7+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.2109.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.456.9107.3-6.414%-
vs Similar (13)56.957.1114.0-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)60.851.8112.6+9.0100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.530.1
57.3%
54.0%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.5
37.1%
35.0%40.5
🏀 Free throws23.818.6
78.2%
76.8%18.6
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.2
51.7%
54.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.2
36.5%
35.0%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.219.2
70.6%
76.8%19.2
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWWLLWWWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLLWW
#12
League position
#5
+6.0
Net rating
+2.9
112.7
Offensive rating
110.4
106.8
Defensive rating
107.6
56.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.1%
3-point %
36.5%
63.1%
Assist %
57.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 110.4Defence106.8 · 107.6Shooting56.6% · 52.9%3-point %37.1% · 36.5%Ball care15.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds31.0% · 34.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HIndiana Pacers125-122
09/11/26HBrooklyn Nets130-93
07/11/26HUtah Jazz112-100
05/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-112
03/11/26HSacramento Kings100-115
31/10/26HHouston Rockets116-111
29/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder120-96
26/10/26AMiami Heat113-109
25/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs106-122
23/10/26AIndiana Pacers121-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %64%71%50%
Points / game114.9115.6113.8
Allowed / game110.3108.4113.5
Point differential+4.6+7.1+0.2
Avg total225.2224.0227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game118.1117.0119.0
Allowed / game107.0102.8110.5
Point differential+11.1+14.2+8.5
Avg total225.1219.8229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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