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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record6-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game113.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#21
Record4-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game98.8
Allowed / game110.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 112
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 112
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 112
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 112
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 112
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
110-118
110
118
-8
96avg 112
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
128-109
128
109
+19
134avg 112
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
114-102
114
102
+12
109avg 112
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
87avg 112
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
123-118
123
118
+5
114avg 112
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
227.8Avg total
114.5Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.5113.3227.8+1.260%
Season at home (4)123.2124.0247.2-0.850%
Season away (6)108.7106.2214.8+2.567%
Last 10 (10)114.5113.3227.8+1.260%
Last 5 (5)115.0111.4226.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)114.8117.4232.2-2.640%
vs Similar (13)113.9113.0226.9+0.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)128.2117.0245.2+11.292%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
81-128
81
128
-47
64avg 102
H23/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
115-110
115
110
+5
107avg 102
H24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
110-103
110
103
+7
93avg 102
H26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
89-97
89
97
-8
83avg 102
A28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
79-95
79
95
-16
59avg 102
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
104-109
104
109
-5
91avg 102
H31/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
91-124
91
124
-33
68avg 102
H03/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
104-114
104
114
-10
95avg 102
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
80-119
80
119
-39
52avg 102
H07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
124-112
124
112
+12
118avg 102
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
23-35
19-29
19-31
31-31
35-27
30-17
19-35
19-21
35-23
26-24
30-35
22-21
29-23
19-32
19-21
26-22
20-29
13-28
20-16
37-27
17-30
29-20
21-32
24-27
30-38
21-33
16-26
24-21
33-29
23-30
24-34
20-40
19-30
18-26
23-23
29-28
40-25
38-27
17-32
208.8Avg total
97.7Scored
111.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)98.8110.4209.2-11.536%
Season at home (7)100.7115.0215.7-14.343%
Season away (4)95.5102.2197.8-6.825%
Last 10 (10)97.7111.1208.8-13.430%
Last 5 (5)100.6115.6216.2-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)98.8110.4209.2-11.536%
vs Similar (12)113.2111.5224.8+1.858%
vs Weaker (7)119.7101.9221.6+17.986%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -7.7-7.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -7.7-7.7
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#22
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A12/11
NBA
114.9Avg total
58.8Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.457.9118.3+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)62.361.1123.4+1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)57.953.7111.6+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)58.856.1114.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.4114.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)57.255.0112.2+2.260%-
vs Similar (13)58.856.5115.3+2.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)63.560.5124.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
43-68
43
68
-25
H23/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A30/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H31/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#8
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H03/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A05/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#2
L
39-70
39
70
-31
H07/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H10/11
NBA
109.3Avg total
53.3Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.855.8112.6+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.857.4117.2+2.461%-
Last 30 away (12)52.253.4105.7-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)53.356.0109.3-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.659.0113.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)53.455.3108.6-1.955%-
vs Similar (12)57.058.0115.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (7)61.752.9114.6+8.971%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 112.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.2
56.7%
54.0%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.1
32.2%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.1%19.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.4
53.5%
54.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.115.2
33.0%
35.1%45.6
🏀 Free throws19.516.6
85.1%
77.1%16.6
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWLWL
Charlotte Hornets
WLLLLLLWWL
#13
League position
#21
-1.6
Net rating
-2.2
110.1
Offensive rating
109.0
111.6
Defensive rating
111.2
53.6%
Effective FG%
51.4%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
11.1%
Turnover %
14.0%
16.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.2%
3-point %
33.0%
65.9%
Assist %
58.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 109.0Defence111.6 · 111.2Shooting53.6% · 51.4%3-point %32.2% · 33.0%Ball care11.1% · 14.0%Off. rebounds16.8% · 28.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies123-118
10/11/26AHouston Rockets100-110
07/11/26AIndiana Pacers114-102
05/11/26HToronto Raptors128-109
03/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers110-118
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-112
07/11/26HBoston Celtics80-119
05/11/26ABrooklyn Nets104-114
03/11/26HDetroit Pistons91-124
31/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers104-109
30/10/26AWashington Wizards79-95
28/10/26ADetroit Pistons89-97
26/10/26HWashington Wizards110-103
24/10/26HMiami Heat115-110
23/10/26HAtlanta Hawks81-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game114.5123.2108.7
Allowed / game113.3124.0106.2
Point differential+1.2-0.8+2.5
Avg total227.8247.2214.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %36%43%25%
Points / game98.8100.795.5
Allowed / game110.4115.0102.2
Point differential-11.5-14.3-6.8
Avg total209.2215.7197.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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