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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 129-104
26-25 31-20 38-22 34-37
Position#6
Record25-17
FormWWWLW
Points / game115.7
Allowed / game109.6
vs
Position#21
Record21-21
FormLWWWW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game112.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
115-123
115
123
-8
106avg 107
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
111-106
111
106
+5
98avg 107
H24/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
110-112
110
112
-2
102avg 107
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
126-96
126
96
+30
128avg 107
A28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
118-112
118
112
+6
114avg 107
A02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
128-97
128
97
+31
124avg 107
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
113-103
113
103
+10
114avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 107
A13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
103-116
103
116
-13
93avg 107
H14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
121-106
121
106
+15
119avg 107
H16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
23-37
20-29
39-30
34-25
23-32
21-21
33-28
22-26
32-30
34-32
22-24
38-20
27-23
34-26
27-27
37-25
25-30
27-32
29-25
37-23
27-27
35-30
29-17
28-29
33-23
21-22
31-29
26-31
27-24
28-22
22-25
29-28
22-34
22-31
30-23
32-32
33-24
22-35
34-15
222.1Avg total
114.8Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)115.7109.6225.2+6.160%
Season at home (20)116.3109.2225.6+7.160%
Season away (22)115.0109.9225.0+5.159%
Last 10 (10)114.8107.3222.1+7.570%
Last 5 (5)113.6104.8218.4+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)113.5111.3224.8+2.259%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)116.7105.6222.3+11.169%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
102-100
102
100
+2
102avg 106
H21/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
110-132
110
132
-22
93avg 106
A23/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
124-121
124
121
+3
119avg 106
A25/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
121-130
121
130
-9
109avg 106
A27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
127-126
127
126
+1
126avg 106
A01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
111-123
111
123
-12
100avg 106
A02/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
135-102
135
102
+33
135avg 106
A04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
105-102
105
102
+3
97avg 106
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
114-104
114
104
+10
118avg 106
H14/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
122-116
122
116
+6
116avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
21-32
24-22
33-31
35-35
32-29
23-27
20-41
34-38
32-29
31-24
27-30
28-36
23-30
33-37
37-27
36-39
30-28
22-29
39-30
33-27
26-32
24-33
28-31
36-33
26-23
36-20
37-26
30-22
18-17
25-33
32-30
44-24
23-28
31-21
16-31
32-37
29-30
30-29
31-20
232.7Avg total
117.1Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)112.7112.9225.6-0.150%
Season at home (22)110.1109.3219.4+0.955%
Season away (20)115.6116.8232.4-1.245%
Last 10 (10)117.1115.6232.7+1.570%
Last 5 (5)117.4109.4226.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)113.4116.4229.9-3.043%
vs Similar (20)115.2113.7228.9+1.660%
vs Weaker (3)111.3105.0216.3+6.367%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A22/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H24/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H26/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-43
65
43
+22
A28/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A03/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H14/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H16/03
NBA
113.8Avg total
58.8Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.554.3114.8+6.260%-
Last 30 at home (12)61.155.0116.1+6.167%-
Last 30 away (18)60.153.9114.0+6.256%-
Last 10 (10)58.855.0113.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)58.855.0113.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)61.256.1117.3+5.259%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.552.1111.6+7.562%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H21/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A23/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A25/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A27/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A02/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H14/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H15/03
NBA
117.6Avg total
59.2Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.959.7117.7-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.957.5114.4-0.553%-
Last 30 away (13)59.262.7121.9-3.515%-
Last 10 (10)59.258.4117.6+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)59.454.6114.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)56.762.6119.3-5.943%-
vs Similar (20)58.659.0117.7-0.435%-
vs Weaker (3)56.057.7113.7-1.733%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.829.9
53.6%
52.8%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.213.7
41.3%
36.6%41.1
🏀 Free throws17.013.9
81.8%
77.7%13.9
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.027.4
53.7%
52.8%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.514.7
40.3%
36.6%44.1
🏀 Free throws22.218.2
82.0%
77.7%18.2
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWWWWLWL
Charlotte Hornets
WWWWLWLWLW
#6
League position
#21
+7.7
Net rating
+1.4
117.6
Offensive rating
113.0
109.9
Defensive rating
111.6
56.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
11.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.3%
3-point %
40.3%
61.0%
Assist %
63.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 113.0Defence109.9 · 111.6Shooting56.7% · 56.5%3-point %41.3% · 40.3%Ball care11.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds22.5% · 22.1%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/21HIndiana Pacers121-106
14/03/21HDallas Mavericks103-116
13/03/21AMemphis Grizzlies103-102
05/03/21AIndiana Pacers113-103
03/03/21AMilwaukee Bucks128-97
02/03/21AChicago Bulls118-112
28/02/21AOklahoma City Thunder126-96
26/02/21HWashington Wizards110-112
24/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers111-106
22/02/21AAtlanta Hawks115-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/21HSacramento Kings122-116
14/03/21HToronto Raptors114-104
12/03/21HDetroit Pistons105-102
04/03/21AMinnesota Timberwolves135-102
02/03/21APortland Trail Blazers111-123
01/03/21ASacramento Kings127-126
27/02/21AGolden State Warriors121-130
25/02/21APhoenix Suns124-121
23/02/21AUtah Jazz110-132
21/02/21HGolden State Warriors102-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422022
Win %60%60%59%
Points / game115.7116.3115.0
Allowed / game109.6109.2109.9
Point differential+6.1+7.2+5.1
Avg total225.2225.6225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%45%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLWWWW55%
AwayWLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game112.7110.1115.6
Allowed / game112.9109.3116.8
Point differential-0.1+0.9-1.2
Avg total225.6219.4232.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz42321076%116.7107.7+9.1
2 Los Angeles Lakers44311370%112.2105.9+6.3
3 Brooklyn Nets43301370%120.3114.7+5.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers43301370%114.9109.7+5.2
5 Phoenix Suns42261662%113.1108.2+4.9
6 Milwaukee Bucks43261760%118.7113.1+5.6
7 Denver Nuggets42251760%115.7109.6+6.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers44261859%113.9110.0+3.9
9 Portland Trail Blazers43241956%114.3116.0-1.7
10 Miami Heat42231955%106.7107.4-0.7
11 Dallas Mavericks41221954%112.3112.0+0.3
12 San Antonio Spurs40211952%109.6110.9-1.2
13 Golden State Warriors44232152%112.9113.0-0.1
14 New York Knicks45232251%104.6103.8+0.9
15 Memphis Grizzlies40202050%112.4111.0+1.3
16 Atlanta Hawks44222250%112.9111.8+1.0
17 Charlotte Hornets42212150%112.7112.9-0.1
18 Chicago Bulls43212249%113.5113.3+0.3
19 Boston Celtics42202248%111.2111.2-0.0
20 New Orleans Pelicans42192345%116.1115.1+1.0
21 Toronto Raptors43192444%112.2111.9+0.3
22 Oklahoma City Thunder43182542%106.6112.1-5.5
23 Sacramento Kings44182641%114.5119.5-5.0
24 Indiana Pacers42172540%112.1112.8-0.7
25 Cleveland Cavaliers44172739%103.2111.4-8.2
26 Washington Wizards42152736%113.7119.0-5.3
27 Orlando Magic43152835%105.5112.2-6.7
28 Houston Rockets43142933%107.6112.7-5.2
29 Detroit Pistons44133130%106.2109.5-3.3
30 Minnesota Timberwolves43103323%109.6117.4-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26313834129
Charlotte Hornets25202237104
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