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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-78
25-21 19-21 21-24 9-12
Position#26
Record12-23
FormLWLLL
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game102.9
vs
Position#22
Record12-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game99.4
Allowed / game104.2
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
99-95
99
95
+4
99avg 90
H19/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
100-85
100
85
+15
101avg 90
A20/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
99-113
99
113
-14
87avg 90
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
83-108
83
108
-25
71avg 90
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
88-102
88
102
-14
80avg 90
H27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-101
95
101
-6
83avg 90
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
94-80
94
80
+14
93avg 90
H31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
90-115
90
115
-25
76avg 90
A31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
85-95
85
95
-10
73avg 90
H03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
99-109
99
109
-10
93avg 90
A05/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
27-30
25-23
16-18
26-16
26-27
23-22
25-20
26-34
27-26
19-32
27-21
16-28
22-24
23-25
22-31
21-21
23-22
24-23
20-36
27-26
25-24
20-26
23-25
19-13
19-18
24-21
32-28
22-15
15-30
33-33
20-37
28-15
19-29
23-28
15-23
25-29
25-18
29-33
20-29
193.5Avg total
93.2Scored
100.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)99.7102.9202.6-3.334%
Season at home (18)97.8103.6201.4-5.728%
Season away (17)101.6102.2203.8-0.641%
Last 10 (10)93.2100.3193.5-7.130%
Last 5 (5)92.6100.0192.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)99.8104.2203.9-4.431%
vs Similar ◀ (14)98.2102.7200.9-4.521%
vs Weaker (3)107.3108.7216.0-1.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#18
L
88-97
88
97
-9
76avg 89
A19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
125-130
125
130
-5
112avg 89
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
107-111
107
111
-4
99avg 89
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
104-96
104
96
+8
98avg 89
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
76avg 89
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
112-122
112
122
-10
98avg 89
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
87-93
87
93
-6
77avg 89
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
103-110
103
110
-7
92avg 89
A31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
108-111 OT
108
111
-3
94avg 89
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
106-112
106
112
-6
91avg 89
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-30
26-23
24-24
15-20
31-36
43-31
22-32
29-31
34-26
30-25
16-32
27-28
33-21
23-29
23-22
25-24
20-22
22-34
23-20
21-25
31-32
30-21
29-38
22-31
21-26
21-27
20-19
25-21
27-26
24-32
20-26
32-26
13-37
34-26
30-27
25-12
22-23
34-38
24-19
26-32
210.9Avg total
102.6Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)99.4104.2203.6-4.934%
Season at home (16)99.4104.8204.1-5.431%
Season away (19)99.4103.8203.2-4.437%
Last 10 (10)102.6108.3210.9-5.710%
Last 5 (5)103.2109.6212.8-6.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)97.1107.0204.1-9.99%
vs Similar ◀ (17)100.9103.1204.0-2.247%
vs Weaker (2)107.5108.0215.5-0.550%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H19/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A20/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A22/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H27/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A29/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A31/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H03/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A05/01
NBA
93.8Avg total
46.9Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.850.4100.2-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.851.6101.3-1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)49.949.198.9+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)46.946.993.8+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.488.2+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)50.251.8102.0-1.546%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)49.048.897.8+0.257%-
vs Weaker (3)51.752.0103.7-0.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#18
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H30/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H04/01
NBA
110.7Avg total
54.2Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.855.0106.8-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.954.9108.9-1.036%-
Last 30 away (16)50.055.0105.0-5.031%-
Last 10 (10)54.256.5110.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)51.457.6109.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)49.556.4105.8-6.918%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)52.654.1106.7-1.441%-
vs Weaker (2)58.055.0113.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀70%
🏀🏀🏀12%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 70% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.132.4
48.3%
49.0%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers11.93.6
30.3%
35.3%10.8
🏀 Free throws23.317.6
75.5%
75.5%17.6
They take 79.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 11.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 15% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 102.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.830.6
48.7%
49.0%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
35.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.114.7
73.1%
75.5%14.7
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWLLLLWW
Denver Nuggets
LLLLLLWLLL
#26
League position
#22
-7.5
Net rating
-5.9
98.0
Offensive rating
106.2
105.5
Defensive rating
112.1
47.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
13.0%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.3%
3-point %
33.1%
65.0%
Assist %
57.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 106.2Defence105.5 · 112.1Shooting47.8% · 49.0%3-point %30.3% · 33.1%Ball care15.7% · 13.0%Off. rebounds22.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/16APhiladelphia 76ers99-109
03/01/16HMilwaukee Bucks85-95
31/12/15ADetroit Pistons90-115
31/12/15HUtah Jazz94-80
29/12/15ASan Antonio Spurs95-101
27/12/15HIndiana Pacers88-102
24/12/15HSan Antonio Spurs83-108
22/12/15ABoston Celtics99-113
20/12/15ABrooklyn Nets100-85
19/12/15HSacramento Kings99-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/16HPortland Trail Blazers106-112
03/01/16AGolden State Warriors108-111 OT
31/12/15APortland Trail Blazers103-110
30/12/15HCleveland Cavaliers87-93
28/12/15AOklahoma City Thunder112-122
27/12/15ASan Antonio Spurs86-101
24/12/15APhoenix Suns104-96
23/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers107-111
21/12/15HNew Orleans Pelicans125-130
19/12/15AUtah Jazz88-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL34%
HomeWLLWL28%
AwayWLLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %34%28%41%
Points / game99.797.8101.6
Allowed / game102.9103.6102.2
Point differential-3.3-5.7-0.6
Avg total202.6201.4203.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%6%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)57% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %11%6%18%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL34%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayWLLLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %34%31%37%
Points / game99.499.499.4
Allowed / game104.2104.8103.8
Point differential-4.9-5.4-4.4
Avg total203.6204.1203.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3533294%113.7101.8+12.0
2 San Antonio Spurs3630683%103.189.2+13.9
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3324973%101.195.3+5.8
4 Oklahoma City Thunder35241169%108.5100.7+7.9
5 Chicago Bulls33211264%102.2100.0+2.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers35221363%103.7100.5+3.1
7 Miami Heat35211460%97.294.7+2.5
8 Toronto Raptors37221559%100.196.9+3.1
9 Atlanta Hawks36211558%101.8100.6+1.2
10 Indiana Pacers35201557%102.298.4+3.8
11 Dallas Mavericks35201557%102.0101.5+0.4
12 Detroit Pistons36201656%101.299.2+1.9
13 Boston Celtics35191654%102.799.0+3.7
14 Orlando Magic36191753%99.499.1+0.3
15 Memphis Grizzlies36191753%96.098.6-2.6
16 Charlotte Hornets34171750%101.8100.4+1.4
17 New York Knicks37181949%98.199.4-1.3
18 Houston Rockets36171947%103.9105.8-1.9
19 Utah Jazz33151845%96.796.8-0.2
20 Washington Wizards33151845%101.1104.3-3.2
21 Portland Trail Blazers37152241%100.8102.0-1.2
22 Sacramento Kings35142140%105.9107.9-1.9
23 Milwaukee Bucks37142338%97.9104.0-6.1
24 Minnesota Timberwolves35122334%99.7102.9-3.3
25 Denver Nuggets35122334%99.4104.2-4.9
26 New Orleans Pelicans33112233%101.8106.4-4.6
27 Phoenix Suns37122532%102.6106.3-3.8
28 Brooklyn Nets35102529%96.4102.8-6.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers3682822%96.4105.8-9.4
30 Philadelphia 76ers3743311%92.9104.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves251921974
Denver Nuggets2121241278
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