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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 123-110
31-26 27-30 31-28 34-26
Position#4
Record25-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game105.1
vs
Position#18
Record18-19
FormLWLWL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
105-99
105
99
+6
100avg 105
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
109-98
109
98
+11
112avg 105
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
85avg 105
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
126-118
126
118
+8
128avg 105
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
111-132
111
132
-21
91avg 105
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
103-111
103
111
-8
95avg 105
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
102-99
102
99
+3
104avg 105
H29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
122-118
122
118
+4
125avg 105
A30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
115-108
115
108
+7
115avg 105
H02/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
117-113
117
113
+4
111avg 105
A04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
29-28
29-33
21-16
39-32
21-20
22-24
27-22
23-23
16-24
29-25
27-14
34-33
40-36
31-26
21-23
26-34
33-34
27-35
25-29
26-34
27-21
22-22
28-34
31-23
30-24
17-28
24-24
36-16
26-33
28-29
32-40
28-32
27-24
27-28
33-24
30-30
23-36
31-18
33-29
218.7Avg total
110.5Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)110.2105.1215.3+5.269%
Season at home (18)112.3101.2213.5+11.183%
Season away (18)108.2108.9217.1-0.756%
Last 10 (10)110.5108.2218.7+2.380%
Last 5 (5)111.8109.8221.6+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)106.0112.5218.5-6.50%
vs Similar (13)107.5103.7211.2+3.877%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)111.9105.2217.1+6.767%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
L
124-126 OT
124
126
-2
123avg 102
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
100-128
100
128
-28
84avg 102
H16/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
110-99
110
99
+11
106avg 102
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
98-86
98
86
+12
90avg 102
H22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
103-119
103
119
-16
89avg 102
A23/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
132-134 OT
132
134
-2
118avg 102
A27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
100-87
100
87
+13
83avg 102
H29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
126-130
126
130
-4
116avg 102
A30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
125-100
125
100
+25
124avg 102
H31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
84-122
84
122
-38
71avg 102
H03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-16
39-37
21-25
20-35
22-32
28-25
17-40
33-31
16-25
25-21
41-29
28-24
25-21
20-19
30-25
23-21
26-29
21-39
20-26
36-25
29-22
22-34
26-23
37-35
33-17
21-25
19-23
27-22
29-27
32-40
31-27
34-36
36-23
27-30
32-24
30-23
26-42
15-23
24-29
19-28
223.3Avg total
110.2Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)112.9111.4224.3+1.649%
Season at home (22)112.8108.3221.1+4.564%
Season away (15)113.1115.8228.9-2.727%
Last 10 (10)110.2113.1223.3-2.940%
Last 5 (5)113.4114.6228.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)110.8112.8223.6-2.060%
vs Similar (17)112.5113.8226.3-1.241%
vs Weaker (8)114.0107.4221.4+6.662%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H15/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H29/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A30/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H02/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A04/01
NBA
113.0Avg total
57.1Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.553.5109.9+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.553.1109.6+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)56.453.8110.2+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)57.155.9113.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)56.854.6111.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.554.5112.0+3.050%-
vs Similar (13)56.050.9106.9+5.169%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)56.755.5112.3+1.253%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H16/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H20/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
47-68
47
68
-21
A23/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A27/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A30/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H31/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
41-65
41
65
-24
H03/01
NBA
107.2Avg total
52.5Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.056.0111.9+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (20)56.053.5109.5+2.560%-
Last 30 away (10)55.960.8116.7-4.940%-
Last 10 (10)52.554.7107.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)54.056.6110.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)56.657.2113.8-0.640%-
vs Similar (17)55.356.5111.8-1.253%-
vs Weaker (8)57.054.1111.1+2.962%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 110.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.828.6
53.2%
51.7%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.3
37.4%
35.4%36.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.4
75.9%
76.6%16.4
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 110.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.130.1
49.3%
51.7%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.3
36.6%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.716.1
77.8%
76.6%16.1
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWLLWWWW
Charlotte Hornets
LWLWLLWWLL
#4
League position
#18
+2.4
Net rating
-2.8
113.7
Offensive rating
106.6
111.3
Defensive rating
109.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.5%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.4%
3-point %
36.6%
67.2%
Assist %
59.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 106.6Defence111.3 · 109.4Shooting54.3% · 51.1%3-point %37.4% · 36.6%Ball care14.5% · 12.5%Off. rebounds29.4% · 21.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/19ASacramento Kings117-113
02/01/19HNew York Knicks115-108
30/12/18APhoenix Suns122-118
29/12/18HSan Antonio Spurs102-99
27/12/18ASan Antonio Spurs103-111
22/12/18ALos Angeles Clippers111-132
19/12/18HDallas Mavericks126-118
17/12/18HToronto Raptors95-86
15/12/18HOklahoma City Thunder109-98
11/12/18HMemphis Grizzlies105-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/19HDallas Mavericks84-122
31/12/18HOrlando Magic125-100
30/12/18AWashington Wizards126-130
29/12/18HBrooklyn Nets100-87
27/12/18ABrooklyn Nets132-134 OT
23/12/18ABoston Celtics103-119
22/12/18HDetroit Pistons98-86
20/12/18HCleveland Cavaliers110-99
16/12/18HLos Angeles Lakers100-128
15/12/18HNew York Knicks124-126 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %69%83%56%
Points / game110.2112.3108.2
Allowed / game105.1101.2108.9
Point differential+5.2+11.1-0.7
Avg total215.3213.5217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%39%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)75% (4)86% (7)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL49%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372215
Win %49%64%27%
Points / game112.9112.8113.1
Allowed / game111.4108.3115.8
Point differential+1.6+4.5-2.7
Avg total224.3221.1228.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (15)43% (7)12% (8)
Overtime %11%9%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks37271073%117.7107.8+9.9
2 Toronto Raptors40281270%113.0107.9+5.0
3 Denver Nuggets36251169%110.2105.1+5.2
4 Indiana Pacers38261268%107.8101.4+6.4
5 Oklahoma City Thunder38251366%111.9105.5+6.4
6 Golden State Warriors39251464%116.3111.9+4.4
7 Philadelphia 76ers39251464%114.6112.5+2.1
8 Boston Celtics38231561%111.8105.6+6.2
9 Houston Rockets37221559%110.5109.0+1.5
10 Los Angeles Clippers38221658%115.9114.7+1.2
11 San Antonio Spurs39221756%111.8109.2+2.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers39221756%111.3110.5+0.8
13 Los Angeles Lakers39211854%113.0111.5+1.5
14 Miami Heat37191851%107.2105.8+1.4
15 Sacramento Kings38191950%115.0116.7-1.7
16 Utah Jazz39192049%107.9105.7+2.3
17 Charlotte Hornets37181949%112.9111.4+1.6
18 Brooklyn Nets40192148%111.0111.7-0.8
19 Dallas Mavericks38182047%110.4109.8+0.6
20 Memphis Grizzlies38182047%101.5102.4-0.9
21 Detroit Pistons36171947%107.2109.4-2.2
22 Minnesota Timberwolves39182146%111.5111.4+0.0
23 Orlando Magic38172145%103.6107.2-3.6
24 New Orleans Pelicans39172244%116.3115.5+0.7
25 Washington Wizards39152438%112.6116.9-4.3
26 Atlanta Hawks38112729%109.2118.5-9.3
27 New York Knicks39102926%107.8115.8-7.9
28 Chicago Bulls39102926%100.4109.6-9.3
29 Phoenix Suns4093122%106.1115.0-8.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers3983121%101.7111.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31273134123
Charlotte Hornets26302826110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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