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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Dec 2015
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 122-112
32-31 21-30 38-29 31-22
Position#4
Record24-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game98.8
vs
Position#22
Record16-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game102.1
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
17 Oct 2025
OKC94
DEN91
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
14 Oct 2021
OKC107
DEN113
13 Oct 2021
OKC108
DEN99
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
18 Oct 2016
OKC97
DEN87
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
18 Oct 2015
OKC111
DEN98
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
15 Oct 2013
OKC109
DEN81
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
21 Oct 2012
OKC108
DEN101
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
125-88
125
88
+37
A09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
107-94
107
94
+13
H11/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A12/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
104-98 OT
104
98
+6
H14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H17/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
100-104
100
104
-4
A18/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
118-78
118
78
+40
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
100-99
100
99
+1
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
120-85
120
85
+35
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
96-105
96
105
-9
H25/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
31-22
39-16
27-25
35-28
25-21
23-26
24-19
27-15
25-29
20-23
22-23
16-21
22-30
33-25
25-20
31-26
21-19
36-22
18-23
28-26
19-20
31-28
22-30
35-15
32-26
25-14
26-23
23-29
27-23
22-25
28-22
27-17
30-29
35-15
28-24
26-32
26-22
16-32
28-19
200.1Avg total
107.0Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)107.198.8205.9+8.369%
Season at home (19)105.796.4202.1+9.379%
Season away (16)108.7101.6210.3+7.156%
Last 10 (10)107.093.1200.1+13.980%
Last 5 (5)106.894.2201.0+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)104.0103.0207.0+1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)107.898.8206.6+9.067%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
108-105
108
105
+3
A05/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H09/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
111-108 OT
111
108
+3
H12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
114-108
114
108
+6
H15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
112-100
112
100
+12
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
125-130
125
130
-5
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
107-111
107
111
-4
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
23-34
25-26
31-20
26-26
21-14
16-22
11-23
23-29
18-27
32-22
27-22
36-22
18-36
34-24
26-26
27-24
36-25
29-31
20-20
23-30
26-23
24-24
15-20
31-36
43-31
22-32
29-31
34-26
30-25
16-32
27-28
33-21
23-29
23-22
25-24
20-22
22-34
23-20
21-25
207.0Avg total
102.9Scored
104.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)99.0102.1201.0-3.143%
Season at home (16)100.9102.9203.8-1.944%
Season away (21)97.5101.4198.9-4.043%
Last 10 (10)102.9104.1207.0-1.250%
Last 5 (5)102.0107.0209.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)93.8106.4200.2-12.610%
vs Similar (17)99.4100.6200.0-1.353%
vs Weaker (3)111.7108.3220.0+3.367%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H11/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A12/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H14/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H17/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
67-41
67
41
+26
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A24/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H25/12
NBA
100.9Avg total
53.4Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.649.9103.5+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.248.6100.9+3.665%-
Last 30 away (13)55.351.5106.8+3.862%-
Last 10 (10)53.447.5100.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)54.647.8102.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)49.051.0100.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)54.149.8103.9+4.367%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A05/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H09/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H12/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#17
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A19/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A24/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
NBA
108.1Avg total
54.2Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.453.8105.2-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.753.1105.9-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)50.254.4104.6-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)54.253.9108.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)57.055.4112.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)48.654.9103.5-6.320%-
vs Similar (17)51.852.8104.6-1.147%-
vs Weaker (3)58.755.7114.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.133.8
52.7%
49.0%67.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.7
34.5%
35.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.3
78.8%
75.5%19.3
They take 83.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 102.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.128.5
49.1%
49.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.8
36.7%
35.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.816.5
72.4%
75.5%16.5
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWLWWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLWWWLW
#4
League position
#22
+14.5
Net rating
-1.2
111.7
Offensive rating
106.2
97.2
Defensive rating
107.4
52.5%
Effective FG%
50.9%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.5%
3-point %
36.7%
53.1%
Assist %
60.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 106.2Defence97.2 · 107.4Shooting52.5% · 50.9%3-point %34.5% · 36.7%Ball care13.9% · 14.5%Off. rebounds30.0% · 27.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/15HChicago Bulls96-105
24/12/15ALos Angeles Lakers120-85
22/12/15ALos Angeles Clippers100-99
19/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers118-78
18/12/15ACleveland Cavaliers100-104
17/12/15HPortland Trail Blazers106-90
14/12/15HUtah Jazz104-98 OT
12/12/15AUtah Jazz94-90
11/12/15HAtlanta Hawks107-94
09/12/15AMemphis Grizzlies125-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/15ASan Antonio Spurs86-101
24/12/15APhoenix Suns104-96
23/12/15HLos Angeles Lakers107-111
21/12/15HNew Orleans Pelicans125-130
19/12/15AUtah Jazz88-97
16/12/15AMinnesota Timberwolves112-100
15/12/15HHouston Rockets114-108
12/12/15HMinnesota Timberwolves111-108 OT
09/12/15HOrlando Magic74-85
05/12/15APhiladelphia 76ers108-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayWWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %69%79%56%
Points / game107.1105.7108.7
Allowed / game98.896.4101.6
Point differential+8.3+9.3+7.1
Avg total205.9202.1210.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %6%5%6%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayWWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371621
Win %43%44%43%
Points / game99.0100.997.5
Allowed / game102.1102.9101.4
Point differential-3.1-1.9-4.0
Avg total201.0203.8198.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3631586%112.4101.9+10.4
2 San Antonio Spurs38281074%100.589.8+10.7
3 Oklahoma City Thunder35241169%107.198.8+8.3
4 Toronto Raptors38241463%99.195.0+4.1
5 Charlotte Hornets37231462%101.296.8+4.3
6 Atlanta Hawks39241562%100.398.8+1.5
7 Indiana Pacers36221461%102.698.6+4.1
8 Boston Celtics35211460%102.698.0+4.6
9 Orlando Magic37221559%100.998.9+2.0
10 Miami Heat37221559%96.895.1+1.6
11 Cleveland Cavaliers35201557%98.896.4+2.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers37211657%101.6100.9+0.7
13 Memphis Grizzlies39221756%95.096.7-1.7
14 Chicago Bulls36201656%101.0101.1-0.1
15 Detroit Pistons39201951%101.599.2+2.3
16 Washington Wizards34171750%103.4104.7-1.4
17 Sacramento Kings35171849%104.0105.5-1.5
18 Houston Rockets40192148%104.5105.7-1.2
19 New York Knicks36171947%97.999.1-1.3
20 Dallas Mavericks37172046%99.5101.2-1.7
21 Denver Nuggets37162143%99.0102.1-3.1
22 Utah Jazz35152043%97.397.6-0.2
23 Phoenix Suns38162242%103.5104.4-0.9
24 Portland Trail Blazers39152438%101.7102.2-0.6
25 Milwaukee Bucks37142338%97.2102.7-5.5
26 Minnesota Timberwolves37132435%99.8103.8-4.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans37132435%102.7107.1-4.4
28 Brooklyn Nets35102529%96.9102.7-5.8
29 Los Angeles Lakers3873118%96.1106.7-10.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers3943510%92.7104.6-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder32213831122
Denver Nuggets31302922112
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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