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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 101-86
22-20 34-22 20-23 25-21
Position#2
Record27-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game89.9
vs
Position#22
Record16-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game102.1
USANBA· AT&T Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
09 Apr 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
08 Oct 2017
SAS122
DEN100
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
12 Oct 2012
SAS91
DEN97
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
119-68
119
68
+51
A08/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
94-97
94
97
-3
A10/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
109-87
109
87
+22
H12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
103-78
103
78
+25
A13/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
118-81
118
81
+37
H15/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
114-95
114
95
+19
H17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
115-107
115
107
+8
H19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
106-92
106
92
+14
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
108-83
108
83
+25
A24/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-17
32-12
31-23
23-16
21-27
25-26
16-20
32-24
31-27
20-22
28-22
30-16
22-13
25-12
32-30
24-23
29-15
30-21
39-22
20-23
26-31
29-21
31-19
28-24
26-30
29-25
30-33
30-19
23-21
27-27
29-22
27-22
28-16
24-22
25-23
31-22
22-25
21-13
17-23
24-27
194.6Avg total
107.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)100.589.9190.4+10.673%
Season at home (19)102.788.7191.5+14.095%
Season away (18)98.191.1189.2+7.150%
Last 10 (10)107.087.6194.6+19.480%
Last 5 (5)105.493.0198.4+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)101.688.0189.6+13.783%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
106-105
106
105
+1
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
108-105
108
105
+3
A05/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H09/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
H12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
114-108
114
108
+6
H15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
112-100
112
100
+12
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
125-130
125
130
-5
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
107-111
107
111
-4
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
27-23
25-29
25-34
29-25
23-34
25-26
31-20
26-26
21-14
16-22
11-23
23-29
18-27
32-22
27-22
36-22
18-36
34-24
26-26
27-24
36-25
29-31
20-20
23-30
26-23
24-24
15-20
31-36
43-31
22-32
29-31
34-26
30-25
16-32
27-28
33-21
23-29
23-22
25-24
209.4Avg total
104.9Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)99.3102.1201.4-2.844%
Season at home (16)100.9102.9203.8-1.944%
Season away (20)98.0101.5199.5-3.445%
Last 10 (10)104.9104.5209.4+0.460%
Last 5 (5)107.2106.8214.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)93.0106.1199.1-13.110%
vs Similar (17)99.4100.6200.0-1.353%
vs Weaker (3)111.7108.3220.0+3.367%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
65-29
65
29
+36
A08/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A10/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A13/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H15/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H17/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H19/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H22/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A24/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A26/12
NBA
94.6Avg total
52.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.741.891.6+7.983%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.643.494.1+7.288%-
Last 30 away (14)48.740.088.7+8.779%-
Last 10 (10)52.342.394.6+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)51.046.297.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)49.741.891.6+7.983%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A04/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A05/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H09/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A24/12
NBA
108.1Avg total
55.6Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.253.7104.9-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.753.1105.9-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)49.954.1104.1-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)55.652.5108.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)61.254.0115.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)48.154.5102.6-6.420%-
vs Similar (17)51.852.8104.6-1.147%-
vs Weaker (3)58.755.7114.3+3.067%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 106.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.8 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.134.4
55.4%
49.0%68.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.17.2
37.7%
35.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.016.0
80.0%
75.5%16.0
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 104.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.727.8
49.0%
49.0%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.5
38.0%
35.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.017.8
74.2%
75.5%17.8
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LWWWWWWWLW
Denver Nuggets
WLLLWWWLWW
#2
League position
#22
+19.0
Net rating
+0.4
113.8
Offensive rating
107.9
94.8
Defensive rating
107.5
55.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.1%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.7%
3-point %
38.0%
61.8%
Assist %
62.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 107.9Defence94.8 · 107.5Shooting55.7% · 51.7%3-point %37.7% · 38.0%Ball care14.2% · 14.1%Off. rebounds26.4% · 27.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/15AHouston Rockets84-88
24/12/15AMinnesota Timberwolves108-83
22/12/15HIndiana Pacers106-92
19/12/15HLos Angeles Clippers115-107
17/12/15HWashington Wizards114-95
15/12/15HUtah Jazz118-81
13/12/15AAtlanta Hawks103-78
12/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers109-87
10/12/15AToronto Raptors94-97
08/12/15APhiladelphia 76ers119-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/15APhoenix Suns104-96
23/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers107-111
21/12/15HNew Orleans Pelicans125-130
19/12/15AUtah Jazz88-97
16/12/15AMinnesota Timberwolves112-100
15/12/15HHouston Rockets114-108
12/12/15HMinnesota Timberwolves111-108 OT
09/12/15HOrlando Magic74-85
05/12/15APhiladelphia 76ers108-105
04/12/15AToronto Raptors106-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %73%95%50%
Points / game100.5102.798.1
Allowed / game89.988.791.1
Point differential+10.6+14.0+7.1
Avg total190.4191.5189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%68%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)100% (3)0% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayWWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361620
Win %44%44%45%
Points / game99.3100.998.0
Allowed / game102.1102.9101.5
Point differential-2.8-1.9-3.4
Avg total201.4203.8199.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%12%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3631586%112.4101.9+10.4
2 San Antonio Spurs37271073%100.589.9+10.6
3 Oklahoma City Thunder35241169%107.198.8+8.3
4 Toronto Raptors38241463%99.195.0+4.1
5 Charlotte Hornets37231462%101.296.8+4.3
6 Atlanta Hawks39241562%100.398.8+1.5
7 Indiana Pacers36221461%102.698.6+4.1
8 Boston Celtics35211460%102.698.0+4.6
9 Orlando Magic37221559%100.998.9+2.0
10 Miami Heat37221559%96.895.1+1.6
11 Cleveland Cavaliers34201459%99.496.1+3.3
12 Chicago Bulls35201557%100.7100.7+0.1
13 Los Angeles Clippers36201656%101.4100.8+0.6
14 Memphis Grizzlies38211755%94.696.7-2.2
15 Detroit Pistons39201951%101.599.2+2.3
16 Washington Wizards34171750%103.4104.7-1.4
17 Sacramento Kings35171849%104.0105.5-1.5
18 Houston Rockets40192148%104.5105.7-1.2
19 New York Knicks36171947%97.999.1-1.3
20 Dallas Mavericks36162044%99.0100.9-1.9
21 Denver Nuggets36162044%99.3102.1-2.8
22 Utah Jazz34151944%97.197.2-0.1
23 Phoenix Suns37162143%103.5104.2-0.7
24 Milwaukee Bucks37142338%97.2102.7-5.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers38142437%101.6102.9-1.3
26 Minnesota Timberwolves37132435%99.8103.8-4.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans37132435%102.7107.1-4.4
28 Brooklyn Nets35102529%96.9102.7-5.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers3773019%96.1106.5-10.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers383358%92.2104.7-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs22342025101
Denver Nuggets2022232186
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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